Transcript Research Plan - CIWARA

CIWARA feedback
Assessment of Progress
• Better understanding of the mechanics of integrated
assessment
• Concept of RAPs assimilated, but need to be downscaled to
site level and turned into contrasting sets of management
practices
• Tools for upscaling (including crop – agro-economics linkages)
mastered
• Better understanding of two-way data exchanges between
crop modelers and agro-economists
• Clarity gained on climate data quality check, filling procedures
and new tools acquired
• Detailed plan for the fast-track period
• Re-organization of work flow by sites with fast-track =
incentivizes group work, concrete articulation of deliverables
Adjustment of research plans to
address requirements of integrated assessments etc.
(Fast-Track only)
DEADLINE
TASKS
PERSON IN
CHARGE
21Sept
All climate data available in raw format and
circulated
To the whole team
SBT
All CIVT/Souna3 genetics coefficient available to all MD
Management MLX migrate in APSIM, Sarah
MD/DSKM/A
A
28 Sept
PDFs ready
JB
8 Oct
Rome posters produced
PCST
10Oct
Climate scenario downscaled for Nioro (SBT/ON). 5 SBT/ON
Adjustment of research plans to
address requirements of integrated assessments etc.
(Fast-Track only)
DEADLINE
TASKS
PERSON IN
CHARGE
17Oct
Strata data available for crop simulation by IH
IH
24Oct
Revised genetics coefficients for Souna3 (calibrated) by MD/JB
MD
MLX files gnerated for all Nioro farms by MD
MA
15Nov
CDFs available by JBN
JB/MA
05Jan
TOA analysis results by IH
IH
15Jan
Submission of first track report to AgMIP
SGKA
Summary of outstanding team needs
• Conceptual / terminology issues:
– ‘matched vs. unmatched data’ (Crops only? Economics only?
Integrated)
• Data issues
– HH survey data access:
• Burkina Faso, Niger not yet covered
• Senegal, Mali, Ghana: covered with fall-back plans in place
(Kaffrine > Kolda, UWR, Bougouni > Tominian)
– Inventory & quality rating/ranking of experimental crop
datasets for calibration still required (Ti/Mn/Co sentinel sites)
Summary of outstanding team needs
• Procedural issues
– Procedures for soil x management x farm combinations at
sites (missing farm geolocations): random allocation?
Stratified random / weighting? – will depend on results from
initial HH x GIS data analysis
• Capacity issues
– Improve internal project capacity on APSIM
– Online support tools including CIWARA resources on
research.agmip.org
Summary of outstanding team needs
• Management issues
– Plan for physical gatherings to avoid disintegration (lump
scientist mobility funds for group meeting, take advantage of
other opportunities: Rome etc.)
– Students identification & recruitment (only 1 identified so far)
– Project planning beyond fast-track stage
– Migration of new timeline & responsibilities into revised
budgets, SOWs
Publications
• Evaluation of CMIP-5 climate models in West Africa with
climate change projections under RCP scenarios (SBT, Feb
2014)
• Inter-comparison of baseline millet yields from 3 crop models:
Nioro fast-track (JBN, Jan 2013; poster # 2: Rome)
• Integrated assessment of climate change impact on millet
farmers: Nioro district, Senegal (IH, Mar 2013)
• SxMxF allocation matrix methodological paper (MA, Jan 2013)
• Methodological paper on translating RAPs into quantitative
management practices (PCST, May 2013)
• CIWARA poster # 1 Rome (SGKA, Oct 2012)
Anticipated contributions to national
and/or regional assessments
• Engagement of 5 NAPA / NCC focal points for
AgMIP/CIWARA input into policy documents
• Invitation of key regional organizations during the 5
planned country outreach events: ROPPA, ECOWAS,
ECOWAP/CAADP, CORAF, CILSS
• Possibility to strengthen interactions with WASCAL for
capacity building – already 2 PhD will feed into
CIWARA: F. Akinseye (crops), S.S. Traore (scaling)
• Leveraging funds for a West African farming systems
modeling network – WASCAL and other routes