Transcript Earth System Science Partnership (ESSP).

Earth System Science Partnership
IHDP
WCRP
IGBP
Diversitas
Joint Projects
on Global
Sustainability
Carbon
Water
Food
A partnership of three global environmental change programs
September 2002
Global Carbon Project
Mandate

Synthesis of knowledge of the global carbon cycle, within a
coherent research framework

Coupling the biophysical and human dimensions of the global
carbon cycle

Coordination of regional and national carbon programs in the
context of a global effort
Anthropogenic C sources

Earth at night
Global Carbon Project
Science Themes
1. Patterns and Variability

What are the geographical and temporal patterns of carbon sources and sinks?
2. Processes, Controls, and Interactions

What are the controls and feedback mechanisms – both anthropogenic and nonanthropogenic – that determine the dynamics of the carbon cycle on scales of
years to millennia?
3. Carbon Futures

What are the likely dynamics of the global carbon cycle into the future?
Global Carbon Project
Operational structure

Scientific Steering Committee (15 members plus 3 co-chairs)

Executive Subcommittee of SSC

Offices (each with an executive officer, possibly shared with another program)
• Australia
• US
• Japan
• Others

Working with other projects and stakeholders
• GCP Framework document: now under community review
• Joint implementation (SCOPE, IGCO, Ocean CO2, …)
• Scientific Advisory Committee
Global Carbon Project
Implementation
1999-2000
Jun 2001
Jul 2001
Dec 2001
Mar 2002
Mar 2002
May 2002
Sep 2002
Aug-Nov 2002
Nov 2002
Nov 2002
Dec 2002
Jan 2003
Jul 2003
Community workshops (Isle sur la Sorgue; Lisbon; Durham)
Prospectus published
Global Change Conference (Amsterdam): SSC appointed
First SSC meeting (San Francisco)
Framework document released for review
Sink Attribution Workshop (Canberra)
Carbon Data Assimilation (CDAS) Workshop (Boulder)
Wengen Workshop on Terrestrial C Sinks (Austria)
Launch offices (Australia, US, Japan)
"Biophysical and Human Influences on C cycle" Workshop (Tsukuba)
Second SSC meeting (Tsukuba)
Publish Framework document
SCOPE-GCP Rapid Assessment of the C cycle (Brazil)
START-GCP Meeting on Urbanisation and the C cycle (Boulder)
GECAFS
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Food Systems
Given changing demands for food, how will
climate change additionally affect food
provision and vulnerability in different
regions and among different social groups?
How might different societies and different
categories of producers adapt their food
systems to cope with climate change
against the background of changing
demand?
What would be the environmental and
socioeconomic consequences of such
adaptations?
Food Systems: Themes and Structure
Changing Demand
Theme 1
Climate
Change
Vulnerability and
Impacts
Theme 3
Environmental
Feedbacks
Theme 2
Adaptations
Adapted
Food Provision
Food Provision
Theme 3
Socioeconomic
Feedbacks
GECAFS
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FIRST GENERATION STUDIES:
IMPACTS OF CLIMATIC CHANGE
Scenarios Macro-Climatic Change
First-Order Impacts:
(Regional Agro-climatic Properties)
Second-Order Impacts:
(Agric. Land Suitability and Crop Yields)
Higher-Order Impacts:
(Farm and Regional Production)
GECAFS Integrating Climate Impacts and
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Food Security Research
Climate Change:
Type, frequency & magnitude of threats
Capacity to cope
with & recover
from CC
FOOD SYSTEM
VULNERABILITY
RESILIENCE
Societal Change
Change in institutions, resource accessibility,
economic conditions, etc
Exposure
to CC
Water Resources
What are the relative magnitudes of global
scale changes in the global water system
due to human activities and environmental
factors (e.g, climate change)?
What are the main mechanisms by which
human activities are affecting the global
water system?
To what extent is the global water system
resilient and adaptable to global change
(e.g., climate change, biodiversity,
economic and management changes)?
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