Transcript wawasan brunei 2035 outline of strategies and policies for

ISSUES AND CHALLENGES
IN INTEGRATING
STATISTICS IN NATIONAL
DEVELOPMENT PLANNING
Implementing Brunei Darussalam
Long Term Development Plan
CONTENTS
1.
Introduction
2.
Implementing Brunei Long Term Development Plan (LTDP)
3.
Implications for Statistics
4.
Conclusion
INTRODUCTION
• Implementation stage of Brunei Darussalam LTDP:
• Wawasan Brunei 2035 (30 years)
• 3 Outline of Strategies and Policies for Development (10 year each)
• Second medium-term plan, 10th National Development Plan
• Three levels of information
• Long term goals, targets and objectives
• Key performance indicators
• Measurement indicators & Milestones
• Implications to statistics
BRUNEI DARUSSALAM LONG TERM
DEVELOPMENT PLAN STRUCTURE
3 LONG TERM GOALS
BENCHMARK AGAINST
INTERNATIONAL
INDICATORS
8 DEVELOPMENT
STRATEGIES 7 50 POLICY
DIRECTIONS
NATIONAL
DEVELOPMENT PLANS
DEVELOPMENT
PROJECTS AND
IMPLEMENTATION PLANS
Mapping the Process of Formulating the Next OSPD
and NDP: Methodologies
List out the respective
input and outcome KPIs
for the government organizations
8
2035
Goal
Identify the respective government organizations
that would be responsible
7
in carrying out the policies and reforms
1 Divide goal into sub-goals
Sub-goal
1
Sub-goal
2
Sub-goal
n
List out the policies and reforms
6 that need to be implemented
in order to realize the key areas
2
Set the targets
for each of the sub-goals
Divide the sub-goals into key areas (2035)
4
Now
3
Set the targets
for the milestone (2017)
Key area
1
Key area
2
Key area
n
5
Set the targets for each of the key areas
IMPLICATIONS FOR STATISTICS
• Importance of the availability of quality and consistent information and
statistical data:
• Effective statistical database system
• Basic Data and Baseline Information
• Benchmarks and Targets
• Key Performance Indicators
• Early warning system and diagnostics
• Manpower availability
• Continuous capacity building
• Institutional development:
• National Statistics Committee (NSC)
• International bodies commitment and collaboration
• ACSS, IMF, etc.
Example of Statistical Data
NATIONAL STRATEGIC GOALS
No
1
2
Strategic Goals
Stable macroeconomic
environment
Diversified economy
KPI (Measures)
Target
Gross Domestic Product (GDP)
Per Capita
To be in the Top 10 Income
Per Capita
Unemployment rate
3 – 4% unemployment rate
Inflation rate
Below 2% inflation rate
Trade balance
Trade surplus
Contribution to GDP
Agriculture, Fishing and
Forestry 10
Industry 50%
Services 40%
Example of Statistical Data
4.4
3.9
2.9
2.5
1.2
-1.4
-2.0
-1.9
-3.0
-3.1
-4.0
-5.0
Source: JPKE
2010
2007
-0.6
0.2
2006
0.0
0.4
2005
0.4
1.0
0.9
0.5
2008
0.5
2.1
1.9
1.5
1.6
1.1
1.0
-1.0
2.3
2.1
1.8
3.4
2011
2.0
2009
3.0
Overall GDP (% change)
Non-oil and gas
(percentage points, pp) 2.6
2012
4.0
2004
indicators, analyst will be
able to identify not only
issues but also underlying
variables
that
could
measure the importance
of policies in addressing
issues;
• Statistical data should be
simple
and
understandable;
Real GDP growth and growth contributions
5.0
2003
• By looking at statistical
-1.2
-1.8
-2.2
Oil and gas (pp)
-3.7
30
Effective statistical coordination and communication
through National Statistical Committee (NSC)
• The NSC was established on 1st February 2011.
• NSC is a high level forum which comprised of Permanent
Secretaries from all ministries in Brunei Darussalam.
• The NSC is chaired by the Deputy Minister at the Prime
Minister’s Office.
10
Objectives of NSC
• To ensure Brunei Darussalam National Statistics is in
line with the International Standards;
• To set priorities for statistics produced in accordance
with the current needs that can be used for planning
and policy developments;
• To coordinate with the Government Agencies on the
collection, compilation and dissemination of statistics;
and
• To ease and ensure the timeliness of statistical
dissemination.
Improvements Made Through the NSC
• Review of the Statistics and Census Acts;
• Human capacity building for all stakeholders;
• Developing and implementing MOU’s with non-
governmental agencies;
• Establishing Statistics Unit in all ministries; and
• Coordinate with other agencies in conducting surveys or
census.
Conclusion
• Good statistics and sound statistical analyses assist in
providing the basis for the design of policies and plans,
monitor policy implementations and implications, achieve
issues recognition, evaluate policy impact and forecast
the future; and
• Evidence based policy making is desirable because it
enhances the transparency of policy making and the
accountability of policy makers.