Transcript Australasian Permaculture Convergence 13 Keynote

Australasian Permaculture Convergence 13
Design for Resilience
Keynote
3rd October 2016
Perth W Australia
Our Future :
Frightening
&
Fantastic
Annimac / Anni Macbeth
Futurist & Trend Forecaster
www.annimac.com.au
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Exponential speed of change
Augmented Reality
Climate Change
Quantum energy
Generation Z
Bionic Bodies
Population & Resources
Smart machines
driverless
Peak Oil
2007
97% of water
on Earth is
undrinkable
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Un/predictable Severe Climate Change
Weather = Extreme Events
West Australian 20/10/14
2016annimac
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Positive proof of global warming
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Changing Weather Patterns
©2016annimac
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Climate Change Trends : Temperate Australia to 2030
Temperature : increasing by 1.5 degree C
• Greater variations across the seasons
• Spring & Summer > variations Autumn & Winter
Rainfall : decreasing by 2-5 %
• Less certainty in predictions
• Seasonal variations greater
Runoff & Streamflow :
• Up to 40% less water into dams
Evapotranspiration + less rainfall =
• Higher aridity
• Greater risk of droughts
Longer dry spells : hot days hotter
Heavier rainfall events : less annual rainfall
•2013annimac
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Population vs Resources
Changing demographics:
• 60% world pop now sub
replacement
• Ageing Pop = costly
97% of water on
Earth is undrinkable
2016: 7.4 billion
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Peak Oil / energy resources
Energy = political-economic issue :
existing Governments require tax
revenue from users; price range is
limited to maintain stable economy
Future :
2016annimac
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Quantum
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Technology
9
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Technology Trends
•
2020
2025
•
Online comms
•
Automation
•
Big Data analytics
•
3-4D Printing
Palm sized drone
10 x better than 2015
100 x better than 2015
AIDO home robot
•
Augmented Reality +
•
robotics / enhanced humans
•
work/office = network of people
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Technology & Permaculture
polydome
Soil & Crop Sensors
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Who is
Driving
Change
• Baby boomers 1945 -1965
Age 50 - 70
• Gen X
1965 - 1980
Age 35 - 50
• Gen Y
1980 - 1995
Age 20 - 35
• Gen Z
1995 - 2010
Age 5 – 20
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Canadian National Magazine 21 July 2014
b 1995 - 2010
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Generation Z
b1995-2010 age 5 - 20
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The Influencers
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Generation Z
b 1995-2010
Digital in their DNA
2
Billion entered workforce in
2015
• largest cohort group in world
• morally driven : Turquoise solutions
• breaking the generations
• hyperconnected
live in 3 Realities
• from Affluencers
GenY
to Influencers
GenZ
• sling-shotting technologies
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Gen Z
Life is Work is Life
• v conservative
• v ambitious
v serious
v principled
• ignore obstacles
ignore status
• live mobile interconnectivity
• network people
• personalised messaging
• reject idea of fixed place
• expect robotics / androids
• 2016annimac
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Generational
Gen Z
5 - 20
is diverse
Characteristics
Now
Gen Y 20 - 35 Gen X 35-50
time
B Boomer 50 - 70
celebrates
diversity
optimistic/
realist
accepts diversity
assumes diversity
pragmatic/
practical
pragmatic/
idealist
Self driven
no rules
uses/ignores
institutions
Self inventive
re write rules
irrelevance of
institutions
Self involved
desire rules
mistrusts
institutions
Self expansive
reject rules
topples
institutions
self made kids
highest
expectation
nurtured kids
high
expectation
realist
latchkey kids
no link between
hard work &
success
making the future future is open future is closing
egoless
personalisation
labels
& customisation
(as security)
2016annimac
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laissez faire kids
freedom to seek
to achieve
future is now
categorisation
(mass)
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Gen Z in Oz
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Thriving now into your future
• Personal mind set
• Remain agile
Flexible
• Responsive to change
• Collaborate creatively & proactively
• Attitude required :
• Personal responsibility for change
• Learn from younger generations:
Gen Z !
• Values required:
• Integrity Respect Dignity
• Social responsibility
• Considered unconsumerism
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To Succeed into the Future
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Thank you
contact me
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