Transcript tourism satellite account

South Africa
Tourism Satellite Account
Parliament Portfolio Committee on Tourism
12 October 2010
1
Content
• Important concepts and definitions
• The TSA process in South Africa
• Draft TSA for South Africa, 2005
• Tourism Statistics at Statistics South Africa
2
Concepts & Definitions
Country of Residence
Lived in RSA for at least
one year
Intend to live in RSA for at least
one year
3
Concepts &Definitions
Forms of Tourism
Inbound
Domestic
Outbound
4
Concepts &Definitions
The Usual Environment
40 kilometres
Once a
week or
more
5
Concepts &Definitions
Tourist
“person traveling outside the usual environment for more
than one day but not more than a year and the person is
not remunerated at the destination”
6
TSA process
TSA process in SA
1998 - 1999
Develop expertise through the UNWTO (ongoing)
2002
March 2002
May 2002
2003 - 2004
Oct 2004
WTTC developed simulated TSA for SA
WTTC update for SA
Inter-institutional committee (working team) formed
Visit by French expert to provide advice for
development of TSA
Development of new data sources for the TSA
Visit by TSA expert to assess the status of the TSA
April 2005
Discussion document on the status of the TSA
July 2005
Development of TSA model based on supply and
use tables
2006 - 2008
Addressing data gaps – further development of the
TSA model and discussion documents on the status
of the TSA
7
TSA process
TSA process in SA
Develop expertise through the UNWTO (ongoing)
May 2009
First draft TSA for SA, 2005 Indaba
Nov 2009
National Accounts rebased and benchmarked
Nov 2010
Final TSA for SA 2005 and pre limenary TSA for SA
for 2006 to 2008
8
TSA process
Only TSA from 2002 to 2007?
NO
•Domestic tourism module in the General Household Survey –
became the Domestic Tourism Survey
•SAT departure survey – SASQAF (NSS) – acceptable statistics
•Re – engineering of the Tourism and Migration release
•Standardisation of concepts and definitions within Stats SA and
between organisations
9
Draft TSA, 2005
Launch of the draft TSA
Joint Launch
Stats
SA
SAT
DEAT
Two phased approach
10
SARB
Draft TSA, 2005
The 10 tables of the TSA
Table 1: Inbound tourism expenditure
Table 4: Internal tourism
Table 2: Domestic tourism
expenditure
Table 5: Production accounts
Table 6: Domestic supply and
internal tourism
Table 7: Employment in the tourism
industries
Table 8: Gross fixed capital
formation of tourism industries and
other industries
Table 9: Tourism collective
consumption by CPC (Central
Product Classification) products and
levels of government
Table 10: Non-monetary indicators
11
Table 3: O utbound tourism
expenditure
Draft TSA, 2005
Key concepts used in the TSA
Gross direct value added of the
tourism industries
Visitors
Tourism industries
Non-visitors
Non-tourism industries
Tourism direct gross value added
12
Draft TSA, 2005
Flows of tourism expenditure through the South African economy, 2005
Inbound tourism expenditure
R51 090 million
Domestic tourism expenditure
R54 499 million
Internal tourism expenditure
R105 588 million
Gross direct value added of the
tourism industries
R65 221 million
Tourism direct gross value added
R42 355 million
Employment in tourism industries
527 630 employees
13
Outbound tourism expenditure
R30 631 million
Draft TSA, 2005
The Key Results of the draft TSA for SA, 2005
Gross value added of the tourism industries
R 65 221 million
(4,7%)
Tourism direct gross value added
R 42 355 million
(3,1%)
Tourism direct gross domestic product
R 45 649 million
(3,0%)
Direct employment in the tourism industries
14
527 630
(4,3%)
Draft TSA, 2005
Results of the TSA (UNWTO) versus WTTC (previously quoted by
industry)
Draft TSA, 2005
Direct contribution to GDP
Direct and indirect contribution to
GDP
WTTC, 2005
3,0%
3,29%
- (The TSA ONLY
measures DIRECT
contribution to the
GDP)
8,15%
527 630
(4,3%)
478 630
(3,9%)
Direct employment
•TSA (UNWTO) – Internationally recommended methodological framework for
calculating the contribution of tourism to the economy (GDP)
•WTTC – Simulated model
15
Draft TSA, 2005
Comparison – Tourism vs traditional industries
30
25
percentage
20
15
10
5
0
Electricity, gas
and water
Agriculture,
forestry and
fishing
Construction
Tourism
Mining and
quarrying
Transport,
storage and
communication
industry
VA
Employment
16
Wholesale and
retail
Manufacturing
Community,
social and
personal
services
Finance, real
estate and
business
services
Draft TSA, 2005
Distribution of value added and employment within the tourism
