Transcript UK_2015-03-24 ASC`s approach to NAP report_Final

Title
Approach to ASC’s evaluation of
UK National Adaptation
Programme
UK Climate Change Act created statutory
adaptation policy cycle
1. Government assesses risks and opportunities from climate change (CCRA)
2. Produces a policy programme to address those risks (NAP)
3. Independent scrutiny of progress with the policy programme (ASC)
Structure of UK National Adaptation Programme
• Around 370 actions across the 6 themes
• Most (~75%) owned by Government and its agencies
• Remainder owned by business, utilities, academia, NGOs
• We have identified Adaptation Priorities for each NAP theme – the key factors
that are most important for managing climate risks.
• We will evaluate progress with each of these adaptation priorities
Adaptation
priorities
Is there a plan?
Priority #1
Green –plans or policies are
e.g.
in place to fully address the
Community
-scale flood adaptation priority
defence
Amber – plans or policies in
place that partially address
the adaptation priority
Red – no policies in place
Are actions being taken?
Is progress being made in
managing vulnerability?
Green – on track
Green – relevant NAP actions • Vulnerability reducing, or not
fully met or on-track
increasing
• High uptake low-regret actions
Amber – not all relevant NAP • Long-term decisions are
actions fully met or on-track accounting for future climate
Red – relevant NAP actions
behind schedule
Amber – behind schedule
• Some trends in vulnerability
increasing
• Scope to increase low-regret
action
• Not all decisions accounting for
future climate
Red – not started
• Most trends in vulnerability
increasing
• Minimal uptake of low-regret
actions
• Decisions not accounting for
future climate
ASC indicator framework
IPCC Definition of Climate Risk
Trends in realised impacts
Trends in vulnerability
Trends in
uptake of
adaptation
actions
Trends in exposure
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Approach to identifying indicators
•
Identified and characterised around 170 indicators across the 6 NAP themes.
•
Data drawn from a wide range of sources:
–
Government statistical publications
–
Trade body information
–
Policy responses
–
Consultancy research
–
Stakeholder engagement
•
Mainly publically available
•
Commissioned research to plug gaps
•
Most indicators not originally designed for
adaptation
•
Consulted on draft indicators
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Example of indicators and analysis we will use to
evaluate progress
Adaptation
priority
Indicators
Analysis of low-regret actions/longterm decision-making
New
development
located in
appropriate
areas and flood
resilient
• Number of new properties built
in areas of high flood risk per
year
• Are local authorities accounting for
future flood risk when making
strategic development allocations?
• Proportion of planning
applications in flood risk areas
receiving EA advice
• Are local authorities accounting for
future flood risk when making
decisions on individual planning
applications?
• Proportion of EA objections on
flood risk grounds overruled by
local authority
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Annual rate of development has been higher on
floodplain than outside it
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Environment Agency advice is followed in almost
all cases where specific advice is provided
Outcome of Environment Agency objections on flood risk grounds
Source: AMEC (2014) for the ASC
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Draft scorecard for Built Environment theme
Adaptation priorities
Community-scale flood defence
Prevention of surface water flooding
New development located in
appropriate areas and flood resilient
Flood resilience of existing buildings
Resilience of people in
buildings/built-up areas to high
temperatures
Water use in the built environment
Is there a plan?
Are actions
taking place?
Is progress being made in
managing vulnerability?
Adaptation Sub-Committee
http://www.theccc.org.uk
[email protected]
@theCCCuk
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