Transcript SICCME for FIS and POC Committees_2013

ICES/PICES Strategic Initiative/Section
on Climate Change effects on Marine
Ecosystems (SICCME/S-CCME)
S-CCME Meeting
PICES Annual Meeting
October 13, 2013
Co-chairs:
Anne Hollowed, Suam Kim (PICES),
Manuel Barange, Brian MacKenzie (ICES)
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SICCME Contributions to Intl. Climate
Impact Assessments
UN Millennium
Climate Report
Human
Dimensions
IPCC
IPCC
IPCC
Earth System
Modeling &
Analysis
IPCC
Earth System
Modeling &
Analysis
Synthesis &
Reporting
Synthesis &
Reporting
Workshop
2012
2013
ICES JMS
68(6)
2015
2016
ICES JMS 70(5)
2ndECCWO
Yeosu
SICCME
Synthesis &
Comparative
Research
2014
Earth
Ecosystems
PICES WK1
SICCME
Marine
Ecosystem
Modeling &
Analysis
St. Petersburg
Spatial WKSHP
Synthesis Paper.
ICES JMS 70(5)
2017
Symposium
volume
3rd ECCWO
Brazil
SICCME
Model Update
& Revision
2018
Symposium
SICCME
Synthesis &
Comparative
Research
2019
2021
Northern
Hemisphere
Marine
Ecosystems
SICCME
Marine
Ecosystem
Modeling &
Analysis
Regional
Synthesis
Training
Simulation
Tools and Models
Ocean Monitoring Program
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Workshop on Global Assessment of the Implications of Climate
Change on the Spatial Distribution of Fish and Fisheries
(1)
Hollowed1,
Peck2,
Kim1
Anne
Myron
Suam
May 22nd to 24th 2013, St. Petersburg, Russia
(2)
6 (Interactive) Sessions, 11 keynote speakers
1) Analytical methods for detecting changes in spatial
distribution
2) Skill Assessment and model inter-comparison
3) Quantifying uncertainty
4) Design specification for database of observations of
distribution of living marine resources
5) Risk Assessment
6) Communicating outcomes to inform decisions
regarding management of living marine resources
under changing climate
1-2 keynotes→Breakout group questions→Plenary Summary
Outcomes…
• Key recommendations were produced in each of
the six sessions
• Report available at ICES and at PICES websites
• Work dovetails well with this year‘s ASC theme
sessions (B…)
• Manuscripts from this workshop and from theme
session B will compose a special volume in the
ICES Journal of Marine Science
• SICCME moving forward with inter-comparisons
(among models within same system and among
ecosystems across globe)
IPCC Linkages
 Some IPCC chapter authors are active members of the ICES and
PICES community.
 Working Group I
 Chapter 10: Detection and Attribution of Climate Change: Jim Overland (USA)
 Working Group II
 Chapter 5: Coastal Systems and Low Lying Areas Jean-Pierre Gattuso (France)
 Chapter 6: Ocean Systems Hans-O. Pörtner (Germany)
William Cheung (Canada)
 Chapter 7: Food Production Systems and Food Security Kevren Cochrane
(South Africa)
 Chapter 28 Polar Regions: Anne Hollowed (USA)
 Chapter 30 Oceans: Sukgeun Jung (Korea) and Svein Sundby (Norway)
 Working Group III
 Chapter 5 Jake Rice (Canada)
ICES ASC Theme Sessions 2013
B. Responses of living marine resources to climate change and variability: learning from
the past and projecting the future (co-sponsored by PICES). Convenors William W. L. Cheung,
Canada, PICES, Myron A. Peck, Germany, Vincent Saba, USA
D. Physico–chemical aspects of ocean acidification in the ICES area. Convenors: David J.
Hydes, UK; Jon Olafsson, Iceland; Alberto Vieria Borges, Belgium
L. Hydrographic processes, circulation, and water mass formation in the polar
and subpolar basins. Convenors: Stephen Dye, UK, Hedinn Valdimarsson, Iceland, Igor
Yashayaev, Canada
M. Identifying mechanisms linking physical climate and ecosystem change:
Observed indices, hypothesized processes, and "data dreams" for the future (cosponsored by PICES). Convenors: Emanuele Di Lorenzo, COVE-AP; USA, PICES; Arthur J. Miller, USA,
PICES; Marc Hufnagl, Germany, ICES
N. The pelagic fish complexes in the North Atlantic Ocean: Distribution, productivity,
and inter-specific competition during changing climate. Convenors: Asta Gudmundsdottir,
Iceland; David Miller, the Netherlands; Geir Huse, Norway
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Workshops in PICES Annual Meeting 2013
(co-sponsored by ICES)
Workshop (W1). Comparison of size-based and species based
ecosystem models. Co-sponsored by ICES. Co-Convenors: Jeffrey
Polovina (USA), Anne Hollowed (USA), Shin-ichi Ito (Japan) , Myron Peck (Germany)
Workshop (W2). Identifying mechanisms linking physical climate
and ecosystem change: Observed indices, hypothesized
processes, and "data dreams" for the future. Co-sponsored by
ICES. Co-Convenors: Jack Barth (USA), Emanuele Di Lorenzo (USA), Marc
Hufnagl (Germany), Jacquelynne King (Canada), Arthur Miller (USA), Shoshiro
Minobe (Japan), Ryan Rykaczewski (USA) , Kazuaki Tadokoro (Japan)
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Effects of Climate Change on the World’s Oceans
3rd International Symposium
March 23-27, 2015
Santos, Brazil
Convenors: Luis Valdes (IOC), Manuel Barange (ICES), Jacquelynne King
(PICES), Alex Turra (U San Paulo)
bring together experts from different disciplines to exchange observations, results,
models and ideas on the impacts of climate change on the world’s oceans
 two previous symposia each attracted over 400 scientists from over 45 countries,
making the effort truly global in scale
 combine paper Sessions and Workshops to provide a forum for topics on a globalscale and with regional comparisons

