Transcript Leilani-Lee-Yates

Region of Peel
Climate Change Strategy
A Collaborative Approach
April 15, 2010 Climate Change Round Table Conference
Leilani Lee-Yates, MCIP, RPP
Principal Planner
Planning Policy and Research Division
Immigration Growth
Source: 2006 Census Immigrant Status, Citizenship and Language
Peel Data Centre
1996: First Region of Peel
Official Plan
2004:
Liveable Peel Initiative
2007 - 2010: Peel Region
Official Plan Review
(PROPR)
Environment First
Long-term Planning (2050)
ROPA 20: Sustainability
Ecosystem Approach
More Comprehensive (MultiDepartmental Research)
Sustainability Theme for ROP
Introduces “Sustainability”
Introduces Sustainable Development
Thinking
2002: Regional
Official Plan
Strategic Update
(ROPSU)
Community Outreach
Built Support for new sustainability
policies in ROP
2000
1996
2005
Direction for Corporate
Sustainability Strategy
Direction for Climate Change
Strategy
2008 - 2011:
Corporate
Sustainability &
Climate Change
2010
Stage 1
Stage 2
Stage 3
Getting
Started
Planning and
Implementation
Embedding
Sustainability
Peel’s Sustainability Journey
Direction for a Climate Change
Strategy
•
•
•
•
Strategic Plan
Regional Official Plan Amendment 20
Work with the Conservation Authorities
Policy Direction at the Area Municipal
Level
What is Climate Change?
• Any change in climate over time whether
due to natural variability or as a result of
human activity that cause greenhouse
gases (GHGs).
Sources of Local Emissions
Source: Ontario Emission Actual Percentages by GGAP Theme, 2008 National GHG Inventory
Mitigation and Adaptation
Mitigation
Adaptation
Reduced Air
Travel
Green Roofs
Sewer
Upgrades
Capture
Landfill Gas
Better
Insulation
Heat Alert
System
Expand Transit
Use
Permeable
Pavement
Vector Disease
Eradication
Energy
Conservation
Reduce Peak
Demand
Control of
Invasive
Species
Active
Transportation
Expand Tree
Canopy
And others….
And others…
Business
Continuity
Planning
And others…
Source: U of T and OPPI Professional Development Course: Preparing for Climate Change, October 2008.
How Will our Climate Change?
Global Climate Model Projections for Region – 2050s
Annual Mean
Temps Warming
2.6 – 4.0 C
Annual Mean
Precip Increasing
6-10%
Scenario data from AR4 CGCM3 and HadCM3
Changes relative to 1961-1990 Baseline Climate
Source: Environment Canada
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What are the Risks?
100
Top 3 risks in Ontario municipalities
80
70
60
Weather
Weather related
Non-weather
50
40
30
20
10
0
There are, and will be, local effects
Don Valley Flooding, Toronto
(Photo Courtesy of Heather Auld, 2009)
Thunderstorm,
Mississauga, 2009
Tornado, Vaughan, 2009
Climate Change Strategy
• Scope of Work:
– Prepare a strategy for the geographic region
of Peel to mitigate and adapt to climate
change;
– Assist the partners with focusing their
resources for climate change work
– Provide future direction for the partners; and
– Implementation will be a shared responsibility
that will be carried out as appropriate by the
partners.
Using the Strategy
• The Strategy will be used:
– To show leadership on climate change issues;
– To highlight ongoing programs and initiatives;
– To demonstrate how existing programs and initiatives align with/
can be viewed as GHG mitigation and adaptation measures;
– To integrate concepts and compatible actions from various
disciplines/sectors at the strategic planning level;
– As a roadmap for next steps;
– As a reference point for newly suggested activities;
– As a basis for future prioritization of climate change adaptation
actions/initiatives; and
– As a living document to be updated as circumstances/approaches
change.
Strategic Plan for Climate Change
Approvals/Adoption Early 2011
Strategic
Planning
Finalize Strategy
Stakeholder & Council Consultation Fall 2010
Information
Gathering
Develop the Strategy
Current Actions & Identifying Gaps
Stakeholder Workshop #1 – Impacts & Actions
Background Research – What is being done in & outside Peel?
Project Start – Up & Consultant Retention Summer/Fall 2009
Background Research
Key Findings: A Changing Climate
• Increase to annual and
seasonal temperatures
• Slight increase in annual
and seasonal precipitation
• An increase in the number
of extreme heat days
• Change to the frequency
and intensity of extreme
weather events
Caledon
HillsLake, Brampton
Professor’s
Potentially Affected Sectors
Agriculture
Natural Heritage
Built Form
Transportation
Energy
Water Resources
Human Services
Public
Infrastructure
Industrial/
Commercial/
Institutional
Public Health
A Changing Climate: Potential
Local Impacts
• Potential risks for each of the
four main climate impacts
included:
– Increased insurance costs
– Disruptions to the transportation
of goods and people
– Increased risk of respiratory (and
other) illness
– Crop yield changes
– Higher demand for energy for
cooling
– Structural damage to homes,
businesses and infrastructure
– Expanded infestations of invasive
species and tree pests
– Social isolation
Pearson International Airport,
Mississauga
Bringing it All Together
Changes in
Climate
An increase to
annual and seasonal
temperatures
Slight increase in
annual and seasonal
precipitation
Actions
Natural Heritage
Transportation
Water Resources
An increase in the
number of extreme
heat days.
Changes to the
frequency and
intensity of extreme
weather events
Risks
Sectors
Public
Infrastructure
Public Health
Disruption to
business processes
Adverse human
health effects
Risks to biodiversity
Damage to
infrastructure and
property
Imbalanced
ecosystems
Changes to
recreation patterns
Increased need for
the provision of
social services and
health care
Portions adapted from UNDP’s Monitoring Framework for Climate Change Adaptation, 2008
(Mitigation &
Adaptation
Responses)
Policy/Planning
Capacity Building
Information
Management
Investment
Practices
Technology
Other
Key Considerations
•
The science, models and climate change adaptation literature will eventually
become more regionally specific. However, current uncertainty is not a
reason to delay.
•
Given the uncertainties, there is an inherent need to be nimble and flexible
during the development and implementation of the Strategy (i.e., implement
adaptive management).
•
Peel is a unique region with a growing (and aging) population, an extremely
multicultural composition, unique physical attributes, a combination of rural
and urban landscapes, and a distinct cultural heritage. The Strategy will
need to be responsive to these unique attributes.
•
The actions selected for the Strategy will need to reflect the sustainability
framework – considering social, economic, environmental and cultural
aspects of the geographic region of Peel.
Key Considerations (cont’d)
•
The action plans will need to span the six partners’ realms of
responsibility including instilling climate change into the governance
structures, policy development and operational plans and programs.
•
The literature has shown that the costs of not adapting will be greater than
inaction in many cases. “No-regret” and “win-win” strategies are costeffective.
•
A monitoring framework will be further refined during the latter stages of
this project.
•
Communication about the intent, outcomes and cost of the Strategy are
very important, especially with decision-makers.
Next Steps: Stakeholder Input
• www.peelregion.ca/climatechange
• Stakeholder Workshop #1
– Dec. 1, 2009
• Stakeholder Workshop #2
– TBD
• Public Open Houses
– TBD
• Councils/Boards Workshop
– TBD
Thank you!
[email protected]
April 15, 2010 Climate Change Round Table Conference
Leilani Lee-Yates, MCIP, RPP
Principal Planner
Planning Policy and Research Division