Transcript data envelopment analysis

The INTOSAI Working Group on Key National Indicators
REPORT ON THE WORKING GROUP
ACTIVITY
(April 2011 – April 2012)
The 5th Meeting
April 3-4, 2012, Riga
Global risks 2012
Major systemic financial failure
Water supply crises
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Food shortage crises
Chronic fiscal imbalances
Extreme volatility in energy and agriculture
prices
Diffusion of weapons of mass destruction
Severe income disparity
Global governance failure
Critical systems failure
Terrorism
Recurring liquidity crises
Rising greenhouse gas emissions
Failure of climate change adaptation
Failure of diplomatic conflict resolution
Land
and
waterway use mismanagement
Vulnerability to pandemics
Critical fragile states
Irremediable pollution
Cyber attacks
Unmanageable inflation or deflation
Persistent extreme weather
Antibiotic-resistant bacteria
Pervasive entrenched corruption
Unprecedented geophysical destruction
Chronic labour market imbalances
Mismanagement of population aging
Unmanaged migration
Prolonged infrastructure neglect
Mismanaged urbanization
Rising rates of chronic disease
Entrenched organized crime
Mineral resource supply vulnerability
Massive incident of data fraud or theft
Hard landing of an emerging economy
Unintended consequences of climate change
Massive digital misinformation
mitigation
Backlash against globalization
Species overexploitation
Unintended consequences of new life science
Widespread illicit trade
technologies
Unilateral resource nationalization
Unsustainable population growth
3.5
3
Militarization of space
Rising religious fanaticism
Vulnerability to geomagnetic storms
Ineffective drug policies
Unintended consequences of nanotechnology
Unforeseen negative consequences of
regulations
Impact
Failure of intellectual property regime
Proliferation of orbital debris
2.5
2.2
Likelihood
2.7
3.2
3.7
4.2
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Methodology on the KNI selection for the
use in SAIs activity
Main points:
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universal principles of SAIs activity in the process of selection and use of KNIs;
goals of SAIs in the process of selection and using KNIs;
tasks of SAIs in the process of selection and using KNIs;
legal and regulatory, institutional, information and methodological and financial
support of the selection and use of KNI;
basic characteristics of KNI systems;
classification of KNI;
selection of KNIs for their use in auditing;
regularly publishing of special reports on the use of KNI in SAI’s activity;
accumulation and dissemination of knowledge obtained by SAIs as a result of the
use of KNIs;
dissemination of the existing international and national experience.
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Subprojects for 2011
• Analysis of opportunities on the use of KNI for
international comparisons and preparation of
appropriate recommendations;
• SAI's role in development and use of key indicators for
R&D evaluation.
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White Paper on KNI
Conclusions
Problem overview
Principles for SAIs
application of KNI
Countries
experience
in development
and use of KNI
International
organizations
experience in progress
measurement
White
Paper
Key national
indicators: Guide to
terms and
concepts
Recommendation
for knowledge-based
economies
Role of KNI
in sustainable
development
monitoring
New subprojects
Recommendations
for the development
and use of KNI in
developing economies
• Methodology on the KNI selection for the use in SAIs activity;
• Analysis of opportunities on the use of KNI for international comparisons and preparation of appropriate
recommendations;
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• SAI's role in development and use of key indicators for R&D evaluation.
European meadow of life quality
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European economic meadow
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Comparison of GCI and BLI assessments
(case of Germany)
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Comparison of GCI and BLI assessments
(case of Russia)
Better Life Index
Global Competitiveness Index
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Visualization of comparisons of countries
position and development goals
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Data Envelopment Analysis
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Knowledge Base on KNI (http://nfbr.prognoz.ru/kni)
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Web-site of the INTOSAI Working
Group on KNI
www.ach.gov.ru/en/intosaikni
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Thank you!