Transcript Developing and Deploying CHP & Renewable Energy Technologies

Clean Energy Industry Trends and
Workforce Development
Research Summary
Alan
Hardcastle
Sr. Research Associate
November 18, 2010
Green Jobs Background
 2008
legislation directed Employment
Security to identify the number of green
jobs in Washington.
 47,194
 2009
private-sector jobs were found for 2008.
legislation directed a series of follow
up studies to cover both public and private
sector green jobs.
First step:
Define green jobs
Development of products and services that
promote environmental protection and energy
security.
Businesses engaged in:




Energy efficiency
Renewable energy
Preventing and reducing pollution
Mitigating or cleaning up pollution
The Survey
Scientifically sound design.
Direct, public and private-sector green jobs.
More than 13,000 responses.
Results weighted to represent green jobs in all
sectors.
Second survey enabled initial measurement of
change over one year.
Key Results (1)
Estimated 76,137 privatesector green jobs

3.1 % of total covered
private sector employment
Additional 23,182 publicsector green jobs
Total: 99,319 green jobs
Key Results (2)
 These 99,319 green jobs
represent 3.3% of total covered
state employment

Up from 1.6% in 2008
 Private-sector employers
surveyed in 2008 and again in
2009 reported 32.4% increase
in number of green jobs
Private-Sector
Results by Green Core Area
 Energy efficiency: 44.3% of all private-sector green
jobs. More than two-thirds in construction, which is up
28.9% from 2008
 Prevent/reduce pollution: 39.9% of private-sector
green jobs. More than half in agriculture.
 Clean/mitigate pollution: 11.6% of private sector
green jobs. Mostly professional/technical services and
waste management & remediation.
 Renewable energy: 4.1% of private-sector green jobs.
Mostly construction and professional/technical services.
Public-Sector
Results by Green Core Area
 Energy efficiency: 20.9% of publicsector green jobs.
 Prevent/reduce pollution: 66.2% of
public-sector green jobs.
 Clean/mitigate pollution: 11.6% of
public-sector green jobs.
 Renewable energy:1.3% of publicsector green jobs.
8
9
2009 Renewable Energy Trends and
Workforce Study
Global, National, State
and Regional Trends in
Renewable Energy
Employer Data (27)
Workforce Implications
Identify RE Education
and Training in State
Wild Horse Wind/Solar Project – Kittitas County
Photo courtesy of Puget Sound Energy
Hubbert’s Curve and the Evidence
U.S. A Net Importer of Oil
The Cost of Oil – Updated
(High=$140 Barrel in July 2008)
Clean Energy Investments
Global : New investment in clean
energy was $162 billion in 2009

(China leads at $33.7 billion)
 Second highest figure ever, after
$173 billion in 2008, and up from
$157 billion in 2007
U.S.: Clean energy investment was
$17 billion in 2009, down 45%
from 2008
WA: $600 million in new federal
stimulus funding in 2010, in
addition to $2 billion for Hanford
cleanup
Source: New Energy Finance, 20010
Workers service a wind turbine at Nine Mile Canyon Site
Photo courtesy of Energy Northwest
Annual Growth Rates In World
Renewable Energy Supply 1990-2006
30%
24.5%
25%
20%
9.2%
9.3%
Solar
10%
Renewable
Municipal
Waste/Biogas/Liquid
Biomass
15%
1.9%
1.9%
1.5%
2.1%
2.2%
Total energy supply
Total Renewables
Solid Biomass
Geothermal
Hydro
5%
Source: EIA World Renewable Outlook 2008
Wind
0%
Projected World Energy Use
by Source, 2007-2035
Source: DOE-EIA International Energy Outlook, 2010
Net Electricity Generation
Estimates by Source, 2007-2035
Source: DOE-EIA International Energy Outlook, 2010
U.S. Non-Hydro Renewable
Electricity Generation 2006-2030
(includes effects of post-stimulus investments)
250
200
150
Geothermal
Municipal Solid Waste
Wood and Biomass
Solar
Wind
100
2.6%
2.2%
18.6%
94.0%
27.2%
Geothermal
Municipal Solid Waste
Wood and Other Biomass
Solar
Wind
50
Source: DOE-EIA, March 2009
2030
2027
2024
2021
2018
2015
2012
2009
0
2006
billion KWh
Annual Average Growth Rate
2006-2030
2006 Resource Mix for
Electric Power Generation
100%
90%
15%
9%
19%
% of Total Electricity Production
80%
16%
7%
Geothermal
70%
Solar/Wind
60%
77%
50%
Biomass and
Waste
Nuclear
40%
30%
67%
71%
Hydro
Fossil Fuels
20%
10%
12%
0%
World
US
WA
Industry Trends:
Washington Employer Perspectives
Federal/state policies driving growth
Uneven patterns of development
Renewable energy employers optimistic

Recession has had negative impact, but
viewed as a “temporary setback.”
Workforce Issues:
Employer Perspectives
Future workforce shortages
Need for a multi-skilled workforce
Core skills often lacking
Significant interest from youth:

Solar employer:“I get an application a day from
energetic young people”
Workforce Issues:
Education and Training
Lack of renewable education and training
(at all levels, including STEM)
Capacity limited
Training delivery options—balance of
distance options and applied learning
Energy Efficiency
Trends and Job Creation
 Energy price volatility, supply concerns, technology advances,
climate change, energy independence, all contribute to longterm investments in EE.
 NWPPC-6th power plan: Efficiency gains to meet 85% of new
regional energy demand by 2020
 Efficiency-related investments in 2004 were $300 billion;
support 1.63 million jobs in US
 Twice the number of jobs that were created in energy
supply sector
 But—still less than 1/3 of annual energy spending
Source: ACEEE: American Council for an Energy Efficient Economy
EE Sector Job Growth Projections
Source: Lawrence Berkeley National Lab
EE study – Occupations in
Weatherization (needed by 2020)
Over
55,000
2008 =
˜13,000
Source: USDOE Weatherization Assistance Program
Conclusions
 Clean Energy sectors will
experience long-term growth
 Economic recession has moderated
new investment and growth, but
there is momentum
 State policies and green economy
goals impact clean sectors
differently; many opportunities
and challenges
 Retirements, demographic trends,
and inadequate education-training
capacity will tighten labor market
 Career opportunities available for
students, workers who are prepared
Solar panels on the roof of Wenatchee Valley College
Photo courtesy of Chelan County PUD
Contact:
Alan Hardcastle
Senior Research Associate
(360) 956-2167
[email protected]
WSU Energy Workforce Research Reports:
http://www.energy.wsu.edu/ResearchEvaluation.aspx