Transcript Does the climate change benefit to Lithuania

Does the climate change
benefit to Lithuania?
Vytautas Didysis gymnasium Klaipeda, Lithuania
Main advantages
a) A longer summer period
b) A decline in costs for heating
c) Agricultural yield increase
Main disadvantages
a) Degradation of the natural environment
b) Huge losses on the emergency
c) Very large impact on human health
Duration of vegetation period
according to various sources
350
Dienųof
skaičius
days
Amount
300
250
200
150
100
1990
ECHAM4 A2
2020
ECHAM4 B2
2050
GFDL-R30 A2
2080
GFDL-R30 B2
Year
Metai
Impact on Baltic Sea and Curonian Lagoon
Negative
a) Beaches will contract
b) The dunes will fall
c) Coastal impact of the hurricanes will increase
d) The increased water level will expand affluent
Klaipeda’s territory during the flood
Positive
a) Elevated water temperatures will extend the bathing season
Air temperature changes till 2050
Summertime changes
Air temperature changes till 2050
Wintertime changes
Estimated amount of days with extreme temperature
Amount of days with temperature over 27 degrees
30
28
25
Amount
20
16
15
<-16 C
10
10
5
5
0
1990
2020
2050
Year
2080
Estimated amount of days with extreme temperature
Amount of days with temperature under -16 degrees
6
5
5
Amount
4
3
2
2
1
1
0
0
1990
2020
2050
Year
2080
Predicted changes of water level in Baltic Sea
The smallest changes
The biggest changes
Affluent Klaipeda’s territory during the flood
Affluent Klaipeda’s territory during the flood
Amount of cars
Žmonių sveikata.
poveikis. Oro
užterštumas
Amount
of carsNetiesioginis
in Lithuania
1974-2006
Year
Indirect effects on human health
Infectious disease epidemics and habitats will
expand.
Surface and ground water quality can lead to
more diseases and epidemics related with the
quality of drinking water.
Tick-free, blood-insect population growth and
development of their natural habitats are
predicted.
Food provision may get worse and it’s
possible that food ration will change.
The economic crisis will increase, promoting
hunger, disease, human migration.
Kyoto protocol
The Kyoto Protocol is an international environmental
treaty produced at the United Nations Conference on
Environment and Development (UNCED), held in Rio
de Janeiro, Brazil, from 3–14 June 1992.
The treaty is intended to achieve stabilization of
greenhouse gas concentrations in the atmosphere at a
level that would prevent dangerous anthropogenic
interference with the climate system. The Kyoto
Protocol establishes legally binding commitments for
the reduction of greenhouse gases produced by
industrialized nations, as well as general commitments
for all member countries.
CO2 emissions (million tons)
In year 2004
1
USA
6049
2
China and Taiwan
5010
3
Russia
1525
4
India
1343
5
Japan
1258
6
Germany
860,5
21
Poland
307,2
48
Finland
65,80
56
Sweden
53,03
57
Denmark
52,96
80
Estonia
18,94
86
Lithuania
13,31
103
Latvia
7,098
138
Iceland
2,229
205
Cook Islands
0,011
Participation in Kyoto protocol
Signed and ratified
Signed, ratification pending
Signed, ratification declined
Non-signatory
Nowadays countries that
have signed and ratified
Kyoto protocol produce 62%
of world’s greenhouse gases
Kyoto Protocol. Common Implementation
Common implementation provides the possibility of selling
greenhouse gas emission allowances in 2008-2012, by the
implementation of the projects, which ultimately reduces
the country's greenhouse gas emissions
Kyoto Protocol. Trading emission allowances
Trading emission allowances is the agreement of the two
Parties, on the basis of which companies buy emission
allowances from the other companies. The essence of the
mechanism is very similar to the Common implementation
mechanism. The difference between these mechanisms is
only that one party does not invest in another country projects,
and purchase another country’s emission allowances.
Adaptation to the climate change. Agriculture.
Encourage farmers to grow new crop
species suitable for new climate
conditions.
Renovate old facilities.
Use modern instruments.
Adaptation to the climate change.
Human health.
Create a new operative health system.
Specialists
must
improve
their
qualifications and be ready for emergencies
in case of danger to human health.
• Prepare for heat waves.
Extend the Ignalina nuclear power plant operating time
Build wind turbines or…
Solar panels
What do we know about the climate change?
Poll results in Lithuania
500 people were questioned in 2006
Do you think you are well informed about the climate
change and it’s results?
Not informed
7%
Little informed
13%
17%
63%
Well informed
Informed, but not enough
Have you ever heard about the Kyoto protocol?
Yes, I have
13%
87%
No, I have never heard about it
Thank you for your
attention