Transcript PACIFIC GCOS ACTION PLAN WORKSHOP

OPEN PROGRAMME AREA
GROUP 3 (OPAG 3)
Climate Change and Variability:
Agriculture, forests and fisheries
Auckland
New Zealand
21 – 23 February 2005
OPEN PROGRAMME AREA
GROUP 3 (OPAG 3)
Climate Change and Variability:
Agriculture, forests and fisheries
•Dr Jim Salinger
•Chair
•Dr Wang Shili
•Co-Chair
Goals
• Determine the status of climate
change/variability and potential
impacts on agriculture, rangelands,
forestry and fisheries;
• Examine mitigation and adaptation
strategies
• To appraise the current capabilities in
the analysis of climate
change/variability and natural
disasters
• To review the results of climate
change scenarios and climate
variability studies and promote
adaptation strategies to mitigate the
impacts
OPAG 3 Three Expert Teams
• Reduction of the Impact of Natural Disasters and
Mitigation of Extreme Events in Agriculture, Rangelands,
Forestry and Fisheries (Chair Dr Haripada Das)
• Contribution of Agriculture to the State of Climate (Chair
Dr Ray Desjardins)
• Impact of Climate Change/Variability on Medium- to
Long-Range Predictions for Agriculture (Chair Dr Holger
Meinke)
• OPAG 3 Implementation/Co-ordination Team (Chair Dr
Jim Salinger, Co-Chair Dr Wang Shili
ET Contribution of Agriculture to the State of Climate
• Estimating greenhouse gas emissions
from agroecosystems ;
• Assessing the feedback mechanisms
from human activities in agriculture,
rangelands, forests and fisheries that
may influence weather and climate;
• Documenting both positive and
negative influences of agriculture on
weather and climate systems
ET Impact of Climate Change/Variability on Medium- to
Long-Range Predictions for Agriculture
• Appraising on current capabilities in
the analyses of climate
change/variability and long-range
prediction studies as they relate to
and affect agriculture, rangelands,
forestry and fisheries;
• Reviewing methodologies for the
presentation of seasonal to
interannual prediction products and
applications to the agriculture;
• Reviewing software packages for the
calculation of appropriate seasonal
climate variability indices for
agriculture
ET on Reduction of the Impact of Natural Disasters and
Mitigation of Extreme Events in Agriculture,
Rangelands, Forestry and Fisheries
• Quantifying observational data needs,
analytical tools, and information
delivery mechanisms to facilitate
greater early detection of extreme
events;
• Documenting quidelines for
awareness of potential natural
disasters, and to make
recommendations for early alert
monitoring ;
• Studying prototype examples on how
agrometeorological information is
being used operationally to reduce
the impact of natural disasters and
extreme events.
Expert Meeting on Reduction of the Impact of Natural
Disasters and Mitigation of Extreme Events in Agriculture,
Rangelands, Forestry and Fisheries
• Very significant meeting in the
examination of natural disasters and
extreme climate events;
• Most important in advancing the
OPAG3 programme;
• Publication of papers will improve
disaster reduction strategies and
relevant agrometeorological
activities.
Implementation Coordination Team on Climate
Change/Variability and National Disasters
• Draws together the work of the Expert Teams
•Summarise the status of climate change/variability studies and
potential impacts of climate change/variability on national and regional
agriculture, rangelands, forestry and fisheries;
•Summarise the status of mitigation and adaptation strategies with
respect to impacts of climate change/variability and natural disasters in
agriculture;
• Appraise and report on current capabilities in the analysis of climate
change/variability and natural disasters as they relate to and affect
agriculture, rangelands, forestry and fisheries at the national and
regional levels;
Implementation Coordination Team on Climate
Change/Variability and National Disasters
• Analyze and review the results of climate change scenarios and
climate variability studies at the regional level and promote
appropriate agrometeorological adaptation strategies to mitigate the
impacts on affect agriculture, rangelands, forestry and fisheries;
•Identify deficiencies in the operational applications of long-range
predictions for agriculture, and make recommendations for improving
the technology for the benefit of agriculture at the national and
regional levels
• Report to WMO