Transcript Background info driving forces GEO3 ppt - Eionet-SI

Markets First
Security First
Policy First
Sustainability First
Markets First
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Demography
Economy
Society
Culture
Technology
Governance
Environment
Markets First is a world in
which market driven
developments converge on
the values and expectations
that prevail in industrialised
countries
Assumptions about Driving Forces MF
Demography gradual completion of demographic transition
in most regions
Economy fairly stable growth rates
Society individual ethos dominates
Culture increasingly uniform; consumption-oriented
Technology rapid advances, but slightly outpaced by activity
growth
Governance mix of top-down and bottom-up; reactive
outside of economic arena; often rhetorical; degree of
implementation varies; mixed results
Environment robust within limits
Need for Action Hotly Debated at WSSD
Doors Open to Increased Trade and Investment
Social and Environmental Goals
Continue to Take Back Seat
The Free Trade Area of the Americas:
A Reality After All
India: From Back Office to Centre Stage
Technology is Speeding Ahead, but
Is It Keeping Pace with Activity Growth?
Donor Fatigue Grows
Developing Countries Moving Forward
but Still Falling Behind
What Hides Behind the Averages?
Increasing Signs of Stress
in Environmental Systems
Is What We’ve Gained Worth
More Than What We’ve Lost?
On the Horns of a Dilemma:
Can We Live with Continued Growth?
Can We Live without it?
Markets First
Security First
Policy First
Sustainability First
Policy First
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Demography
Economy
Society
Culture
Technology
Governance
Environment
Policy First is a world in which
concerted action on
environment and social issues
occurs through incremental
policy adjustments
Assumptions about Driving Forces PF
Demography accelerated completion of demographic
transition in most regions
Economy cautious growth balanced by social and
environmental concerns
Society balance between individual and community ethos
Culture continues to be consumption-oriented, but
tempered; respect for diversity
Technology targeted technological improvements; slightly
outpaces activity growth
Governance top-down; proactive in intent; slow in
implementation; mixed results
Environment robust within limits
A Grand Plan for Tomorrow:
Strong Commitments Made at WSSD
Regional Bodies Take Up the Charge
Tailor it to Their Situation
Progressive Businesses and NGOs
Help Governments Make the Hard Sell
International Panel to Study
Nitrogen Loadings Underway
Government Departments
Increasingly Linked
A Second Green Revolution:
Achieving the Results while Avoiding the Errors?
Trade Agreements Increasingly Reflect
Social and Environmental Concerns
Environmental Concerns Strengthen Resolve
At Stockholm+50 Progress Cited, but
Leaders Call For Renewed Efforts
Headed in the Right Direction, but
Are We Moving Fast Enough?
Good News and Bad News
A Mixed Report on Environmental and Social Targets
Markets First
Security First
Policy First
Sustainability First
Security First
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Demography
Economy
Society
Culture
Technology
Governance
Environment
Security First is a world of
fragmentation, where
inequality and conflict prevail,
brought about by socioeconomic and environmental
stresses
Assumptions about Driving Forces SeF
Demography slow completion of demographic transition
combined with stagnation or reversal of life expectancy
among some groups
Economy laissez-faire approach to economic activity;
increasingly disrupted
Society individual ethos dominates
Culture increasingly uniform within walls; fragmented and
diverse outside
Technology fragmented technological advance; well behind
growth in activity
Governance little at first; reactive; when applied, top-down and
heavy handed
Environment a number of environmental systems exhibit
increased fragility
Little of Substance Achieved at WSSD
AIDS Crisis Continues in Africa; deepens in Asia
Coalition Against Terror Faces New
Challenges at Home and Abroad
EU Squabbles over New Entrants Continue
Free Trade Overrides Social and Environmental Concerns
Still Waiting for Recovery in Asia and Elsewhere
Easier to Reach, Arctic Increasingly Up for Grabs
Can We Afford to Care?
EU Tightens Borders Further
Some Regions Beg for Water as
Others Build Walls to Keep it Away
Aid Agencies Stretched
Beyond Their Limits
People Willing to Trade Freedom for Security
Wither One World?
Safe, but for How Long?
Border Guards: We Do
What We Have to Do
Life Outside the Walls:
Why We Should Care
Beijing to London - No Problem
Going to the Nearest Village - Risky Business
Markets First
Security First
Policy First
Sustainability First
Sustainability First
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Demography
Economy
Society
Culture
Technology
Governance
Environment
Sustainability First is a world
in which a new development
paradigm emerges in
response to the challenge of
sustainability, supported by
new values and institutions
Assumptions about Driving Forces SuF
Demography greatly accelerated completion of
demographic transition in most regions
Economy new patterns of economic activity; old measures
inadequate to represent changes
Society community ethos dominates, but with full flowering
of individual potential
Culture shift from consumption to satificing-orientation;
respect for diversity
Technology targeted technological advances; well ahead
of activity changes
Governance bottom-up dominates; proactive in intent and
implementation; strong results
Environment robust within limits
WSSD: Where the Real Action Occurred
Leaders Try to Keep Pace with Action on the Ground
“I Must Follow the People. Am
I Not Their Leader?” Disraeli
Businesses Help Countries
Make Technological Leaps
South-South Linkages Grow
“I Think that People Want Peace so Much that One of
These Days Government Had Better Get out of the Way
and Let Them Have It” Dwight D. Eisenhower
Returning Émigrés Bring Back More Than Money
Open Access to Information Leads to Improved
Behaviour in Government and Business
The Impacts of a Real Peace Dividend
Release of GDP Figures met by Deafening Silence
Social and Environmental
Progress Hailed
Has Humankind Achieved Maturity?