Transcript PPT - arcus
Arctic Science: Interdisciplinary Research Opportunities for the Social Sciences Jack Kruse, Marie Lowe, Larry Hamilton HARC Workshop October 5, 2007 1 SEARCH Science Questions Is the Arctic moving to a new state? How do cultural and socioeconomic systems interact with arctic environmental change? 2 HD-Implementation Priorities Develop an integrated observation network for identification and long-term monitoring of social and economic indicators of human subsystem changes that drive and/or feed back to arctic physical and biological system changes Synthesize human dimensions data on a panarctic scale including data on resident socioeconomic changes, human perceptions of arctic change, and on local and global-scale development and industrial activities 3 Key groundwork priorities Identify specific ways to improve knowledge of arctic environmental change such that people are enabled to make betterinformed decisions Identify predictions that will be most useful to stakeholder groups planning for and responding to change in areas such as fisheries, marine transportation and development, and renewable resource use/subsistence harvests 4 Human Dimension of Change Local infrastructure, transportation Subsistence activities Coastal erosion Storm patterns Shipping routes Fisheries 5 Focal Areas for ClimateHuman Interactions Resource Development Fisheries Social Outcomes Marine Mammal Hunting Tourism 6 7 Place-Time Data Collection 8 SEARCH-HDQ Variables SEARCH-HD content areas Ecosystem resource inputs Ecosystem resource supply Resource Value Resource use Resource Direct Economic Activity Resource Indirect Effect Resource Feedback Area Population Area Material Success Area Ties with Nature Area Cultural Continuity Area Education Area Fate Control Area Health Fisheries Marine Mammal Hunting Mining, Marine Oil & Transport Tourism Gas ation INDACC Indicator Database of Arctic Community Change Existing data: 1980 to present 9 Database Development Prototype currently under construction using Bering Sea fisheries data between 1980-2006 for: 1. Salmon (Chum) Red King Crab Herring Pollock 2. 3. 4. 10 Example Datasets NOAA and Alaska Fish and Game catch, price, and value data Alaska Commercial Fisheries Entry Commission: municipal level data on fisheries participation and earnings. Alaska Department of Labor: population. 11 Data Analysis: STATA 12 Database Relationships AON-HDQ Database Arctic-RIMS Database ELOKA Database AON Database 13 Project Team Fisheries • Gunnar Knapp (Alaska) • Jahn Petter Johnsen (Norway) • Thijs Christiaan van Son (Norway) Tourism • Steve Colt (Alaska) • Anna Karlsdöttir (Iceland) Resource Development • Sharman Haley (Alaska) • Rasmus Rasmussen (Denmark) Marine Mammals • John Bengtson (Washington) Modeling • Matt Berman (Alaska) Post-Doc • Marie Lowe (Alaska) GIS • Meghan Wilson (Alaska) Stakeholder Direction • Ed Ward (Alaska) • Brian Lyall (Canada) • Rasmus Rasmussen (Denmark) • Jack Kruse (Alaska) • Larissa Abryutina (Russia) Social Outcomes • Larry Hamilton (New Hampshire) • Bob Harcharek (Alaska) • Per Lyster (Greenland) • Gerard Duhaime (Canada) • Kristina Lasko (Sweden) • Charles Dorais (Canada) • Simon Routh (Canada) 14 How to contact us and learn more about the project www.SEARCH-HD.NET Lead Contacts: Jack Kruse [email protected] Marie Lowe [email protected] 15 Arctic Social Science: Agenda for Action Arctic Social Science Program Methods & Models for Integrated Assessment Arctic System Science HARC Land-AtmosphereIce Interactions Arctic Social Indicators SLiCA Sustainability of Arctic Communities Rangifer Systems SEARCH SNACS Bowhead AON SEARCH-HDQ Ocean-AtmosphereIce Interactions NOAA & other agencies 16