Transcript Titel - espon

Scenario Workshops Summary
Economy
• Scale of analysis vs. scale of practical intervention /
problems
• Pure economic approach + sort-sighted approaches vs.
other values
• But: don’t ask the models to do everything
• Competitiveness approach in CEEC due to lack of other
alternatives (no means for regional policy)
• Competition v cohesion & sustainability: no 0|1 solutions
but compromise solutions
• Phasing approach: promise of future paradise in
exchange for current sufferings ? => spatial inertia
• Combine policy for growth poles with policy for capacity
for diffusion => don’t fight it, cope with it
• Don’t exaggerate influence of planners: scenarios should
deliver ideas on most important future trends for regional
development
Demography
• Consequences of ageing on territorial development:
– Ageing maybe not a problem: territorial diversity
– Restructuring of economic production processes
– Some national/regional social systems overburdened:
higher level redistribution
• Levers for altering natural population trends:
– Job security and child care
– Financial and housing security
– But scepticism about real possibilities
• Immigration as lever:
– Cultural stability as important as stable population
– Immigration might artificially support obsolete
structures
– Division between labour and knowledge regions
Environment
• Main threats
– Loss of biodiversity, urban sprawl, fragmentation
– Intensification of agriculture (biofuels)
– Climate change: water shortage, floods, heat
– 4 areas: nordic, coast, mountain, Mediterranean
• New technological developments
– New forms of storage of energy & self-sufficiency
– Small scale energy production: opportunity for rural
• Policies
– Ambiguous role of environment as cross-cutting
theme
– Implementation, not new policies
– Financial measure to incite new technologies
– Need for more climate change adaptation measures
Transport/Energy
• Transport policy impact strongly depends on actual
realisation of connections
• Distinguish high and low speed transport
• High costs of HST limit subsitution potential vs. Airlines
• Depends on energy prices/constraints
• Future urban sprawl = balance between energy and land
prices
• Whole system can strongly be influenced by new
technologies, railway systems, settlements patterns
• Increase of divergence in accessibility: high vs low
speed, high vs low accessibility
• Concentration on certain corridors
• ”recommendations”: improve, not increase road
capacity; no excessive privatisation; differentiate
approaches according to local conditions