Transcript Climate Service Center

The
Climate Service Center
Guy P. Brasseur
Irene Fischer-Bruns
Climate Service Center - Germany
Hamburg
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4th WCRP WOAP Meeting, 29-31 March 2010, KlimaCampus, Uni Hamburg
The First Grand Challenge:
Numerical Weather Prediction
Weather Prediction compared with
Satellite Observations
ECMWF predictions and Meteosat observations
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4th WCRP WOAP Meeting, 29-31 March 2010, KlimaCampus, Uni Hamburg
The Second Grand Challenge:
Predicting Climate Change
A1B is a typical “business as usual” scenario (2090-2099):
(2090-2099)
(2090-2099)
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4th WCRP WOAP Meeting, 29-31 March 2010, KlimaCampus, Uni Hamburg
The Third Grand Challenge:
Understanding the Earth as a
Complex Nonlinear Interactive System
Courtesy of Julia Slingo
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4th WCRP WOAP Meeting, 29-31 March 2010, KlimaCampus, Uni Hamburg
WCC-3 Vision
To develop an
“International framework for climate services that links
science-based climate predictions & information
with the management of climate-related risks & opportunities
in support of adaptation to climate variability & change
in both developed & developing countries”
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4th WCRP WOAP Meeting, 29-31 March 2010, KlimaCampus, Uni Hamburg
Interactions with
users/stakeholders
Energy supply
Threshold diurnal
amplitude
Decision support tools
Dedicated analyses
Support Innovation : eg EIT
Impact studies
Socio-economy, Ecosystems, Health
Develop Interdisciplinarity
Climate Indicators
Heat waves, drought/floods
Maize yield change
Heat index
(ENSEMBLES FP6)
Climate projections
Global models
downscaling
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Climate Observations
4th WCRP WOAP Meeting,From:
29-31 Sylvie
MarchJoussaume
2010, KlimaCampus, Uni Hamburg
Users of
climate information
There are many economic
sectors that will benefit from
and contribute to
Climate Services …
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4th WCRP WOAP Meeting, 29-31 March 2010, KlimaCampus, Uni Hamburg
Users of
climate information
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Energy sector, especially renewable energies
4th WCRP WOAP Meeting, 29-31 March 2010, KlimaCampus, Uni Hamburg
Users of
climate information
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Energy sector, especially renewable energies
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Financial services and insurances
4th WCRP WOAP Meeting, 29-31 March 2010, KlimaCampus, Uni Hamburg
Users of
climate information
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Energy sector, especially renewable energies
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Financial services and insurances
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Transport, infrastructure; trade and commerce
4th WCRP WOAP Meeting, 29-31 March 2010, KlimaCampus, Uni Hamburg
Users of
climate information
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Energy sector, especially renewable energies
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Financial services and insurances
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Transport, infrastructure; trade and commerce
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Regional and urban planning; construction
4th WCRP WOAP Meeting, 29-31 March 2010, KlimaCampus, Uni Hamburg
Users of
climate information
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Energy sector, especially renewable energies
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Financial services and insurances
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Transport, infrastructure; trade and commerce
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Regional and urban planning; construction
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Agriculture; food availability
4th WCRP WOAP Meeting, 29-31 March 2010, KlimaCampus, Uni Hamburg
Users of
climate information
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Energy sector, especially renewable energies
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Financial services and insurances
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Transport, infrastructure; trade and commerce
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Regional and and urban planning; construction
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Agriculture; food availability
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Water management
4th WCRP WOAP Meeting, 29-31 March 2010, KlimaCampus, Uni Hamburg
Users of
climate information
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Energy sector, especially renewable energies
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Financial services and insurances
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Transport, infrastructure; trade and commerce
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Regional and and urban planning; construction
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Agriculture; food availability
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Water management
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Coastal management; fisheries
4th WCRP WOAP Meeting, 29-31 March 2010, KlimaCampus, Uni Hamburg
Users of
climate information

Energy sector, especially renewable energies
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Financial services and insurances
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Transport, infrastructure; trade and commerce
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Regional and and urban planning; construction
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Agriculture; food availability
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Water management
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Coastal management; fisheries
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Forestry; land management;
landscape protection
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4th WCRP WOAP Meeting, 29-31 March 2010, KlimaCampus, Uni Hamburg
Users of
climate information
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Energy sector, especially renewable energies
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Financial services and insurances
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Transport, infrastructure; trade and commerce
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Regional and and urban planning; construction
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Agriculture; food availability
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Water management
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Coastal management, fisheries
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Forestry; land management;
landscape protection
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Civil protection; environmental security; human health
4th WCRP WOAP Meeting, 29-31 March 2010, KlimaCampus, Uni Hamburg
Users of
climate information
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Energy sector, especially renewable energies
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Financial services and insurances
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Transport, infrastructure; trade and commerce
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Regional and and urban planning; construction
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Agriculture; food availability
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Water management
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Coastal management; fisheries
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Forestry; land management; landscape protection
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Civil protection; environmental security; human health
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Tourism and leisure industry
4th WCRP WOAP Meeting, 29-31 March 2010, KlimaCampus, Uni Hamburg
Climate Service Center
The Climate Service Center (CSC) was
established in Hamburg by the German
Federal Government as part of their
“High-Tech” strategy to reduce
vulnerability to climate change impacts.
