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SMART Approaches in Tackling Drink Driving
European Road Safety Conference
Alcohol and driving in Germany
Prague May 7th, 2015
Dr. Horst Schulze
Federal Highway Research Institute
1
Druid: some facts
• 6th EU Framework
Program project
• Start: 15.10.2006
• Duration: five years
• EU contribution: 19 Mio. €
• 37 partners
• 17 EU Member States and
Norway
• Seven Work Packages
• Co-ordinator: BASt,
Germany
Dr. Horst Schulze
May 7th, 2015
2
Problem situation: Epidemiology
Controls: Roadside survey
Drivers of personal vehicles
Stratified sample
Checked at random
N = 50 000
Cases I: injured drivers
Drivers of personal vehicles
Seriously injured (MAIS≥2)
N = 2 600
Cases II: killed drivers
Drivers of personal vehicles
Killed in traffic
N = 1 000
Dr. Horst Schulze
Conducted in 13 countries
according to a standardized
procedure
May 7th, 2015
3
Roadside survey: All substances
Prevalence of all
psychoactive substances:
EU-Average: 7.43%
Colours
• No data
• above European average
• below European average
Dr. Horst Schulze
May 7th, 2015
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Roadside survey: All substances
•
•
•
Most prevalent periods: weekend nights, week nights (22:00-04:00)
Alcohol 2-4 times more prevalent in male than in female drivers
Alcohol most prevalent among male drivers 50+
Dr. Horst Schulze
May 7th, 2015
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Roadside survey: Alcohol + drugs
•
•
Combination any drug + alcohol
European mean: 0.37% (alcohol > 0.1g/L: 3.5%)
Dr. Horst Schulze
May 7th, 2015
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Prevalence and risk
Dr. Horst Schulze
May 7th, 2015
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DRUID: Recommendations
Alcohol
Drugs
Medicines
Target groups
• ♂ < 35 years
• ♂ > 50 years
• Addicts
•
•
•
•
• ♀ > 50 years
• healthcare
providers
Enforcement
• focus on alcohol
• not at cost of
alcohol
enforcement
• more training in
drug detection
Dr. Horst Schulze
♂ < 35 years
alcohol + drugs
drugs + drugs
sleep deprivation
May 7th, 2015
• focus on misuse
and combined
consumption
8
DRUID: Recommendations
Alcohol
Drugs
Rehabilitation • EU-wide harmonization • EU-wide
harmonization
measures
Withdrawal
Medicines
• in case of
misuse
• EU-wide harmonization • EU-wide
• in case of
• 3-12 months
harmonization
misuse
• for regular
• combination of
consumers in
conditional
combination with
withdrawal and
rehabilitation
treatment
• zero alcohol limits for
young, novice and
professional drivers
• evaluation of
Future
investigations countermeasures
• alternative empirical
methods
Dr. Horst Schulze
• Improvement of • more research
drug screening
• standardization
devices
of assessment
• dried-blood-spots
May 7th, 2015
9
Accident risk – empirical evidence
Alcohol ban for novice drivers
Even a small blood alcohol
concentration may impair driving
ability of young, inexperienced
drivers significantly.
Dr. Horst Schulze
May 7th, 2015
10
Accident risk – Preusser (2002)
Relative accident risk (reference value are unimpaired 35 to 49 year olds)
Dr. Horst Schulze
May 7th, 2015
11
International Evaluations
Alcohol ban for novice drivers
● US, Canada:
Reduction of fatalities between 11 and 33%
● Austria:
O, 1 ‰ alcohol limit in combination with the
introduction of the probationary driving
reduction of the proportion of drunk novice drivers (BAC
above 0.8 ‰) that were involved in accidents with
serious injuries or fatalities to 16, 8%
Dr. Horst Schulze
May 7th, 2015
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Acceptance of alcohol prohibition
Survey on alcohol ban for novice drivers
(DEKRA, N=1100, 2007)
●
86.4% of drivers of all ages welcome the new regulatory
●
83.5% of the 16 to 26 year olds
FORSA-Survey made on behalf of the „Stern“
(18- to 25 year old, N=1001, März 2007)
●
92% argue for a total ban on alcohol for novice drivers
Internet-survey DVR
(novice drivers, N=mehr als 14.000, 2006)
● 82% argue for a total ban on alcohol for novice drivers
Dr. Horst Schulze
May 7th, 2015
13
German Regulations
Zero tolerance alcohol law for novice drivers
Initial point:
•
Implementation of the law: August 2007.