industry
40,0
35,0
30,0
percentage
25,0
20,0
15,0
10,0
5,0
0,0
Cultural and sport
and recreational
services
Food and beverages Travel agencies and
similar
Retail trade of
Transport equipment
tourism connected
rental
goods
industry
VA
17
Employment
Accommodation
Passenger transport
Other non-tourism
industries
Draft TSA, 2005
International comparison
Austria (2005)
New Zealand (2005)
Bulgaria (2005)
Country
Australia (2005/06)
South Africa (2005)
Poland (2005)
India (2006)
Hong Kong (2003)
Canada (2005)
0,0
1,0
2,0
3,0
4,0
% contribution to GDP (direct)
18
5,0
6,0
7,0
Tourism Stats
Tourism Statistics in Statistics South Africa (short term indicators)
•Survey of tourist accommodation (P6420) – total income generated by the
accommodation industry (accommodation, restaurants and bar sales, other
income), stay units available, stay unit nights sold, occupancy rates
Jul-10
Jun-10
May-10
Apr-10
Mar-10
Month
Feb-10
Jan-10
Dec-09
Nov-09
Oct-09
Sep-09
Aug-09
Jul-09
Jun-09
0,0
500,0
1 000,0
1 500,0
R million
Total income
Of which is income from accommodation
19
2 000,0
2 500,0
Tourism Stats
Tourism Statistics in Statistics South Africa (short term indicators)
•Survey of food and beverages (P6410) – total income generated by the food and
beverages serving industry (food sales, bar sales, other income)
Jul-10
Jun-10
May-10
Apr-10
Mar-10
Month
Feb-10
Jan-10
Dec-09
Nov-09
Oct-09
Sep-09
Aug-09
Jul-09
Jun-09
0,0
500,0
1 000,0
1 500,0
2 000,0
R million
Total income
Of which is income from food sales
20
2 500,0
3 000,0
3 500,0
Tourism Stats
Tourism Statistics in Statistics South Africa (short term indicators)
•Tourism and migration (P0351) – arrivals and departures
Jul-10
Jun-10
May-10
Apr-10
Mar-10
Month
Feb-10
Jan-10
Dec-09
Nov-09
Oct-09
Sep-09
Aug-09
Jul-09
Jun-09
0
200 000
400 000
600 000
800 000
Arrivals
Foreign Arrivals
Of which are visitors
21
1 000 000
1 200 000
Thank You
22
Draft TSA, 2005
•SOURCE DATA
•International Recommendations on Tourism Statistics (IRTS)
•TOURISM SATELLITE ACCOUNT
•Tourism Satellite Account – Recommended Methodological Framework (TSA:
RMF)
Demand
Supply
•Departure Survey
•Survey of tourist accommodation
•Domestic Survey
•Survey of food and beverages
•Arrivals and Departures
•Large sample surveys
(accommodation, personal services,
transport industry, real estate and
business services, wholesale and retail
trade)
•GHS
•IES
•Balance of Payments
•EAS
•Supply and Use tables
•Supply and Use tables
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Draft TSA, 2005
Methodology used for the compilation: TSA:RMF, Dec 2008
95 industries and
27 goods and
services
Basis – 2005 Supply and Use
tables (not benchmarked)
Step 1
Extraction of detailed data
(products and industries)
Tourism single purpose
consumer durables
Step 3
Step 2
Valuation of reservation
services
Gross margin – purchased
separately
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Dual classification –
tourism exp
Cost of production and
component of tourism
consumption
Draft TSA, 2005
Total inbound tourism expenditure
Tourists
Same - day
Total visitors
visitors
(1,1)
(1,2)
(1,3) = (1,1) + (1,2)
Products
A. Specific products
A.1 Characteristic products
1 - Accommodation services
No data
x
currently
x
collected
by
x
SAT
1.1 - Hotels and other accommodation services for visitors other than 1.2
1.2 - Accommodation services associated with all forms of vacation home ownership
2 - Restaurant and similar
3 - Passenger transport services
3.1 - Railway passenger transportation services
3.2 - Road passenger transportation services
3.3 - Water passenger transportation services
3.4 - Air passenger transportation services
3.5 - Transport equipment rental
4 - Travel agencies and similar
4.1 - Reservation services provided by travel agencies (1)
4.2 - Reservation services provided by tour operators (2)
4.3 - Other reservation services
5 - Cultural services
6 - Sports and recreational services
7 - Tourism-characteristic goods (3)
8 - Other country-specific tourism-characteristic services
A.2 Connected products
Services
B. Non-specific products
Services
Goods
SAT departure
survey certified by
NSSD as
acceptable stats –
May 2007
Total
number of trips
number of overnights
25
BoP
(adj)
Draft TSA, 2005
Resident visitors
Total domestic tourism expenditure
on an international trip (expenditure prior to
leaving the country of reference)
Total visitors
Tourists
Same-day
Total visitors
Tourists
Same-day
Total visitors
visitors
visitors
