Transcript DG TREN - British Polish Chamber of Commerce

 European Council –
Energy & Climate 2030
Krzysztof Bolesta
Polish Ministry of Environment
14/01/2015 - Warsaw
EU Targets for 2020
20% reduction GHG (ref.1990)
20% RES in overall energy mix
20% Improving energy efficiency
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EU Target(s) for 2030
40% reduction GHG (ref.1990)
27% RES in overall energy mix
binding at EU level
30% Improving energy efficiency
binding at EU level
10-15% interconnection
indicative
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GHG target - ETS
Reductions by 43%
ETS key instrument
Greater reduction speed
1.74% to 2.2%
CL list kept with review of
benchmarks
NER4k mechanism
extended
Modernisation reserve
created with 2% and EIB
involvement
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Council Conclusions – what does it mean for Poland
in EU ETS (2021-2030)
Distribution of allowances for auctioning and 2% fund
2% fund in EU-28
Allowances for auction =
(distribution key between MS
90%-10%)
for PL: 976
- 984 mln
90% based on
historical emissions
in EU ETS
for PL: 700
– 706 mln
Value:
66,5 – 67,0 mld PLN
(subtracted
= 307 – 310 mln
(distribution key - 10 MS 50%50%)
for PL: 134 - 135 mln
10% GDP per
capita criterion
for PL: 276
– 278
mln
Value:
26,2 - 26,4 mld PLN
50% according to
historical emissions
in EU ETS
for PL: 74,5
– 75 mln
Value:
7,0 – 7,1 mld PLN
50% according to
GDP
for PL: 59 – 60 mln
Value:
5,6 – 5,7 mld PLN
from the PL auctioning CAP)
No more than 40% from 90% of
historical emissions what means for
PL:
280 – 282 mln
Value:
26,6 – 26,8 mld PLN
Free allowances for electricty
generation sector in Poland
Allowances price estimated at 27 EUR according to Commission’s Impact
Assessment to communication on 2030 framework and PLN/euro exchange rate
based on guidelines of Ministry of Finance (2 October 2014) = 3,52 PLN/euro
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GHG target – non ETS
Reductions by 30%
Methodology half agreed
Targets will range 0-40%
Transport, agriculture, land
use and forests – honorable
mentions
Transfer from ETS for richest
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RES & Energy Efficiency
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No national targets
Freedom of MS to
go above
Governance should
help reaching target
Indicative at EU level
CION will propose
areas
MS keep control over
measures
Review in 2020
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Strong review clause / Council grip
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Review after Paris
European Council control
over conclusions elements
ETS, non-ETS, energy
efficiency, interconnections
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Conclusions
End of the beginning;
Non-ETS most controversial;
No other targets were/will be
possible;
Good result for Poland
Council will exercise
very strong grip over
climate&energy issues
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What happened in Lima?
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Principles of Warsaw and
not much more;
Elements of the text on
table;
US-China stealing the
show;
Likely result – no level
playing field;
Managed to solve EU
Kyoto2 ratification problem.
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Thank you
for your attention
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