Transcript China -- CAIT briefing - BASIC

International Climate Policy Post-2012
Quantitative Tools and Negotiating Capacity
A Review of WRI’s Climate Analysis
Indicator Tool (CAIT)
Beijing, China
February, 2006
Jonathan Pershing
Climate, Energy and Pollution Program
World Resources Institute
http://www.wri.org
WRI
What is CAIT?
WRI
• A web-based information and analysis tool on global
climate change developed by The World Resources
Institute (WRI).
• CAIT includes:
– Data on all greenhouse gases (GHGs) and sources, plus
other data and indicators relevant to climate change policy
– Data for 186 countries (most UNFCCC Parties) and regions
– Analysis tools (e.g., trend, sector, or gas analysis)
WRI
http://cait.wri.org
WRI
What is CAIT? (2)
• Purposes
– Promote greater access to information
– Support decision-making processes and help build capacity
– Provide common platform for data and analysis
• Policy neutral
• Available free to the public at http://cait.wri.org
WRI
Acknowledgements
• Data providers
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CDIAC
RIVM
IPCC
IEA
World Bank
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UNDP
U.S. EPA
U.S. EIA
UNFCCC
Houghton
• Funding providers
• U.S. EPA, Government of Norway, Wallace Global
Fund, Prospect Hill Foundation
WRI
Data – Policy Linkage
Working assumptions:
– Information is the first step to solving any problem
– Better information → better decisions
– “Delivery system” matters
1. CAIT
2. Navigating the Numbers report
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Who is Using CAIT?
By Sector
40%
30%
35%
35%
25%
30%
25%
24%
23%
20%
19%
20%
15%
10%
5%
0%
Governmental
4%
Academia
Latin
America
Asia
US +
Canada
Europe
7%
Africa &
Mid. East
10%
0%
28%
Private Sector
& Media
By Country/Region
NGO/Research
~5000 total users from 108 countries, December 2003 to present
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Using CAIT
CAIT Screens
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Rank by national
emissions total
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Bottom of the ranking:
186 countries
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Rank by per
Capita emissions
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Choice of gases
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Other indicators
Analyses possible
Customize Displays
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Choosing Display Regions
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Vulnerability and Adaptation
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Some
CAIT
Results
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Policy-Relevant Implications
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Global trends
Big emitters
Emission caps and developing countries
Formulaic approaches to commitments
Sectoral cooperation
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Projected Future GHG Emissions Growth
% Percent change from 2000
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Policy-Relevant Implications
• Global trends
• Big emitters
• Emission caps and developing countries
• Formulaic approaches to commitments
• Sectoral cooperation
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Largest Emitters: Developed & Developing
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Policy-Relevant Conclusions
• Global trends
• Big emitters
• Emission caps and developing countries
• Formulaic approaches to commitments
• Sectoral cooperation
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Fixed targets: challenging in the context of massive uncertainty
Projected CO2 Emissions Growth to 2025
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Policy-Relevant Conclusions
• Global trends
• Big emitters
• Emission caps and developing countries
• Formulaic approaches to commitments
• Sectoral cooperation
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Historical Contributions: Major Data Constraints
Cumulative CO2 Emissions, Comparison of Different Time Periods
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Emissions per Capita: Consensus?
GHG Emissions per Capita
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Fuel mix affects CO2 emissions
Electric Power Sector
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Policy-Relevant Conclusions
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Global trends
Big emitters
Emission caps and developing countries
Formulaic approaches to commitments
• Sectoral cooperation
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GHG Flow Diagram: Global Greenhouse Gas Emissions
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International Sectoral Cooperation
• Different “forms” of sectoral cooperation
• How important is the sector? [% global GHGs]
• Underlying rationale for sectoral cooperation
– Promote participation
– Avoid “leakage”
– Promote even regulatory playing field (competitiveness)
• Options for international cooperation
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Conclusions
• Global trends are in the wrong direction
• Address GHGs in context of big emitting
countries and sectors
– Int’l cooperation, investment, technology
• No single indicator tells a complete story
• Data does not point directly toward a solution
– Nature and scale of problem
– Diverse national circumstances
WRI
Using CAIT
http://cait.wri.org
WRI