Workers* compensation claims

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Transcript Workers* compensation claims

WORKERS’ COMPENSATION
CLAIMS: MINING DATA TO
IMPROVE SAFETY OUTCOMES
IN THE GRAIN ELEVATOR
Sai K. Ramaswamy
&
Dr. Gretchen A. Mosher
June 27th 2016
Iowa State University
GRAIN ELEVATOR HAZARDS
• Grain elevator operations involve numerous safety hazards
• Increased storage capacities, larger and faster handling capacities and
increased automation some contributing factors
• Some of the safety hazards include:
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Entrapment & crushing
Suffocation
Grain dust explosions
Dealing with heavy machinery
Electrical and fire hazards
Working at heights and confined spaces
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AGRICULTURAL INJURY DATA
• The Survey of Occupational Injuries and Illness (SOII), published annually by
the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) most widely used source
• Other sources include:
• Occupational Injury Surveillance of Production Agriculture (OISPA) survey a NIOSH
and USDA collaboration
• Several state-level surveillance programs such as NY state farm fatality and injury
tracking
• Trauma registries
• Most existing injury data sources focused on production agriculture
• Surveillance of injuries especially non-fatal injuries are less structured and
hence difficult to obtain
• Very little injury information available for agribusiness such as grain elevators
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LIMITATIONS OF SOII DATA
• Takes 3 years to produce SOII for the given year
• Under-reporting of agricultural injuries
• Several states such as Colorado, South and North Dakota
do not participate in the BLS survey
• Uses the North American Industry Classification System
(NAICS) code so direct connections to specific agribusiness
can be difficult
• Injuries of contingent workers are underrepresented in
SOII
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LIMITATIONS OF SOII DATA CONT.
• The SOII collects data from a sample of workplaces and
not all workplace in the U.S
• Data for SOII is collected from OSHA logs maintained
by the employers and hence is prone to data entry errors
• Collected from an entire firm or only for certain facilities
within the firm
• Many groups exempted for example agribusiness with
less than 11 employees
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WORKERS COMPENSATION(WC) CLAIMS
DATA
• Alternative source of data to study work-related
injuries
• Highly preferred in epidemiological studies due to
their size and volume of data
• Used to study work-related injuries in industries such
as construction, mining, saw milling and logging
• Very little application of this data source in the grain
elevator industry
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WC CLAIMS DATA ADVANTAGES
• Mandatory for employers in all states except Texas
• No exclusions , as long as the firm has one hired worker
WC must be provided
• Majority of workers in the U.S. are covered by WC
• Cost efficient as this information is already being
collected by state and insurance companies
• Contains detailed injury information
• Is not a sample of injuries like the SOII
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SOII VS. WC DATA
• Wuellner et al. (2016) study found WC data captured 96% of SOII
data, but SOII only captured 70% of WC data
• Joe et al. (2014) study found about 2/3rd records matched between
SOII data and WC data for amputations and carpal tunnel
syndrome cases
• Friedman et al. (2013) found wide fluctuations in matching %
between SOII and WC data, up to 90% in one particular year
• Boden & Ozonoff, (2008) & Rosenman et al. (2006) compared SOII
and WC claims across six states and found a 25-78% underreporting
in SOII
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DATA FOR THIS STUDY
• The claims dataset in this study was obtained from a Midwest based
insurance company with operations across U.S.
• Nearly 40,000 records of which 8,000 claims from grain elevators and
grain milling facilities
• Claims from 2008 to 2016
• Dataset includes
Demographic information - such as gender, DOB and Hire date
Injury information such as – cause and nature of injury, body part
injured
Cost information such as total cost of claim, medical and indemnity
costs
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DATA ANALYSIS METHODOLOGY
• All variables were treated as categorical variables
• The cost information were categorized as “No cost”, “Less
than $1,000”, “$1,000-$10,000”, “$10,000-$100,000 and
“$100,000+”
• Descriptive analysis included
• Frequency counts and percentages
• Contingency tables
• Chi-square analysis and Classification and Regression Trees
(CART) were used to mine and investigate the relationship
among the variables
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CLASSIFICATION AND REGRESSION TREE
(CART)
• A decision support tool used for building tree-like prediction
models
• If the outcome variable (dependent variable) is categorical then the
model building process is called a classification problem
• If numerical then the model building process is called a regression
problem
• The goal of CART is to identify patterns and build a concise model
of the outcome variables in terms of the predictor variables
• Neural networks, genetic algorithms, Bayesian methods, log-linear
model are all different types of classification tree models
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#
Car
Age Children Subscription
1
Sedan
23
0
Yes
2
Sports
31
1
No
3
Sedan
36
1
No
4
Truck
25
2
No
5
Sports
30
0
No
6
Sedan
36
0
No
7
Sedan
25
0
Yes
8
Truck
36
1
No
9
Sedan
30
2
Yes
10
Sedan
31
1
Yes
11
Sports
25
0
No
12
Sedan
45
1
Yes
13
Sports
23
2
No
14
Truck
45
0
Yes
Age
<=30
>30
Car type
Children
sports, truck
sedan
Yes
No
>0
0
Car type
sedan
Car type
sports, truck
sedan
No
Yes
Yes
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sports, truck
No
REASONS FOR USING CART
• Well-suited for both categorical as well as continuous variables
• To use statistical models such as probit/logit models underlying
assumptions must be satisfied
• No pre-defined or underlying relationship requirements
between the outcome and predictor variables
• No risk of erroneous predictions when assumptions violated
• Widely used in various fields yet few applications on agricultural
injury data till date
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PRELIMINARY RESULTS
• The total cost of claim has a significant association with age and
tenure of the employee
• Total cost of claim also has a significant association with nature of
injury, cause of injury and body part
• Strain injury and slips falls and trips were the two most common
causes of injuries
• Upper extremities such as hands, fingers were the most impacted
body part
• Strain and lacerations were the two most common types of injuries
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PRELIMINARY CART ANALYSIS
RESULTS
Rule#
Splitting Condition
Leading cause of injury
1
Disability (Y/N)
Fall, slips or trip injuries
2
Disability (Y/N) and Tenure ( <=5yrs., 5+yrs.)
Fall, slips or trip injuries ;
Strain injury
3
Disability (Y/N) and Age group ( <=40yrs.,
40+yrs.)
Fall, slips or trip injuries ;
Strain injury
Disability (Y/N) and Nature of injury( specific,
multiple)
Fall, slips or trip injuries for
both types
Disability (Y/N) and Body part group ( Head,
trunk, upper extremities, lower extremities,
multiple)
Heat or cold exposures,
strain, strain, fall, slips or
trip, heat or cold exposures
respectively
4
5
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NEXT STEPS
• Classify the data using several variables simultaneously to
identify patterns that can help safety decision making
• Building multivariate prediction models using CART
• Develop a benchmark for agricultural cooperatives to
use as a barometer for continuous improvement in
worker safety
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CONCLUSIONS
• WC claims data analysis supplements the existing research using
SOII data
• All claims are thoroughly vetted and hence WC data are highly
reliable
• Training employees who are below age 40 years and five or less
years experience can help reduce the number of severe injuries
• Fall protection equipment and better housekeeping can help
eliminate the most common cause of work-related injuries in
the grain elevator
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LIMITATIONS
• Data were from only one insurance company and results cannot
be generalized for entire industry
• WC claims data are also susceptible to underreporting due to:
• Lack of awareness
• Non-serious nature of injury
• Fear of employer retribution
• The research team no control on the data being collected for
each WC claim
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