Transcript Env 2016 - Post-Paris - Setting greenhouse gas reduction goals

Post Paris
What does the 1.5oC Paris Agreement
mean for Local Government Emission
Reduction Targets
Today
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Target Setting Background and Context
Hitting and Missing Targets
What Paris Means
Science-Based Targets
Around the World
Who has a Corporate
Target?
Corporate Climate Target
Not Sure
10%
No
26%
Yes
64%
Yes
No
Not Sure
Who has a Community
Target?
Community Climate Target
Not Sure
13%
Yes
24%
No
63%
Yes
No
Not Sure
Back in 2008
ACT
Adelaide
Alice Springs
Alpine
Ararat
Armadale
Ashfield
Auburn
Ballarat
Ballina
Bankstown
Banyule
Bass Coast
Bassendean
Baulkham Hills
Baw Baw
Bayside
Bayswater
Beaudesert
Bega
Belmont
Benalla
Blacktown
Blue Mountains
Boroondara
Botany Bay
Bowen
Brighton
Brimbank
Brisbane
Buloke
Bunbury
Burdekin
Burnside
Burwood
Byron
Caboolture
Cairns
Calliope
Caloundra
Cambridge
Camden
Campaspe
Campbelltown
Canada Bay
Canning
Canterbury
Cardinia
Carrathool
Casey
Central Goldfields
Cessnock
Charles Sturt
Clare & Gilbert
Claremont
Clarence
Cockburn
Coffs Harbour
Colac Otway
Corangamite
Cottesloe
Darebin
Darwin
Douglas
Dubbo
East Fremantle
Eurobodalla
Fairfield
Frankston
Fremantle
Gannawarra
Gladstone
Glenorchy
Gold Coast
Golden Plains
Gosford
Gosnells
Greater Bendigo
Greater Dandenong
Greater Geelong
Greater Shepparton
Greater Taree
Griffith
Hastings
Hawkesbury
Hepburn
Hervey Bay
Hobart
Hobsons Bay
Holdfast Bay
Holroyd
Hornsby
Horsham
Hume
Hunters Hill
Hurstville
Indigo
Ipswich
Joondalup
Kalamunda
Kalgoorlie
Kiama
Kingborough
Kingston
Knox
Kogarah
Ku-ring-gai
Kwinana
Lake Macquarie
Lane Cove
LaTrobe
Leeton
Leichhardt
Lismore
Lithgow
Liverpool
Loddon
Logan
Macedon Ranges
Mackay
Maitland
Mandurah
Manly
Manningham
Mareeba
Maribyrnong
Marion
Maroochy
Maroondah
Marrickville
Melbourne
Melville
Mid-Western
Mildura
Miriam Vale
Mitcham
Mitchell
Moira
Monash
Moonee Valley
Moorabool
Moreland
Mornington Peninsula
Mosman
Mount Alexander
Mount Barker
Moyne
Mundaring
Murrindindi
Murrumbidgee
Murweh
Muswellbrook
Narrandera
Nedlands
Newcastle
Nillumbik
Noosa
North Sydney
Northam
Northern Grampians
Norwood P & St Peters
Onkaparinga
Palmerston
Parramatta
Penrith
Peppermint Grove
Perth
Pine Rivers
Pittwater
Playford
Port Adelaide Enfield
Port Phillip
Port Stephens
Prospect
Pyrenees
Queenscliffe
Randwick
Redland
Rockdale
Rockhampton
Rockingham
Ryde
Salisbury
Serpentine-Jarrahdale
Shellharbour
South Perth
Stirling
Stonnington
Strathfield
Subiaco
Surf Coast
Sutherland
Swan
Swan Hill
Sydney
Tamworth
Tea Tree Gully
Thuringowa
Toodyay
Townsville
Towong
Tweed
Unley
Victoria Park
Vincent
Wangaratta
Wanneroo
Warringah
Warrnambool
Waverley
Wellington Shire
West Torrens
Whitehorse
Whittlesea
Willoughby
Wingecarribee
Wodonga
Wollongong
Woollahra
Wyndham
Yarra
Yarra Ranges
Australian Councils
Drivers to Setting Targets
Common Targets (from
BZE)
Barriers to Setting Targets
Barriers to Setting Climate Targets are...
