Transcript 2010-11 Accomplishments

2011 Australian Node Awards
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40 Millennium Project Nodes...
are groups of experts and institutions that connect global and local views in:
Nodes identify participants, translate questionnaires and reports, and conduct interviews,
special research, workshops, symposiums, and advanced training.
An overview of the human condition and
prospects for the future (today + 35years) …
picking over 3,000 minds around the word
The Millennium Project’s
15th Anniversary
Annual Report Card
on the Future
Global Challenges
State of the Future Index
Egypt 2020
Future Arts/Media 2020
Latin America 2030
Environmental Security
Other Futures Research
Plus 8,000-page CD
World Report Card
Where we are winning
Where we are losing:
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Improved water source (% of population access)
Literacy rate, adult total (% of people ages 15+
School enrollment, secondary (% gross)
Poverty headcount ratio at $1.25 a day (PPP) (%
of population in least developed countries)
Population growth (annual %) (A drop is seen as
good for some countries, bad for others)
GDP per capita (constant 2000 US$)
Physicians (per 1,000 people)
Internet users (per 100 people)
Mortality rate, infant (per 1,000 live births)
Life expectancy at birth, total (years)
Proportion of seats held by women in national
parliaments (%)
GDP per unit of energy
Major Armed Conflicts deaths >1,000
Food availability (cal/cap)
Where there is little change
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Prevalence of HIV, total (% of pop. ages 15-49)
Homicide Rate
R & D expenditure (% of GDP)
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CO2 emissions (kt)
Global Surface Temperature Anomalies
People Voting in Elections (% population of
voting age- 15 largest countries)
Unemployment, total (% of total labor force)
Fossil fuel energy consumption (% of total)
Levels of Corruption (15 largest countries)
People killed or injured in terrorist attacks
(number)
Refugee population by country or territory of
asylum
Where there is uncertainty
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Countries having or thought to have plans for
nuclear weapons (number)
Population in Countries that are Free (percent of
total global population)
Forest area (% of land area)
Total debt service (% of GNI) low and mid
income
Number of emerging and reemerging infectious
diseases
Where we are getting some positive results
1.
2.
3.
4.
Improved water source (percent of population with access)
Literacy rate, adult total (percent of people age 15 and above)
School enrollment, secondary (percent gross)
Poverty headcount ratio at $1.25 a day (PPP) (percent of
population) (low- and mid-income countries)
5. Population growth (annual percent) (A drop is seen as good for
some countries, bad for others)
6. GDP per capita (constant 2000 US$)
7. Physicians (per 1,000 people) (surrogate for health care
workers)
8. Internet users (per 1,000 people)
9. Infant mortality (deaths per 1,000 live births)
10. Life expectancy at birth (years)
Where we are getting some positive results
(CONTINUED)
11. Women in parliaments (percent of all members)
12. GDP per unit of energy use (constant 2000 PPP $ per kg of oil
equivalent)
13. Number of major armed conflicts (number of deaths >1,000)
14. Undernourishment (percent of population)
15. Prevalence of HIV (percent of population 15–49)
16. Countries having or thought to have plans for nuclear weapons
(number)
17. Total debt service (percent of GNI) (low- and mid-income
countries)
18. R&D expenditures (percent of national budget)
Where we are losing
19. Carbon dioxide emissions (kt)
20. Global surface temperature anomalies
21. People voting in elections (% of population)
22. Levels of corruption (15 largest countries)
23. People killed or injured in terrorist attacks
24. Number of refugees (per 100,000 total
population)
Where there is uncertainty
25. Unemployment, total (percent of total labor
force)
26. Non-fossil-fuel consumption (percent of total)
27. Population in countries that are free (percent
of total global population)
28. Forestland (percent of all land area)
29.State Of the Future Index – (SOFI)
30.CDT (Continuous Decision Theater)
Some projections using SOFI methodology
Population growth (annual percent)
Life expectancy at birth (years)
Infant mortality (deaths per 1,000 births)
Prevalence of HIV (% of pop age 15-49)
Some projections using SOFI methodology (cont.)
Undernourishment (percent of population)
Global surface temperature anomalies
Improved water source (% pop. with access)
R&D expenditures (% of national budget)
Some projections using SOFI methodology (cont.)
GDP per capita (constant 2000 US$)
Unemployment, total (% total labor force)
Poverty headcount ratio at $1.25 a day (PPP) (% of Levels of corruption (15 largest countries)
(larger numbers = less corruption)
population) (low- and mid-income ctries)
Some projections using SOFI methodology (cont.)
School enrollment, secondary (% gross)
Women in parliaments (% of all members)
Internet users (billion people)
Number of major armed conflicts (deaths >1,000)
15 Global Challenges
#1 is no more important than #15. This global agenda is a system:
improving any improves others; reducing any reduces the others
15 Global Challenges–the Agenda today
How can
sustainable
development
How
can sustainable
developmentbe
be
1
achieved
for
all
while
addressing
achieved for all while addressing global
global climate change?
climate change?
