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Re-thinking how we live, work and play to make Scotland more resilient to environmental change, especially climate change www.sniffer.org.uk Providing advice and support to help ensure that Scotland is prepared for, and resilient to, the impacts of climate change Adaptation Scotland is a programme funded by the Scottish Government and delivered by Sniffer Adaptation Scotland is a programme funded by the Scottish Government and delivered by Sniffer Royal Society, Edinburgh 2nd October 2014 Adapting our Infrastructure to Cope with Climate Change Dr. Joseph Hagg Adaptation Scotland Adaptation Scotland is a programme funded by the Scottish Government and delivered by Sniffer Adaptation: The adjustment in economic, social or natural systems in response to actual or expected climatic change, to limit harmful consequences and exploit beneficial opportunities. Scottish Climate Change Adaptation Programme (2014) Adaptation Scotland is a programme funded by the Scottish Government and delivered by Sniffer Adaptation Scotland is a programme funded by the Scottish Government and delivered by Sniffer Infrastructure – Network Connectivity and Interdependencies Our energy, transport, water, and ICT networks support services are vital to our health and wellbeing and economy prosperity. The effect of climate change on these infrastructure systems will be varied. They are likely to be impacted by an increase in disruptive events such as flooding, landslides, drought, and heatwaves. Our infrastructure is closely inter-linked and failure in any area can lead to wider disruption across these networks. Adaptation Scotland is a programme funded by the Scottish Government and delivered by Sniffer Climate Change: A Financial Challenge England 250,000 more households at significant risk by 2035 problem for capital spend Flood risk: Continuing development on the floodplain is increasing the reliance on flood defences. Under-investment in these defences is storing up costs and risks for the future. Hundreds of flood defence projects are currently on hold. Despite recent improvements in asset management, three-quarters of existing flood defences are not being sufficiently maintained. and problem for revenue spend Adaptation Scotland is a programme funded by the Scottish Government and delivered by Sniffer Climate Change: A Data Challenge Adaptation Scotland is a programme funded by the Scottish Government and delivered by Sniffer Climate Change: A Data Challenge Adaptation Scotland is a programme funded by the Scottish Government and delivered by Sniffer Climate Change: A Translation Challenge climate ≠ impacts ≠ adaptation Adaptation Scotland is a programme funded by the Scottish Government and delivered by Sniffer Climate Change: A Translation Challenge Change in flood peak ? ADAPTATION Winter duration ? Adaptation Scotland is a programme funded by the Scottish Government and delivered by Sniffer Climate Change: A Change Challenge wet dry Adaptation Scotland is a programme funded by the Scottish Government and delivered by Sniffer Climate Change: A Change Challenge warm cool Adaptation Scotland is a programme funded by the Scottish Government and delivered by Sniffer 5 4 Climate Change: A Change Challenge Annual Mean Temperature (°C) East Scotland High Emissions (A1FI) Mean Temperature (°C) Difference from baseline (1961-1990) 3 2 Design weather years data – based on what climate? 1 0 -1 Adaptation Scotland is a programme funded by the Scottish Government and delivered by Sniffer Low Emissions (B1) Climate Change: A Change Challenge Newcastle-upon-Tyne Newcastle-upon-Tyne Winter (DJF) Summer (JJA) 100 100 Return period – based on what climate? 50 50 30 30 10 10 Present (1980-2006) 2040s 2060s 2080s Present (1980-2006) 2040s Sanderson (2010) Changes in the frequency of extreme rainfall events for selected towns and cities Adaptation Scotland is a programme funded by the Scottish Government and delivered by Sniffer 2060s 2080s Adaptation – how do we build resilience? Adaptation Scotland is a programme funded by the Scottish Government and delivered by Sniffer Adaptation Scotland is a programme funded by the Scottish Government and delivered by Sniffer www.adaptationscotland.org.uk - please contact us [email protected] @AdaptationScot