Transcript Economic Indicators of Kazakhstan

Прежде, чем решить
Main Economic Indicators
of Kazakhstan
2
Economic background
18 000
112
110
110,7
109,3
16 000
109,7
108,9
12 850
108
14 000
12 000
106
10 214
10 000
104
7 591
102
103,3
5 870
8 000
101,26 000
4 612
100
4 000
98
2 000
96
0
2003
Маркетинговое исследование рынка легковых автомобилей РК
109,6
16 053 16 100
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
GDP, mlrd. tenge
Index of actual volume, GDP of RoK (1Q 2007-1Q 2009)
index, %
As shows diagram In 2009 there was a recession in
economy of Kazakhstan. Annual GDP has grown only
on 1,2 %.
If to consider data for the first quarters we will see, that
in 2010 GDP has increased on 7%.
The reason was the considered state policy about an
exit from crisis, state support of domestic bank system,
a good conjuncture in the raw materials markets,
absence of a panic at the population and business of
Kazakhstan and the good relation to Kazakhstan in the
world markets.
3
Economic background
Consumer Price Index in RoK (2000-2009)
118
117,0
116
114
113,2
112
%
Diagram shows the "heating" of national
economy from 2003 to 2007. Sharp growth
of consumer prices in 2008 first of all has
been caused by the crisis in economy and
unavailability of the government to such
rapid influence.
But in 2009 a situation shows has strongly
changed consumer price index has come
nearer to optimum values and has became
about 7 %.
110,8
110
108,6
108,4
108
107,3
107,6
106
105,9
106,4
106,9
104
2000
Маркетинговое исследование рынка легковых автомобилей РК
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
4
Economic background
index of real wages in RoK (2007-2010)
26
%, by corresponding period of the previous year
Till autumn of 2007 dynamics of the real
wages index was very high (more than 15 %).
Since September, 2007 this indicator starts
reduce sharply, and in 2008 the real wages
pass to a negative zone. It means that
purchasing power of the inhabitants reduces.
But since January 2009 positive dynamics
was restored and keeps and a positive zone
throughout all year.
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Маркетинговое исследование рынка легковых автомобилей РК
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Прежде, чем решить
Main Indicators by oil,
electricity, mining and
automobile
6
Oil & Gas
Volume of oil and gas production in RoK (2004-2009)
crude oil (thsd. tons)
According to agency RK of statistic extraction
natural gas (mln. cbm)
of oil and gas products occupies more than
gas condensate (thsd. tons)
half of all industrial production in Republic.
The confirmed strategic stocks include 169
hydrocarbonic minefields:
70 000
58 714
60 000
• 87 of them are oil fields,
• 17 gas
64 250
54 339
50 672
55 265
50 870
50 000
• 30 oil and gas and others
Oil and gas area occupy the territory about 1,7
million sq. km (approximately 62 % of territory
40 000
billion tons of oil and 1,8 bln. cubic metres of
gas, And prognostic- about 12 billion tons of oil
and a condensate and about 3 bln. cubic
metres of gas.
Маркетинговое исследование рынка легковых автомобилей РК
35 610
29 561
30 000
24 973
26 382
22 102
of Kazakhstan).
In Kazakhstan the proved reserves is near 2,8
33 383
20 000
10 000
8 813
10 616
10 664
2005
2006
11 860
12 024
12 134
2007
2008
2009
0
2004
7
Power industry
The
basis
of
generating
capacities
of
Volume of the electric power production in RoK (2004-2009)
Kazakhstan is the thermal power stations –
88%. 12% is hydroelectric power stations.
nuclear
and
alternative
power
in
Kazakhstan is not developed or in general is
absent. All electro power objects are united in
the
United
electro
power
system
of
Kazakhstan with voltage 220-1150кW.
Company KEGOC is the system operator,
mln. KiloWatt-Hour
The
85 000
80 000
79 980
75 000
76 621
70 000
71 669
using NEN (National electric network) with
voltage 220-1150кW And realizing operativelydispatching administration of the NEN.
65 000
67 920
66 942
60 000
2004
Маркетинговое исследование рынка легковых автомобилей РК
78 844
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
8
Automobile market
Major factor of influence on a car market today
Automobile market size in Kazakhstan (2006-2009)
is the joining to the Customs union. This event
will cardinally change structure and dynamics
Import of used automobile
Import of new automobile
Production
Export
of the market the next 3-5 years.
For autodealers working with the Russian cars,
the Customs union will create additional price
450
advantages that will provoke growth of sales in
400
350
from Russia in the nearest years could rise
300
from 4th place (in 2009 4th place and 6 % of
all import new cars) to 1st place with 40-50%
share of new car's segment Autodealers
working with other countries will be compelled
to adapt their price and service policy for new
market
conditions
with
a
rigid
price
competition.
Маркетинговое исследование рынка легковых автомобилей РК
thsd. units
2010-2012 in this market segment. Import
6,3
33,8
69,1
250
200
363,9
150
321,1
3,3
32,4
100
121,8
50
1,3
18,3
93,1
0
2006
2007
2008
2009
9
Mining industry
Other sectors of the mining industry
The mining industry, except extraction of fuel and energy minerals (iron ore,
nonferrous metal ores)
Extraction of fuel and energy minerals (oil, gas, coals, lignite)
7 000
Billion tenge, in the current the price
Kazakhstan has commercial reserves of 3
ferrous metals, 29 nonferrous, 2 precious, 84
kinds of industrial minerals, and also the major
energy resources.
One of key problems of a mining and smelting
complex of Kazakhstan is - Low technological
level of production. Our mining companies in
comparison with leading foreign firms allows
losses of ore more than 8-10 %, Power
consumption of a domestic production is in 1,51,8 times higher, than at the advanced
enterprises of the world, and labor productivity
on all repartitions are lower in 1,5-2 times.
Volume of production of the mining industry (20042009) in Kazakhstan
6 000
5 000
Extraction of crude oil and natural gas; granting
of services in an oil and gas extruction occupy
about 55 % from all volume of the industry in
RoK
523
398
368
4 000
274
236
3 000
5 749
4 977
2 000
187
3 487
4 077
2 885
1 000
1 879
0
2004
Маркетинговое исследование рынка легковых автомобилей РК
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009