Transcript SOFI

SOFI Introduced Into the IFS
Model
MPPC 2010
The International Futures
Model
• Large-scale, long-term, structure-based and agent-classdriven global modeling system.
• Contains demographic, economic, energy, agricultural,
socio-political, and environmental subsystems
• 183 countries interacting in the global system.
• Can show how changing the value of a variable in a
country affects other measures in that country, other
countries, regions, and the world as a whole.
• Computes projections for the long term future (to year
2100
• Used in teaching, policy analysis, new method
development (RAND RDM)
IFS/MP SOFI
SOFI vs. Systemic SOFI
For the Future
• Introduce Trend Impact Analysis (might require a
database of future developments)
• Enrich the historical database
• Country data sharing.
• Create sub-indexes (e.g. Security, Health, Wealth,
Intellect, Infrastructure, and Moral/Ethical)
• Create an annual national SOFI report
IFS/MP SOFI
• Described in detail in Chapter 2
• Now on line at www.ifs.du.edu/ifs.