CSC is a federal institution administered by
GKSS. It will include 20 staff members (base
funding from BMBF) and additional staff
supported by external projects (EU, BMBF,
states, industry, financial sector, etc.)
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4th WCRP WOAP Meeting, 29-31 March 2010, KlimaCampus, Uni Hamburg
Immediate Goals
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Coordination and dissemination of user-friendly
climate information produced by German institutions
Improved transfer of information from the research
to users and initiation of research activity to address
users’ requirements
Production of concrete climate-related information
to fulfill the stated needs of the users/customers
Synthesis and evaluation of latest outcome of climate
and environmental research
Transfer of requests from users to the network of
German research institutions
4th WCRP WOAP Meeting, 29-31 March 2010, KlimaCampus, Uni Hamburg
Longer-term Goals
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Developing prediction systems for global, regional,
and local prediction of climate change and their impacts
on ecosystems, hydrological system, air quality, health
in Germany and elsewhere
Development of effective strategies towards reduction
and adaption to climate impacts
Contribution to the development of other Climate Services,
e.g. in Africa, with emphasis on issues like drought, food
availability, forest management, etc.
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4th WCRP WOAP Meeting, 29-31 March 2010, KlimaCampus, Uni Hamburg
Network & Partnerships (1)
The CSC was established as a national,
research-based service facility in a
strong network of partner institutions
It is promoting partnerships
to focus on
 interactions between science and society
 the integration of climate research & application needs
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4th WCRP WOAP Meeting, 29-31 March 2010, KlimaCampus, Uni Hamburg
Partnerships (2)
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CSC develops interactions with stakeholders
who can benefit from the knowledge provided
by the network
It develops decision-making processes to help
ensure effective applications of
science to societal needs
4th WCRP WOAP Meeting, 29-31 March 2010, KlimaCampus, Uni Hamburg
Partnerships (3)
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The CSC is building up partnerships with
- Decision makers in business and industry
- Non-governmental organizations
- Local, national & internat. governmental agencies
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It will work together closely with
- Universities
- National and international research institutions
- Environmental research & assessment programs
4th WCRP WOAP Meeting, 29-31 March 2010, KlimaCampus, Uni Hamburg
The National Context
(in Germany)
CSC is coordinating and promoting efforts conducted by
a large network of institutions:
1) Ministries (Research, Environment, Transport)
2) Research Institutions (Max Planck, Helmholtz, Universities…)
3) Regional Climate Offices of HGF
4) Meteorological Service (DWD)
5) Private Sector (energy, insurance, finances…)
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4th WCRP WOAP Meeting, 29-31 March 2010, KlimaCampus, Uni Hamburg
The International Context
USA
National Climate Services (NOAA)
Climate Central, Princeton
The World Climate Conference-3
Geneva, 2009
Canada
OURANOS, Montreal
Pacific Institute for Climate Solutions (PICS),
Victoria
UK
Hadley Centre
Walker Institute
Germany
Climate Service Center, Hamburg
Regional Climate Offices
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4th WCRP WOAP Meeting, 29-31 March 2010, KlimaCampus, Uni Hamburg
Planned Organization
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Director
 Executive Assistant (General Coordination)
 Strategy Development, Management of BMBF Project & Budget
 Organization of Workshops / other professional events
Project Management, Elaboration and distribution of CSC Products
 Network Management & Customer Service
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4th WCRP WOAP Meeting, 29-31 March 2010, KlimaCampus, Uni Hamburg
Planned Organization
Data analysis and
processing of climate
projections (multimodel ensembles)
Processing of
individual requests
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Project
Development
Translation of
knowlegde for the
needs of different
sectors
Support of studies
by groups of experts
Website, MediaDevelopment
External contacts
(sectors, press)
Organization of
interdisciplinary
courses and events
4th WCRP WOAP Meeting, 29-31 March 2010, KlimaCampus, Uni Hamburg
Products and Services
•
Networking, initiation of cooperations & partnerships
•
Website, PR and media presence
•
Processing of individual customer requests
•
Publications, newsletters & annual CSC conferences
