Transcript Beacons Young People`s Climate Change Project

An introduction video to Global and
Welsh climate change and mitigation

http://www.youtube.com/wat
ch?v=zzjOcOcQ90U (UK
gov climate change
video)..\Documents\YouTub
e
- Climate change.mov

http://www.youtube.com/wat
ch?v=mmheyHD3eQc
(welsh impacts)
..\Documents\YouTube
- Climate Change Wales It's up to us!.mov
BBC News, 2007.
www.bbc.co.uk/media/images
Beacons Young People’s
Climate Change Project
Dr Reis, Severn Estuary Partnership
Dr Ballinger, Cardiff University
Ms. Hovey, Cardiff University
Prof Phillips, Swansea Metropolitan University
Ms.Taylor, Cardiff Harbour Authority
Format of workshop





The science of climate change
Impacts of climate change in Walesexample(s)
Activity 1- “A Relatively Simple Web”
Activity 2- “The Life and Times of Scott of
Abernewydd”.
Feedback
The Science of Climate Change…

This brief presentation outlines climate change projections for Wales:

Temperature, precipitation (rain, snow etc), storminess and sea level
rise

It will also outline some of the causes of uncertainty when looking at our
future climate
Are scientists sure
about what will happen
in the future?
Temperature in the 2050s
On average, Wales will
be:
2.5°C warmer in the
Summer

2°C warmer in the
Winter

Change to mean annual temperature
Change to summer temperature
Can you imagine
the changes to your
life if summers were
hotter?
www.climateprojections.defra.gov.uk
Rainfall in the 2050s
On average, Wales will
be:
17% drier in the
Summer

14% wetter in the
Winter

Change to summer precipitation
Change to winter precipitation
Would drier
summers
affect you?
www.climateprojections.defra.gov.uk
Storminess
Key messages:

Increasing number of storms but not above levels of the 1920s

Little evidence of human impact
Little evidence of increase in intensity (how strong the storm is) or frequency (how often
a storm will occur) of storms over the UK in the future

www.climateprojections.defra.gov.uk
Sea level

Key message:

Sea level rise of
25 – 35cm during
2060-80
Menai Strait
(East) 20cm
Cardigan Bay 20cm
Bristol Channel 25cm
Cardiff 22cm
Uncertainty

There is much uncertainty in predicting future climate – we don’t
yet know enough of the science that causes changes to the
climate system

Global climate computer models (GCMs) are not yet 100%
accurate – these are used to project future climate change
possibilities

The climate is also naturally changing so there is some debate
over the impact humans might be having

Future greenhouse gas emissions are difficult to predict
Summary

Wales is very likely to become warmer in the future during both winter and
summer months

It is likely that summers will become drier and winters wetter, with more
precipitation during heavy downpours

It is still very uncertain if storminess will change over Wales

Sea level is likely to rise by about 35cm during 2060-80

If rising sea levels combined with a severe storm, the impacts could be very
severe

All data has been taken from the UKCP09 projections
See www.climateprojections.defra.gov.uk for further details

Example of Climate Change Impact on
Local Area and Adaptation Options
Activity 1…A Relatively Simple Web
Put
yourselves into groups of 7. Make a circle.
Ask the tallest person to name their most prized possession
eg. Laptop computer, skateboard, mobile phone
Person 1 ties the end of the string to their finger. Using “word
association”, throw the ball of wool to another member of the
group, who will wrap the woo around their finger (not too tightly!).
Repeat.
Eg. Laptop…. keys… plastic…. click…clap… bang… thunder….lightening etc.
Keep
going until everyone has a loop around a finger on both
hands.
Once everyone has two loops, pull one end of the wool and see
what happens…… what are your conclusions?
Activity 1…A Relatively Simple Web
Put
yourselves into groups of 7. Make a circle.
Ask the tallest person to name their most prized possession
eg. Laptop computer, skateboard, mobile phone
Person 1 ties the end of the string to their finger. Using “word
association”, throw the ball of wool to another member of the
group.
This person will wrap the wool around their finger. Eg. Laptop…. keys… plastic…. click…clap… bang…
thunder….lightening etc.
Keep
going until everyone has a loop around a finger on both
hands.
Once everyone has two loops, pull one end of the wool and see
what happens…… what are your conclusions?
Conclusion???
EVERYTHING IS
RELATED!!!
Eg. effects of human
development on the natural
environment and the effect of
the natural environment on
human development.


Working in your groups, imagine you are
“Scott”, a 16 year old resident of
Abernewydd.
Let’s explore Scott’s future……
Activity 2... “The Life and Times of Scott from Abernewydd”
Welcome to
Abernewydd, a
rural town on the
coast in south
Wales
intro
to
abernewydd
film.MOD
What are Scott’s Options in 2010, 2030 and 2060?
Read over the supporting material
and complete the matrix. Think
about why Scott makes these
choices.(30 minutes)
1. How does Scott travel from
Abernewydd to Cwtch?
2. Does Scott need to adapt his
house?
3. Where does Scott’s energy
(especially electricity) come from?
Are there any positive
aspects to these
choices???
Questions to Consider:
(20 minutes)
1.
2.
3.
4.
Who’s responsibility is it to influence an individual’s
behaviour- their own or the government?
Who’s responsibility should it be to pay for house
adaptation measures in 2060- individuals, communities
or the government?
How can you take part in decision-making about
transport, both locally and nationally?
Should it be up to us to re-locate villages for future
generations or leave them to resolve their own
problems?
Feedback- So what are your conclusions???
(15 minutes)
1.
2.
3.
Transport
Housing adaptation
Energy (electricity)
What Have We Learned?





Some facts about climate
change
The uncertainty
associated with science
Everything is related
Examples of climate
change adaptation
options
Explored options for
Scott’s future (not all
negative!)
Thank You!
Please help us by completing and returning the
questionnaire.
For more information, go to:
http://www.severnestuary.net/yocco/index.html