Transcript Slide 1
FINANCIAL UPDATE
Mailers’ Technical Advisory Committee
Meeting
April 29, 2009
J. Corbett
Chief Financial Officer &
Executive Vice President
Economy-Business Impact
Global Insight's Baseline
Forecasts for FY 2009
Jan-08 Aug-08 Dec-08
GDP
Retail Sales
Employment
Investment
CPI-U
Rate Assumptions*
USPS Volume**
*Mailing Services Only
**In Millions
2.3%
1.4%
1.1%
1.7%
1.4%
2.9%
0.7%
-1.6%
-0.6%
-3.8%
4.1%
4.8%
-1.7%
-7.5%
-2.2%
-16.4%
-1.1%
3.8%
Mar-09
Apr-09
-3.2%
-9.9%
-3.8%
-21.5%
-1.2%
3.8%
-3.0%
-9.3%
-3.9%
-21.2%
-0.8%
3.8%
205,265 194,528 189,571 180,000 180,000
February YTD FY 2009
SPLY Financial Results
Revenue
$2.8 Billion
Below SPLY
Expenses
$0.8 Billion
Below SPLY
Net Income
$2.0 Billion
Below SPLY
* Numbers may not add due to rounding
February YTD FY 2009
Financial Results
Actual
SPLY
Var
Revenue $30,214 $33,041 [-$2,828]
Expense 32,011
Net Loss -$ 1,797
%SPLY
[-8.6%]
32,784
-773
-2.4%
$ 258 [-$2,055] [-797.4%]
Mail Volume (%SPLY): -12.1%
[ ] = Unfavorable variance to Plan/SPLY
(Data in Millions)
Numbers may not add due to rounding
February YTD FY 2009
Expense by Category
($ in Billions)
$2,719
8.3%
$3,932
12.6%
$25,921
79.1%
Total Personel Comp
% SPLY
(1.6%)
Transportation
(7.2%)
Other
(3.7%)
February YTD FY 2009
Workhours % SPLY
0%
-2%
-4%
-6%
-5.1%
-4.9%
-6.2%
-8%
-10%
-12%
-14%
-16%
-12.1%
-12.3%
-14.0%
Mail Volume
Mail
Processing
Customer
Service
Rural
Delivery
City
Delivery
Other
March Expectations
No significant change in economic forecast
resulting in continued revenue and volume
declines
USPS continues to aggressively manage the
business
Variable workhours declining to partially offset
revenue declines
Quarterly Volume - % SPLY
-3.1%
-2.0%
-2.1%
-3.2%
-4.8%
-5.6%
-4.9%
-6.4%
-9.3%
-10.5%
-14.7%
-15.9%
Qtr 1
Qtr 2
Qtr 3
Qtr 4
Qtr 1
FY 2009
FY 2008
Mailing Services
Shipping Services
Qtr 2*
*Preliminary
First-Class Mail Volume
1.6%
1.2%
-0.8% -0.1%
-1.3%
-2.5%
-2.6%
-3.9%
-3.1%
-5.5%
-6.9% -7.2%
-9.9%
Q2
Q3
Q4
FY 2006
% SPLY
Q1
Q2
FY 2007
Q3
Q4
Q1
Q2
Q3
FY 2008
8 Quarter Moving Average Growth Rates
Q4
Q1
Q 2*
FY 2009
*Preliminary
Standard Mail Volume
4.9%
2.7%
2.8%
1.2%
0.2%
-0.9% -1.4%
-2.6% -3.0%
-5.5%
-6.1%
-11.0%
-19.8%
Q2
Q3
Q4
FY 2006
% SPLY
Q1
Q2
FY 2007
Q3
Q4
Q1
Q2
Q3
FY 2008
8 Quarter Moving Average Growth Rates
Q4
Q1
Q 2*
FY 2009
*Preliminary
Periodicals Volume
1.2%
0.1%
0.3%
-0.5%
-0.6%
-2.2%
-2.2%
-3.3%
-2.6%
-3.5%
-4.3%
-5.3%
-7.8%
Q2
Q3
FY 2006
% SPLY
Q4
Q1
Q2
FY 2007
Q3
Q4
Q1
Q2
Q3
FY 2008
8 Quarter Moving Average Growth Rates
Q4
Q1
Q 2*
FY 2009
*Preliminary
Bulk Mail Acceptance
We N
WE NEED YOUR HELP!
Issue
Postal Service received Significant Deficiency from
external auditor for ineffective financial controls
pertaining to Business Mail Acceptance
– Timely recognition of revenue
– Customer trust balances
– Incomplete postage statements
Mailer
USPS
Progress to Date
BMA Results
FY 2007
FY 2009
(March)
Timely Postage Statement Entry
77%
99%
Master Trust Reconciliation
87%
97%
September
2008
March
2009
Number of Accounts
2,000
260
Balance of Accounts
$1.7M
$413K
BMA Items
BMA Items
Negative
Balances
16
Metrics
Progress to Date
Completion of Postage Statements
Control
Actual Pass Rate %
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
Number of Addressed Pieces
Periodicals
Total Postage
Owner or Agents Signature
Total Postage
Permit
Signature of Mailer
Completion of Postage Statements
FY 2009 YTD Compliance Rates
Periodicals
68%
Permit
38%
Target Pass
Rate
SOX and the Role of Our Customers
Do not present a mailing with a hard copy postage statement
if you submitted one electronically
Ensure all sections of postage statements are correct after
making changes
Verify permit number on the mail matches the postage
statement
Check that mailing fees and authorizations such as Nonprofit are current
SOX and the Role of Our Customers
Provide the required documentation to support the rates
claimed on the postage statement
Update your mailer profile and ensure your permit is valid
Keep your business account active
– After 2 years of non-activity your account will expire
If you are a publisher - Make sure you file your Statement of
Ownership in October
Communication is the key – Ask the BMEU for assistance if
needed
FINANCIAL UPDATE
Mailers’ Technical Advisory Committee
Meeting
April 28, 2009
J. Corbett
Chief Financial Officer &
Executive Vice President