Meet-the-researcher-PEI-Stats

Download Report

Transcript Meet-the-researcher-PEI-Stats

Tuesday, June 23, 2015
Development of the Canadian Cancer Statistics
• In partnership with the Statistics Canada (SC),
Public Health Agency of Canada (PHAC), and the
provincial/territorial cancer registries
• Interpretation of data and text by volunteer
committee of experts (in epidemiology, surveillance,
subject matter experts)
• CCS coordinates the committee
• Our partners allow us to issue the public release
and host the publication on cancer.ca
PEI Statistics at a glance
910
estimated new cases in 2015
380
estimated cancer deaths in 2015
2 in 5
Canadians expected to develop cancer
in their lifetime
1 in 4
Canadians expected to die of cancer
63%
five-year relative survival (for people
diagnosed in 2006-2008)
Estimated new cases in PEI in 2015
Females
Males
All cancers
510
All cancers
400
Prostate
Lung
Colorectal
Bladder
Melanoma
Kidney
Leukemia
Oral
Pancreas
Esophagus
140
75
65
30
25
20
15
15
10
10
Breast
Lung
Colorectal
Body of uterus
Non-Hodgkin L.
Thyroid
Melanoma
Ovary
Leukemia
Pancreas
110
60
55
25
15
10
15
10
10
10
Estimated 380 deaths
(190 males, 190 females)
PEI Fast Facts
• Most common cancers in men: prostate, lung and
colorectal
• PEI has one of the highest incidence rates of
cancer among men -12% higher than average
–
–
–
–
Prostate - 3rd highest, 27% higher national average
Lung -3rd highest, 22% higher than national average
Pancreatic highest in the country, 20% higher
Melanoma skin cancers - highest in the country, 50%
higher than national average
PEI Fast Facts
• Most common cancers in women: breast,
lung and colorectal
• PEI’s mortality rate for women 9% higher
than national average
(In 2014 PEI was 12% higher than average)
• PEI has third lowest incidence rates of
cancer amongst women in the country
10% lower than national average
Key findings
• Population of PEI is estimated to grow 14%
or about 19,000 residents by 2030
• Islanders aged 65+ will represent slightly more than 1 in 4
(up from 1/8)
• More than doubling new cancer cases expected in aged 65
and over.
• Increase in new cases mainly due to aging and population
growth and to a lesser extent, changes in the risk of developing
cancer
• Estimated number of new cases on PEI by 2030 = 1,340
Survival (2006-2008)
Which cancers have the highest and lowest 5-yr relative
survival?
5-yr relative survival rates
High
Medium
Low
Thyroid (98%)
Bladder (74%)
Ovary (45%)
Testis (97%)
Cervix (74%)
Multiple myeloma (43%)
Prostate (96%)
Kidney (68%)
Stomach (25%)
Melanoma (89%)
Colorectal (65%)
Brain (25%)
Breast (88%)
Larynx (63%)
Liver (20%)
Hodgkin lymphoma
(85%)
Oral (63%)
Lung (17%)
Uterus (85%)
Leukemia (59%)
Esophagus (14%)
Pancreas (8%)
What Do These Statistics Mean?
The burden of cancer will increase
primarily due to aging and population
increases
• PEI does not have to accept this prediction
• Increase focus on life-time cancer
prevention
Community Cancer Outreach
Centers
2015
• Alberton
• Souris
2016 +
• Montague
• Summerside
• Hunter River/North Rustico
The future is not some place we are going, but one
we are creating.
The paths to it are not found, but made, and the
activity of making them changes both the maker and
the destination.”
“
- John Shar, Sociologist