30%
25%
20%
15%
10%
5%
0%
Leadership Lack of data Funding and Targets not
resourcing achievable
or
and politics
or realistic
inaccurate
(local)
data
Broader
external
factors
Growth
Other
Hitting and Missing Targets
Meeting Targets?
Reduced emissions
31%
46%
No increase/decrease
Increased emissions
23%
What Paris Means
What Paris Means
Science-Based Targets
Science-Based Targets
Science Based Targets –
Australia
Australian Climate Change Authority (CCA)
recommends national emissions “fair share”
budget for 2013–2050:
10.1 Gt CO2-e
Source: Climate Change Authority 2014
A “Fair Share” According to the CCA
2020 goals:
• 15% below 2000 levels
= budget of 4.2 Gt CO2-e (for 2013–2020)
Beyond 2020:
• 40 to 60% below 2000 levels by 2030
“faire share” budget 10.1 Gt CO2-e, 2013–2050
AUS Paris INDC:
• 26 to 28% below 2005 levels by 2030
Science Based Targets –
Australia
Australian Climate Change Authority
recommends national emissions “fair share”
budget for 2013–2050:
10.1 Gt CO2-e
6-7 CO2-e
Source: Climate Change Authority 2014
Science Based Targets For Australian
Councils
1. Follow the CCA and adopt the same goal
2. Derived from council population data and the
CCA Budget
3. Attempt a more representative budget using
additional data
4. Nationally Agreed Approach – Locally
Determined Contributions
Science Based Targets For Australian
Councils
1. Follow the CCA and adopt the same goal
2. Derived from council population data and the
goals:
CCA 2020
Budget
15%abelow
levels
3. Attempt
more 2000
representative
budget using
additional data
Beyond
2020:Approach – Locally
4. Nationally
Agreed
40 to 60%
below 2000 levels by 2030
Determined
Contributions
Science Based Targets For Australian
Councils
1. Follow the CCA and adopt the same goal
2. Derived from council population data and the
CCA Budget
3. Attempt a more representative budget using
additional data
4. Nationally Agreed Approach – Locally
Determined Contributions
Science Based Targets For Australian
Councils
2. Derived from council population data and the
CCA Budget
Science Based Targets For Australian
Councils
1. Follow the CCA and adopt the same goal
2. Derived from council population data and the
CCA Budget
3. Attempt a more representative budget using
additional data
4. Nationally Agreed Approach – Locally
Determined Contributions
Science Based Targets For Australian
Councils
3. Attempt a more representative budget using
additional data
Population
SEIFA Data
Sectoral Data
Science Based Targets For Australian
Councils
1. Follow the CCA and adopt the same goal
2. Derived from council population data and the
CCA Budget
3. Attempt a more representative budget using
additional data
4. Nationally Agreed Approach – Locally
Determined Contributions
Science Based Targets For Australian
Councils
4. Nationally Agreed Approach – Locally
Determined Contributions
Science Based Targets For Australian
Councils
1. Follow the CCA and adopt the same goal
2. Derived from council population data & CCA
3. Attempt a more representative budget using
additional data
4. Nationally Agreed Approach – Locally
Determined Contributions
Internationally
Everyone’s on the same
page
Thanks
More Info
• ICLEI – Local Governments for Sustainability;The Paris Climate
Package: A Basic Guide for Local and Subnational Governments
• Meinshausen et al; Greenhouse-gas Emission Targets for Limiting Global
Warming to Two Degrees
• BZE; Zero Carbon Communities
• Climate Change Authority; Reducing Australia’ s Greenhouse Gas
Emissions: Targets and Progress Review Final Report
• Climate Change Authority; Final report on Australia’s future emissions
reduction targets
• ClimateWorks Australia; Pathways to Deep Decarbonisation in Australia