•
Realization of expert workshops
•
Provide specialized lecturers
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Initiation of practice- and customer-oriented projects
•
Participation in the (inter)national climate debate
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4th WCRP WOAP Meeting, 29-31 March 2010, KlimaCampus, Uni Hamburg
Recent Achievements (1)
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Preliminary discussions for extension of CSC network
(PIK, GFZ, UFZ, AWI, “Regional Climate Offices”, UBA etc)
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Visit to several Bundesländer (Niedersachsen, Sachsen,
South German Länder, etc.)
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Participation Brasseur in the visit of Prof. Dr. Mrs. Schavan,
Minister of Science, in Washington (workshop at NSF)
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Session at the Summer AGU Assembly (Brazil)
on Climate Services (Convenor: Brasseur)
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4th WCRP WOAP Meeting, 29-31 March 2010, KlimaCampus, Uni Hamburg
Recent Achievements (2)
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A cooperation agreement with the Shanghai
Meteorological Bureau (SMB) focusing on climate services
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A series of workshops with GDV (Feb 2010, April 2010, …)
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Meeting of the European Global Change Forum
(industry, NGO) at CSC in March 2010
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4th WCRP WOAP Meeting, 29-31 March 2010, KlimaCampus, Uni Hamburg
Possible Initiatives
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Study of the trends in the global temperature records
by an international group of experts, and publication
of a study report
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Workshop on „What after Copenhagen?“
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Development of a research project on the prediction
of convective events and the related damages in
Europe (follow-up of symposium with insurance
companies)
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4th WCRP WOAP Meeting, 29-31 March 2010, KlimaCampus, Uni Hamburg
Conclusions (1)
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Climate variability and change have considerable
consequences on the Earth’s ecosystems and on
human societies
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Climate science has made major advances during
the last two decades. However, the knowledge has
to be translated into user-friendly climate information
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Climate Service Centers build bridges between
climate science and societal /applicational needs
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4th WCRP WOAP Meeting, 29-31 March 2010, KlimaCampus, Uni Hamburg
We need an
integrated system with:
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Coherent observations, data systems, and shared
standards that allow easy exchanges of data
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Reliable prediction models on seasonal, interannual,
decadal variability of extreme regional weather events
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Sufficient computer resources to develop and implement
the required high-resolution global physical climate models
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Human resources that conduct innovative research
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Climate Services that deliver science-based information
to society
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4th WCRP WOAP Meeting, 29-31 March 2010, KlimaCampus, Uni Hamburg
Thank you.
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4th WCRP WOAP Meeting, 29-31 March 2010, KlimaCampus, Uni Hamburg
Management (External Bodies)
Not yet decided by BMBF…. But probably:
Steering Committee with representatives of Ministries
and Helmholtz Association
Partner Forum (DWD, MPI-M, Kompass, etc.)
Advisory Panel (ad hoc for specific problems)
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4th WCRP WOAP Meeting, 29-31 March 2010, KlimaCampus, Uni Hamburg
German Adaptation Strategy
The German Adaptation Strategy aims to
 reduce vulnerability to climate change impacts
 maintain or enhance adaptability of natural, societal, and
economic systems
Sustainable planning and acting requires to
 widen the knowledge base
 create transparency and participation
 support stakeholders by providing the basis for
decision-making
 raise awareness and provide information
through broad public relations
 develop strategies to deal with uncertainties
Climate Services in Germany
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4th WCRP WOAP Meeting, 29-31 March 2010, KlimaCampus, Uni Hamburg