Transcript WMO - GFDRR
World Meteorological Organization Working together in weather, climate and water WMO OMM Weather, Water, Climate Services Supporting Sustainable Development Jerry Lengoasa Deputy Director General Oslo, May 2014 www.wmo.int WORLD World METEOROLOGICAL Meteorological Organization ORGANIZATION Weather, Water and Climate Services • • • •• • How do National Meteorological and Hydrological Services contribute to development? UN Specialized Technical Agency NMHSs are competent in weather, climate and water issues Mandate for Weather, Water and Climate 191 Member States NMHSs provide weather forecasts and weather warnings, bothprojects, general and specialised users (agriculture, Not not focused just coreon business but the business water management, transports, energy, civil protection, environmental services…) • Vision: • NMHSs provide services States, (climatological records, Ensure thatclimate the Member mainly through general and ad-hoc studies, medium and long range climate their National Meterological haveusers forecasts…) both general and focused Services on specialised effective Weather, Water and Climate Services to support of liveofand property • Studies on socialthe andprotection economic benefits effective weather andand climate in key economic (transport, theservices sustainable economicsectors development health, agriculture-fisheries) show that the cost-benefit ratio of NMHSs is 1 to 6-10 (WMO) WORLD World METEOROLOGICAL Meteorological Organization ORGANIZATION Weather, Water and Climate Services How do National Meteorological and Hydrological Servicesthe contribute to development? 1. Reducing vulnerability of society to weather and • NMHSs are competent in weather, and water climate-related hazards through climate better provision ofissues weather and climate services; •2. NMHSs provide weather andand weather warnings, Mainstreaming the useforecasts of weather climate both general and focused on specialised users (agriculture, information in decision making. and demonstrating water management, transports, energy, civil protection,the value of the services in socio-economic, safety and environmental services…) sustainability terms; • NMHSs provide climate services (climatological records, 3. Strengthening the links between providers and users of general andand ad-hoc studies, medium and long range climate weather climate services. Building relationships forecasts…) both general and focused on specialised users between providers and users of information at both the technical and decision-making levels; and • Studies on social and economic benefits of effective weather 4. and Maximising the utility ofeconomic existing weather, water and climate services in key sectors (transport, health, agriculture-fisheries) that the climate infrastructure and show improving thecost-benefit networks. ratio of NMHSs is 1 to 6-10 (WMO) WORLD World METEOROLOGICAL Meteorological Organization ORGANIZATION How do National Meteorological and Hydrological Services contribute to for development? Weather and Climate Services Priority • NMHSs areSocial competent in weather, climate and water issues Economic and Sectors NMHSs provide weather •• Agriculture-Food security forecasts and weather warnings, both general and focused on specialised users (agriculture, • Disaster risk reduction water management, transports, energy, civil protection, • Water environmental services…) • Health •• Transport / Tourism NMHSs provide climate services (climatological records, • Gender generalInclusive and ad-hoc studies, medium and long range climate forecasts…) both general and focused on specialised users • Studies on social and economic benefits of effective weather and climate services in key economic sectors (transport, health, agriculture-fisheries) show that the cost-benefit ratio of NMHSs is 1 to 6-10 (WMO) National Observing networks Global Coordination & Communication Global Observing System Coordinated Satellite System Global Data Processing and Forecasting System Global Telecommunication System Global data exchange: WMO Resolutions 40 and 25 GLOBAL/REGIONAL OPERATIONAL NETWORK OF WMO Moscow ECMWF Exeter Montreal Beijing Toulouse DMCSEE Seoul Tokyo Washington LC-LRFMME ACMAD ICPAC CIIFEN Pretoria Gobal Producing Centres of Long Range Forecasts (GPCs) SADC-DMC Regional Climate Centres (RCCs) Melbourne LC-SVSLRF RCC Network Nodes (Pilot) Regional Specialized Meteorological Centres with Thematic Specialization Regional Specialized Meteorological Centres with Geographical Specialization Regional climate institutions with strong WMO support Sand & Dust Storm Warning & Assessment System Centres Monsoon Activity Centres Plus 191 Operational National Meteorological Services WHAT IS THE PROBLEM? 1980 1990 2000 2010 WHAT IS THE PROBLEM? 90% of Natural Disasters relate to Weather, Water, Climate Weather- and climate-related disasters/impacts Decadal trends in natural hazard impacts over the five last decades associated with hydrometeorological hazards Loss of life (Figure 1a) Economic losses (Figure 1b) Extreme events, vulnerability, exposure and disasters WMO, A decade of climate extremes, 2013 WHAT IS THE PROBLEM? 70 # of Countries/Territories • Many countries lack the infrastructural, technical, human and institutional capacities to provide high-quality weather and climate services. Capacities of Countries to provide Basic, Essential, Full and Advanced Weather and Climate Services. (190 WMO Members) as of Aug 2012 Basic 60 Essential 50 Full 40 30 Advanced 20 10 Less than Basic 0 Infrastrucal Capacity Category Obs & Mon – Major gaps • Many key regions and climatic zones remain poorly observed especially tropics and high latitudes • Weakness in observational coverage of important oceanographic (ocean currents, mass flux, salinity, etc) and terrestrial parameters (ground water, permafrost, lake levels) • Timely access to data in many locations • Access to historical Data Taking the planet into uncharted territory •Do we know what level of climate change is dangerous, where and for whom? •Can we provide society with a ‘road map’ indicating what climate changes may be expected to occur, where, and with what implications? •What should society do to mitigate and adapt to climate change to avoid its worst impacts? Weather and Climate Services: A Revolution in the Application of Weather and Climate Science • • • • • • From mitigation to mitigation and adaptation From few to many customers/users/stakeholders Global century scenarios to regional predictions, days to decades ahead Climate change to climate change and climate variability Broad climate to characteristics of weather including extremes and impacts Operational delivery – regularly updated monitoring, forecasts, products & services Vulnerability Manila 1975 1988 2000 Example of urban growth over 35 years monitored from space, adapted from Taubenbock et al. (2012) 2010 The Weather - Climate Prediction Continuum 17 The pillars and priorities of the GFCS Users, Government, private sector, research, agriculture, water, health, construction, disaster reduction, environment, tourism, transport, etc. User Interface Platform Climate Services Information System Observations and Monitoring Research, Modeling and Prediction Capacity Building DRR Food security Health Water Disaster Risk Management Early Warning WEF, 2011 Building Resilience 2013: Typhoon Hayan 2009/2010: extreme floods in the Danube river basin: 700 bridges damaged 2012: Hurricane Sandy caused damage in the Outer Banks 2005: Katrina: damage to Highway 90 bridge Towards a Global Hydromet Partnership GFDRR-WMO HydroMet Facilty GFDRR Hydromet (WB-executed) •Financing Hydro- meteorological modernization •Analytical support •knowledge management •capacity building •Coordination and monitoring results •Political Advocacy Steering Commitee WMO-WB-Donors Joint WMO Hydromet Coordinating (WMO-executed) Unit (Geneva) •Analytical support •knowledge management •capacity building WMO-WB •Policy/strategy •Twinnings •Bilateral partnerships •Regional Forums •Regional Operations •Innovation Hub Multi-Donor Trust Fund Thank You For more information please contact: Mary Power, Director Resource Mobilization and Development Partnerships World Meteorological Organization Email. [email protected]