Effects of Climate Change on the World’s Oceans


Session and Workshop proposals by Sept 18, 2013:
 sea level rise, changes in thermo-haline ocean circulation,
acidification, oligotrophy of temperate seas, changes in
species abundance, distribution and phenology, loss of
biodiversity
PICES’ members of Scientific Steering Committee:
 Angelica Peña ([email protected])
 Shoshiro Minobe ([email protected])
 Fangli Qiao ([email protected])
Planned theme/topic sessions and workshops in 2014:
Strategies for ecosystem management in a changing climate. PICES FUTURE Open Science
meeting, April 15-18, Hawaii. Co-conveners: Manuel Barange, A. Hollowed, Suam Kim
Climate change and ecosystem-based management of living marine resources:
Appraising and Advancing key modelling tools, PICES FUTURE Open Science meeting,
April 15-18, Hawaii. Co-conveners: M. Peck (S-CCME, ICES), A. Hollowed (S-CCME,
PICES), T. Essington (University of Washington)
Physical and biological consequences of exchanges between the Atlantic Subarctic and
the Arctic; ICES ASC, Spain, 2014. Conveners: Olafur S. Astthorsson (Iceland), Ken
Drinkwater (Norway), and ??? (Canada).
Recent Assessments of Climate Change Impacts on Marine Ecosystems. PICES 2014
Annual Science Meeting, Korea. Convenors: Anne B. Hollowed (USA), Jake Rice
(Canada), Sukgeun Jung (Korea), Hans Pörtner (Germany)
Dynamics of pelagic fish in the North Pacific under climate change; PICES 2014 Annual
Science Meeting, Korea, 11 or 12 October. Convenors Gerard DiNardo (ISC), Suam Kim
(PICES), and Sei-Ichi Saitoh (PICES)
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