Transcript IT-Trends 2005-2010

IT-Trends
2005-2010
4.12.2002
http://www.fraber.de/
Radical improvement after a number
of incremental steps
My Guess
No major new
Disruptive Technologies
anymore
Competitiveness depends on the
capability to implement projects
Some Trends
General Trends
 Moore’s Law
 Globalization
 Digitalization
 Mobility (GRPS&WiFi)
 Knowledge Value
 IT Commoditization
Read it everywhere!
Specific Trends
 Importance of Security
(every computer connected
to the Internet needs
security)
 Machine-to-machine
communication
 Open Source Software
Conceptual Model:
Extended Company
Providers
Subcontractors
Manufacturer
Clients
Technologies
 Collaboration
& Project
Rooms
 Web Services
 Extranet/VPN
 Sales Support
 CRM/SCM/…
 Collaborative
Forecasting
 ...
My Guess
No major new
Disruptive Technologies
anymore
 Ideas have been tested during the
Dot.Com era
 “Applications à la carte” methodologies
 “Value patterns” (supply chain,
integration, network, …) have become
common knowledge
Disruptions à la Carte
How to define my ITStrategy?
Clients
Providers
Partners
Employees
Investors
Media
...
Put here:
 where you are
 where you want to go and
 what applications to use
Implementation Jam
How to implement my ITStrategy?
18m
ROI
B2C Product
Catalog
Procurement
Data
Consolidat.
12m
B2B Catalog
& Order Track
Production
Tracking
6m
Demand
Forecasting
Intranet
& KM.
Data
Warehouse
Benchmarking
Dependency
0m
250k€
500k€
1M€
2M€
Cost
My Guess
No major new
Disruptive Technologies
anymore
 Disruptive Technologies have to be easy to
learn in order to be successful
 Disruptive Technologies have to satisfy basic
needs
The Limits of
Disruptive Technologies
Learning Effort
Force people
to use it
Project
Rooms
Video
Audio
unstructured
Messenger
Intranet
Google
WWW
indexed
Content Formalization
ERP
SCM
People
like it
formalized
The Limits of
Disruptive Technologies




Build around existing processes
Supported by innovative management practices
Limited by learning complexity
Implemented by digitalizing existing processes
 Look at your processes and digitalize them
 Look at your processes and digitalize them
 Examples:
 Volkswagen/Seat Project
 Recent announcement by General Electric
 ...
My Guess 2010
B2C Product
Catalog
18m
ROI
Clients
Providers
Partners
Employees
Put here:
 where you are
 where you want to go and
 what applications to use
Demand
Consolidat.
...
B2B Catalog
& Order Track
12m
Production
Tracking
6m
Investors
Media
3rd Party
Procurement
Demand
Forecasting
Intranet
& KM.
Data
Warehouse
Outlet
Benchmark
Dependency
0m
250k€
500k€
1M€
2M€
Cost
Competitiveness depends on the
capability to implement projects
Capability to
Implement Projects
 Look at your processes and digitalize them
Critical Factors
 IT Infrastructure
 IT Strategy
 Change Management
 Project Management
Standardization?
IBM – PwC Deal?
Standardized
Infrastructure?
Just an idea...
Shared Systems
 Firewall
 VPN Access
 Web Server with
Intranet/Extranet
 File Server (VPN)
 Email
Shared Services
 Maintenance Support
 Firewall Security
 Web Server Security
 Incident Tracking
 Backup
 VPN Clients
 Develop a service around the standard
xDSL
PC
...
PC
ERP
Web/
Mail
Local Area Network
FW
Router
DMZ
Internet