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Micro Data Record Research
Agriculture and Food Research
Michael Trant
Agriculture Division, Statistics Canada
January, 2003
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Agriculture Division
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Crop Statistics
Horticulture Statistics
Livestock Statistics
Financial Statistics
Whole Farm Data Project
Census of Agriculture
Research & Analysis
Spatial Analysis & Geomatic Applications
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Analysis and Development Section
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food and agriculture issues
strengthen capacity for research and analysis
co-ordinate research and analysis initiatives
develop research partnerships with other departments and
universities
• publications
• VISTA newsletter
• Agriculture Working Paper Series
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Research Opportunities
• Objective is the publication of the results of analytic
work in a Statistics Canada working paper series,
Statistics Canada Publications (printed and internet),
and academic Journals
• Doctorate and post-doc research
• Research Fellows (faculty)
• Research opportunities for masters candidates
• Research partnership arrangements
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Micro Data Access
• Research Data Centres
• social statistics collected from individuals and
households
• Household data, expenditures
• Health statistics
• Labour statistics
• Statistics Canada Ottawa
• all business statistics irrespective of the size of
the business
• Farm survey data
• Census of Agriculture
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Requirements
1. Research Proposal
• Special SSHRC application for social statistics
micro data research in RDC
• Application to Division Director for social and
business statistics micro data research in Ottawa
2. Sign contract on researchers rights and responsibilities
3. Consent to a security clearance
4. Agree, as a “deemed employee” to abide by the:
• oath/affirmation of secrecy
• Provisions of the Statistics Act
• Conflict of Interest and Post Employment Code
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Research Proposal Requirements
Research Proposal Requirements
• Clear description of research objective and
hypothesis
• Description of methodology
• Explain why this research is of value and how it
will advance our knowledge
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Summary
• Research opportunities with Statistics Canada
• RDC’s
• SSHRC managed research application for work with
Statistics Canada micro data on social statistics
• Statistics Canada Ottawa
• Proposal to Division Director for work in Ottawa with
Statistics Canada micro data on business statistics
• Fellows and Post Doctoral Programs
• Research Partnerships with Statistics Canada
Analysts
• Mike Trant, Agriculture Division for food and agriculture
and trade and the environment as it affects agriculture
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Research Results
Agriculture and Food Statistics
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Agriculture and Food Sectors
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Farming – 2% of GDP
Food Processing – 2.4% of GDP
Food Retailing – 2.6% of GDP
Agriculture and Food sectors – 7% of GDP
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Agriculture Sector
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246,000 farms
Cash receipts = $30 billion
2 % of GDP - nationally
Wheat production = 27 mt
Corn production = 9 mt
Barley production = 13 mt
Canola production = 9 mt
Soybeans production = 3 mt
Cattle = 13 million head
Hogs = 12 million head
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Food Processing Sector
• Food processing industry is the third largest
manufacturing industry
• Food processing industry contributes 2.4% to total
GDP
• Food processing industry is catering to changes in
Canadian households (aging population, single
person, single parent, culturally diverse)
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Food Retailing Sector
• Food is the second largest retailing sector
• Food distribution contributes 2.6% to GDP
• The sector faces increased competition from nonfood retailers and international food retailers.
• Food prices have been rising more slowly than prices
in general.
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Farm Sector
Food Processing Sector
330
320
310
300
290
280
270
260
250
120
3.8
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100
3.6
80
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3.4
60
40
3
5
2.8
0
20
0
1981
1986
Number of Farms
1991
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3.2
1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997
1996
Food & Beverage Processing Establishments
Food & Beverage Processing Shipments/Establishment
Total Market Receipts/Farm
Food Retailing
FoodService
40
2.5
30
2
1.5
20
1
10
0.5
0
0
1989
1991
1993
1995
1997
1999
70
60
50
40
30
20
10
0
50
40
30
20
10
0
1986
1988
1990
1992
1994
1996
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Establishments
Average Sales
Establishments
Average Sales
International Comparison
• the food industry totaled 1.3% of GDP in the United
States, 2.0% in Germany, 1.3% in the United
Kingdom.
• using purchasing power parities, Canada has
surpassed the United States, Germany and the
United Kingdom in productivity (as measured by
value added per worker).
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Research Results
Agricultural Labour and Employment
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Recent trends in farm employment
• farm employment - measured by main-job
agriculture - saw steep declines between 1999
and 2001 but begins to rebound in 2002 (LFS)
• down 6% in 1999
• down 13% in 2000
• down 11% in 2001
• up 10% in the first 10 months of 2002
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Figure 3: Farm employment drops between 1999 and 2001 and begins to
rebound in 2002
Main-Job in Agriculture (000’s)
500
450
400
350
300
250
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5
4
l-9
n-9
n-9
Ju
Ja
Ja
6
5
l-9
n-9
Ju
Ja
7
6
l-9
n-9
Ju
Ja
8
9
7
8
l-9
l-9
n-9
n-9
Ju
Ju
Ja
Ja
Source: Labour Force Survey, seasonally adjusted
0
9
l-9
n-0
Ju
Ja
1
2
0
1
l-0
l-0
n-0
n-0
Ju
Ju
Ja
Ja
2
l-0
Ju
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Where is the decline
 decline greatest on farms operated by self-employed farmers with
no employees
 paid employees in agriculture unchanged
 decline in unpaid employees working on farms
 more second-job agriculture farmers
 fewer spouses and children working on the farm with their main-job
in agriculture
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Lack of farm profits may be pushing some
people off the farm
 farm profits unchanged, and at historically low levels for a number of
years,
 non-farm opportunities better
 farm expenses have matched the rise in farm receipts
 net incomes stabilizing between 4 and 5 billion dollars over the past
20 years (constant dollars)
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Figure 5: Lack of farm profit growth may be pushing some people off the farm
T h o u s a n d s o f d o lla rs , a d ju s te d fo r in fla tio n
3 5 ,0 0 0 ,0 0 0
T o ta l fa rm c a s h re c e ip ts
3 0 ,0 0 0 ,0 0 0
2 5 ,0 0 0 ,0 0 0
2 0 ,0 0 0 ,0 0 0
O p e ra tin g e x p e n s e s
1 5 ,0 0 0 ,0 0 0
1 0 ,0 0 0 ,0 0 0
T o ta l n e t fa rm in c o m e
5 ,0 0 0 ,0 0 0
1 9 7 11 9 7 21 9 7 31 9 7 41 9 7 51 9 7 61 9 7 71 9 7 81 9 7 91 9 8 01 9 8 11 9 8 21 9 8 31 9 8 41 9 8 51 9 8 61 9 8 71 9 8 81 9 8 91 9 9 01 9 9 11 9 9 21 9 9 31 9 9 41 9 9 51 9 9 61 9 9 71 9 9 81 9 9 92 0 0 0
Source: Statistics Canada, CANSIM tables 002-0001 receipts, 002-0005 expenses, 002-0009 net
income.
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