•
The limit is applicable to novice drivers of all ages during two years of
probation and to all drivers under 21.
•
This decision was made referring to studies on risk factors and accident
statistics:
- Alcohol remains a very important accident cause.
- In 2007 one third of all alcohol related accidents were caused by drivers
between 18 and 24 years old.
- Exceptionally high risk of younger drivers is the result of the combination
of multiple factors.
•
Aims of evaluation:
It was investigated how the new law affects the accident events and
alcohol-related traffic offenses committed by the target group.
Dr. Horst Schulze
May 7th, 2015
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German Road Safety Measures
Implementation of zero tolerance alcohol law for
novice drivers (2007)
Evaluation study
Accidents
The total number of novice drivers that were involved in
accidents and had a blood alcohol content of at least 0.03
percent dropped by 15% in the first 12 months after the
introduction of the law.
Alcohol offences
A reduction of 17% of all the registered alcohol offences
among young drivers under 21 years of age was found during
the period after the introduction of the law. This compares to a
reduction of 2.5% for all persons older than 21 years.
(Holte, Assing, Pöppel-Decker & Schönebeck, 2010)
Dr. Horst Schulze
May 7th, 2015
15
Accident Statistics
25000
Number of accident involved car drivers under the influence of alcohol
1991-2013
7000
> 24 years
18-20 years
21-24 years
6000
5000
15000
4000
3000
10000
accident involved (18-24 years)
accident involved (more than 24 years)
20000
2000
5000
1000
0
0
1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
Dr. Horst Schulze
May 7th, 2015
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Accident Statistics
9%
Share of accident involved car drivers under the influence of alcohol
1991-2013
18-20 years
8%
21-24 years
> 24 years
7%
6%
5%
4%
3%
2%
1%
0%
1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
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May 7th, 2015
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Accident Statistics
Numberofofaccident
accidentinvolved
involved car drivers
ofof
alcohol
byby
BAC
Number
driversunder
underthe
theinfluence
influence
alcohol
bac
18-20 years
years
1200
0,3-0,5 mg/l
0,5-0,8 mg/l
1000
0,8-1,1 mg/l
1,1-1,6 mg/l
800
>1,6 mg/l
600
400
200
0
1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
Dr. Horst Schulze
May 7th, 2015
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Accident Statistics
Numberofofaccident
accidentinvolved
involved car drivers
ofof
alcohol
byby
BAC
Number
driversunder
underthe
theinfluence
influence
alcohol
bac
21-24 years
years
2500
0,3-0,5 mg/l
0,5-0,8 mg/l
2000
0,8-1,1 mg/l
1,1-1,6 mg/l
>1,6 mg/l
1500
1000
500
0
Bundesanstalt für Straßenwesen
1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
Dr. Horst Schulze
May 7th, 2015
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Accident Statistics
Number of accident involved car drivers under the influence of alcohol by BAC
> 24 years
12000
0,3-0,5 mg/l
0,5-0,8 mg/l
10000
0,8-1,1 mg/l
1,1-1,6 mg/l
8000
>1,6 mg/l
6000
4000
2000
0
1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
Dr. Horst Schulze
May 7th, 2015
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Conclusions
•
Alcohol is the most prevalent substance in seriously injured and killed
drivers in Europe
•
The zero tolerance alcohol law for young and novice drivers improved
traffic safety (accidents, offences) of this group substantially.
•
The acceptance of the law was high in the target group right from the
beginning
•
•
–
key factor for success
–
When acceptance remains high, a sustainable consolidation or
even increase of the effect can be reached
To stabilise acceptance and compliance:
-
Thematic presence of the danger of DUI driving in public
(campaigns etc.) and educational measures
-
Enforcement
“Driving Drinkers” can not be reached only by legal measures
Enforcement
Withdrawl
Rehabilitation
Dr. Horst Schulze
May 7th, 2015
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Thank you very much
for your attention!
Dr. Horst Schulze
May 7th, 2015
22