2
How
can
have
sufficient
How
caneveryone
everyone have
sufficient
clean
waterwithout
without conflict?
clean
water
conflict?
15
How
can
ethical
How
can
ethical considerations
considerations
3
How can
population
growth
and
How
can
population
growth
and
become
moreroutinely
routinely
become
more
resources
be
brought
into
balance?
resources be brought into balance?
incorporatedinto
into global
decisions?
incorporated
global
decisions?
4
14
How
can
democracy
How
cangenuine
genuine democracy
How
can
and
How
canscientific
scientific and
emergefrom
from authoritarian
emerge
authoritarian
technological
technological breakthroughs
breakthroughs be be
regimes?
accelerated
to
improve
the
regimes?
accelerated to improve the
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human condition?
How
Howcan
can policymaking
policymaking be be
human condition?
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mademore
more sensitive
to to
How
can
energy
made
sensitive
How
cangrowing
growing energy
global
long-term
demandsbe
bemet
met safely
and
demands
safely
and
global long-term
perspectives?
efficiently?
efficiently?
perspectives?
How
can transnational
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How
can
How
canthe
the global
global
How cancrime
transnational
organized
networks be
convergence of
of information
organized crime networks be
convergence
information
stopped
from
becoming
more
and communications
stopped
from
becoming more
and communications
technologies work for
powerful
and
sophisticated
powerful
and
sophisticated
technologies
work for
everyone?
global
enterprises?
global
enterprises?
everyone?
7How
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How
thechanging
changing
ethical
market
Howcan
can the
How can
can ethical
market
status
women
improve
statusof
of women
improve
economies be
encouraged
to
economies
be
encouraged
to
the
human
condition?
help
reduce
the
gap
between
the human condition?
help reduce the gap
rich and poor?
How
can
shared
values
and
new
10 How
between rich and poor?
can shared values and new
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thethreat
threat
of new
Howcan
can the
of new
and and
security
strategies
reduce
ethnic How
security
strategies reduce
ethnic
reemerging
diseases
and
immune
conflicts,
terrorism, and
the
useuse
of of
reemerging diseases and immune
conflicts,
terrorism,
and
the
microorganisms be reduced?
weapons
of
mass
destruction?
microorganisms
be reduced?
weapons of mass destruction?
How
can
the
capacity
to
decide
be
9 How can the capacity to decide be
improved
thenature
nature
of work
improvedas
as the
of work
and and
institutions change?
change?
institutions
Prices are going up…
Food
Water
Energy
High Food Prices – Long-Term
• population growth
• rising affluence especially
India & China
• diversion of corn for biofuels
• soil erosion
• aquifer depletion
• the loss of cropland
• falling water tables and water
pollution
• Increasing fertilizer costs
(high oil prices)
• Market speculation
• diversion of water from rural
to urban
• Increasing meat
consumption
• global food reserves at 25year lows
• climate change
• Increasing droughts
• Increasing flooding
• Melting mountain
glaciers reducing water
flows
• And eventually saltwater
invading crop lands
39 Chapters
1,300 pages
Largest
collection of
Internationally
peer-reviewed
methods to
explore the
future ever
assembled in
one source
Australian MP Node Awards
• ~~~~~2010~~~~~
• Social Action against the Intervention: Elder & Spokesperson
Richard Downs
Ampilatwatja Community of the Alyawarr Language Group PMB 11 Via. Alice Springs NT 0870.
• Water Conservation: Dr Bob Humphries, Ms Meredith Blais
& Mr Tom Long Water
Corporation of Western Australia
• Homeless Services Innovation: Stephen Nash CEO, HomeGround Services . 68
Oxford Street, Collingwood, VIC 3066.
• ~~~~~2011~~~~~
• Biochar Action Learning Circles – Australia Biochar Project (Kunghur Northern
NSW – Dolph Cooke) jointly with Gaia Films (Blue Knob – Paul Tate & Jenni Kendell) Castle
on the Hill Adult Learning Centre (Uki – Irene Brown and Robert Pope)
http://biocharproject.org/news/
• Sustainable Development Concept House
http://www.plsdf.org/ ; http://www.solardecathlon.gov/ (Phil Little)
2011 MP Australian Node Awards
• Biochar ALC http://biocharproject.org/?s=award
Dolph Cooke and Gillian Tubbs – Kunghur – Bush Mechanic
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• Sustainable Development Concept House
http://www.plsdf.org/ ; http://www.solardecathlon.gov/
Solar House & Decathlon –
Phil Little
Sustainable Design Foundation
Solar House – Solar bike
2011 MP Australian Node Awards
• Bush Mechanics/Artificer
http://www.kalgrove.com/adultlearning/
• Solar Bike Trek to Tassie (T2T)
Solar Bike – Yuba Mundo cargo bike
Andrew Stretton - mechanarchy
http://www.mechanarchy.com.au/Watt-Bot.html
2011 Australian Node Awards
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2011 Millennium Project
For further information
on the The Millennium Project
Paul Wildman
PO Box 73 Northgate Brisbane 4013,
07 32667570
[email protected]
www.StateoftheFuture.org