Transcript Mark Pisano on the Southern California Megaregion

The Southern California
Mega Region
Being Competitive
Participants in the
Global Economy
Southern
California
Southern
California
Southern
California
SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA
MEGA-REGION
1.5% of U.S. land area (53,000 sq.mi.)
 Over 7% of U.S. population (22 million)
 58% of California annual GDP ($900 billion)
The WORLD’S 10th LARGEST ECONOMY
Southern
California
SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA
GLOBAL GATEWAY
TRENDS
POPULATION GROWTH
Population is
expected to grow to
27,700,000
by 2030
35%
Increase
from 2000
TRADE GROWTH
Los Angeles/Long Beach port complex 5th largest in world
44 million 20 ft. containers by 2030 - reaching capacity
GROWTH IN AIRPORT DEMAND
• Mega-region’s airports make
So. Cal the busiest of all
regions in the country
• 94 million passengers served
in 2003
• Demand forecast to double
before 2030
• Cargo expected to triple
Southern
California
The region accomodates nearly 30% of the
nation’s waterborne trade, and 60% of total
cargo containers.
Although this activity greatly benefits the
nation as a whole, the region incurs a
disproportionate share of the burden in
congestion and air quality costs.
HIGHWAY CONGESTION
Projected Growth
80%
70%
truck travel
60%
50%
40%
auto travel
30%
population
20%
10%
2000
Worst in nation since 1982
2010
2020
2025
AIR POLLUTION
• Progress has stalled
and diesel emissions
from ships, locomotives
and port complex are
projected to increase
• Mega-region continues
to have the worst air
quality in the U.S.
THREATENED ENVIRONMENT &
QUALITY OF LIFE
ENERGY
Demands on the capacity and distribution of energy
will remain a major challenge
WATER
Per capita demand not projected to decline as the
population increases
HABITAT & OPEN SPACE
Suburban-style sprawl continues to consume native
habitat
2/3 of region is
government-owned
and off-limits to
development
Southern
California
Dense development
pattern: 15,000 to
20,000 people/sq.mi.
GROWING ECONOMIC &
SOCIAL DISPARITY
Among Nine Largest Metro Regions
#9
Percentage of adults who have
attained at least a high school
diploma
percentage of owner and
#1Highest
rental households spending
30% or more on housing
#1 Highest rate of crowded housing
Southern
California
Improving the region’s jobs-housing
balance is the most critical short-term
goal to avoid a complete collapse of the
transportation, housing and social
networks in place.
Southern
California
SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA
GLOBAL GATEWAY
STRATEGIES
Reinvest and redevelop along
existing and planned transportation
corridors and in regional centers
Preferred Alternative
•Distributes regional
employment &
housing growth
following 4 guiding
principles
•Focuses growth along
existing & planned
transportation
corridors and in
existing and emerging
centers
•Will guide SCAG’s
regional programs &
policies
Mobility
Prosperity
Livability
Sustainability
Household Growth 2010-2030
(without Growth Vision)
Household Growth 2010-2030
(with Growth Vision)
Changes will affect
Project
only 2% of
Vision
regional
land mass
Support Industry
Sectors providing
good-paying
Tech Dependent
jobs to a less
educated
On the Job Learning
labor
Defined Skill Ladder
force
Good Entry Level Pay
Blue Collar
Southern California Based
Logistics Jobs
In 2003
Wholesale Trade
352,373
Truck Transportation
54,504
Transportation Support
52,662
Couriers
30,090
General Warehousing
28,442
Air Transportation
25,466
Rail Transportation
2,952
Water Transportation
1,789
Total
Source: Quarterly Census of Employment
Wages, CA EDD, 2004
548,278
Share of Mega-Region Jobs
% SCAG Jobs
1 out of 12
jobs in 2003
16%
14%
14.1
12%
14.9
12.1
10.6
10%
9.6
8%
7.5
6%
8.1
4.8
4%
3.5
2%
1.7
0%
Motion Other Constr. Financial Logis- Leisure Educ. & Manf. Prof. & Gov’t.
Picture Services
Activities tics
Health
Bus.
and
Services
Hosp. Services
Compared to other Sectors
$ Weekly Pay
1 of highest
paying
$1600
$1400
$1200
$1000
$800
Average
weekly
pay for all
industries
is $749
$400
$1194
$718
$600
$400
$1353
$777
$811
$843
$847
$866
$413
$200
0$
Leisure Other Educ. & Constr. Prof. & Manf. Logistics Gov’t. Financial Motion
Activities Picture
Bus.
and Services Health
Services
Services
Hospitality
Make transportation
infrastructure
investments to
support growth of
trade and jobs
and reduce
congestion
Total LA/Long Beach Container Growth
Projected to Triple in 25 Years
44.7
36.0
In Million TEU’s
(20’ Equivalent Units)
Source: POLA, POLB
18.3
13.2
2005
2010
2020
2030
Diesel Particulates
They comprise
71% of the
major pollutants
contributing to
cancer risk in
the South Coast
Air Basin
Source: SCAQMD, Multiple Air Toxics Exposure Study II, March 2000
5,400 Premature Deaths Annually
140,000 Children Have Asthma
980,000 Lost Work Days
2,400 Hospitalizations
75% - 80% of the
emissions come
from mobile
sources outside of
local control
Proposed High-Speed System
ELECTRIFIED
Initial Operating Segment
81 miles
6 stations
$11 billion capital cost
$110 million annual O&M
Freight System
90 miles
6 stations
$19 billion capital cost
$296 million annual O&M
4 to 13 million TEUs
New Rail Capacity & Improvements
ELECTRIFIED
East-West
Corridor
Hoba
rt
Alameda
Corridor
Colto
n
More tracks,
alternative
routes, grade
GLOBAL GATEWAY THINKING
 Promotes relationships between existing
metropolitan areas
 Supports sustainability and long-term vitality
 Streamlines transportation and land use
patterns
 Fosters better economies
 Encourages cost-saving measures through
cooperation
Thank You