(2.3) = (2.1) + (2.2)
(2.4)
(2.5)
(2.6) = (2.4) + (2.5) (2.7) = (2.1) + (2.4) (2.8) = (2.2) + (2.5)
(2.9) = (2.3) + (2.6)
on a domestic trip
Tourists
Products
(2.1)
A. Specific products
A.1 Characteristic products
1 - Accommodation services
Same-day
visitors
(2.2)
x
1.1 - Hotels and other accommodation services for visitors other than 1.2
1.2 - Accommodation services associated with all forms of vacation home ownership
2 - Restaurant and similar
3 - Passenger transport services
x
x
x
x
SAT domestic
x
survey
x
x
x
3.1 - Railway passenger transportation services
3.2 - Road passenger transportation services
3.3 - Water passenger transportation services
GHS tourism
module
3.4 - Air passenger transportation services
3.5 - Transport equipment rental
4 - Travel agencies and similar
4.1 - Reservation services provided by travel agencies (1)
Domestic
Tourism Survey
4.2 - Reservation services provided by tour operators (2)
4.3 - Other reservation services
5 - Cultural services
6 - Sports and recreational services
7 - Tourism-characteristic goods (3)
8 - Other country-specific tourism-characteristic services
A.2 Connected products
Services
Domestic
Tourism Survey
B. Non-specific products
Services
Goods
IC, PCE
Total
number of trips
number of overnights
26
TSA: what has been published
Tourism
Indaba, May
2009
Draft TSA for SA, 2005
Based on the 2005 SU-tables – detail for 94 industries and 27
products
All stakeholders had until March
2010 to send any comments on
data or methodology
27
Developments in National Acc
•Benchmarking of National Accounts - new base year 2005 published in November 2009
‘New’ SU-tables:
•292 industries
•105 products
•Industry classification:
SIC
•Product classification:
CPC
Previous SU-tables:
•94 industries
•27 products
•Industry classification:
SIC
•Product classification:
linked to SIC
Benchmarked 2005 SU-tables will be published in September
2010
28
Improvements
Accommodation
New
New SU-tables:
SU-tables:
Previous SU-tables:
•
Industry:
••
Industry:
Industry:
1.
1.
Hotels,motels,botels
and
Hotels,motels,botels
inns
and inns
2.
2.
Caravan
Caravanparks
parksand
and
camping
campingsites
sites
3.
3.
Guest-houses
guestGuest-housesand
and
farms
guest-farms
4.
4.
Other
Otheraccommodation
accommodation
••
Product:
Product:
1.
1.
Accommodation
services
Accommodation
services
1. Hotels
•
Product:
1. Hotels, Restaurants
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Improvements
Transport
Previous SU-tables:
New SU-tables:
•
1.
2.
•
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
7.
8.
9.
•
1.
Industry
Railway transport
Other scheduled passenger land
transport and other nonscheduled passenger land
transport
Freight transport by road
Transport via pipelines
Water transport
Air transport
Cargo handling
Other supporting transport
activities
Travel agency and related
activities
4.
5.
6.
7.
8.
9.
10.
11.
12.
Industry
Railway transport
Other scheduled passenger land
transport
Other non-scheduled passenger
land transport
Freight transport by road
Transport via pipelines
Water transport
Air transport
Cargo handling
Storage and warehousing
Other supporting transport activities
Travel agency and related activities
Activities of other transport agencies
•
1.
Product
Passenger transport services
3.
Product
Transport
30
SU-table and the TSA
SU table for 2005 will be published in September 2010
Access to and permission to use unpublished pre-limenary SU
–Tables for 2006, 2007 and 2008
Still open to revision (new data, etc).
Final TSA for SA for 2005, and pre-lim for 2006, 2007 and 2008
by 30 November 2010
31
Way forward
Future development/improvement
Separate same-day visitors and tourists (Table 1, 2 and 4)
Investigate the possibility of compiling Table 3 (Outbound tourism) (no alternative data
source)
Use the DTS for the compilation of Table 2 (Domestic Tourism)
Research the treatment of housing services provided by second homes on own
account or for free – (no alternative data source)
Research the treatment of the service charges paid to travel agents, tour operators
and other reservation services – (no alternative data source)
Improve industry ratios applied to employment and measure the full-time employees (no alternative data source)
32
Tourism and Migration
Travellers versus Tourists (2009) (Tourism 2009, Report 03-51-02 (2009))
Foreign travellers
18 778 556
Arrivals
10 098 306
Departures
8 680 250
Visitors
Non Visitors
9 531 615
566 691
Same day
Tourists
2 519 750
7 011 865
33