Transcript PowerPoint - Scottish Institute for Policing Research

Intelligence Analysis
Anne Lavery
Principal Analyst
ACPOS NIM/MoPI Team
Intelligence Analysis
•Analysis - Analysis is the process of breaking a
complex topic or substance into smaller parts to
gain a better understanding of it.
•Intelligence – A piece of information which has
gone through a risk assessment process.
•“My neighbour is dealing drugs”
•“The off-licence down the road sells drink to
under-agers”
•“Wee Gary from Shettleston assaulted that boy
last week”
•Inputted onto the Scottish Intelligence Database
(SID)
Intelligence Analysis
Role of Intelligence Analyst
•Assess all the information and
intelligence available
•Develop inferences
Demographic
/ Trend
•Put together all the Target
pieces of the
Profile
jigsaw
•Prioritise risks to police service
Analytical Jigsaw
Allegation of
Drug dealing at
main street
Jack Jones is a major
Drug dealer who drives
a Blue Honda
Increase in break-ins
To motor vehicles
Around Main Street
Jack Jones
associates
With Anne Smith
Anne Smith moved
In to 5 Main street
3 months ago
Increase police
calls re loitering
Near Main
Street
Someone
called
‘Smithy’
selling
drugs in area
Allegation that blue
Honda frequents
Main Street every night
Anne Smith has
convictions for drug
dealing
Prioritising Risks
•Risk Assess the threats based on available
information
•Consider factors such as risk to life, threat
of disorder, impact on community, impact on
reputation of force
•Influence decision making on resource
allocation
Analytical Process
RISKS
Analysis identifies
key threats
RESOURCES
Police and partner
resources directed to
those areas that pose
the most significant
risk
Strategic Assessment
Tactical Assessment
Problem Profile
Target Profile
Tasking and
Co-ordinating
Process
RESULTS
Analysis considers
success and outcomes of
activity – what does it
means for risks
Results
Analysis
NIM Products
STRATEGIC
ASSESSMENT
Long term
strategy
TACTICAL
ASSESSMENT
Current Threats
RESULTS
ANALYSIS
PROBLEM
PROFILE
TARGET
PROFILE
In-depth analysis
In-depth analysis
of specific area
or issue
of specific
individual or
group
Assessment of
success of
activity – did we
make a
difference
Analytical Techniques
Network
Crime
Pattern
Criminal
Business
Operational
Intelligence
Market
Profile
Target
Profile
Risk
Analysis
Demographic
/ Trend
Results
Analysis
WHO, WHAT, WHERE, WHEN, WHY AND HOW
Research
Suggestions
• PESTELO Analysis
– Political
– Economic
– Social
– Technical
– Environmental
– Legal
• Risk Assessment
– what are most important factors
– How do we define harm
• Understanding causes of crime – links to other social
issues
Contact Details
E-mail: [email protected]
Telephone: 01259 732257