Transcript Slide 1

State of the Forest: Data
harmonization and
management
Helping us to know whether we are
getting the job done.
From diversity…
…to harmony
and interpretation through
unified analysis…
0.8
0.6
0.4
0.2
Within Protected Area
Outside Protected Area
0.0
Probability of Elephant Occurrence
1.0
Elephant occurrence versus distance to road
0
10
20
30
40
Distance to Nearest Major Road
50
60
0.8
0.6
0.4
0.2
Within Protected Area
Outside Protected Area
0.0
Probability of Human Presence
1.0
Human presence versus distance to road
0
10
20
30
40
Distance to Nearest Major Road
50
60
…guides monitoring, and
informs adaptive
management.
Conservation targets
We need to measure our progress towards
conservation targets at three nested
geographical scales :
Congo basin,
Landscapes,
Sites.
And these scales must
be harmonized
What is the condition of, and
the impact of actions on…
NATURAL HABITATS,
FOCAL SPECIES,
ECOLOGICAL PROCESSES,
DIRECT THREATS, and
ENABLING CONDITIONS
(Well-Being of People, Govt., Economies)
Conserved/Success/
Balance Achieved
Stabilized
We want to improve the condition
of biological features, or keep
them stable over time
after 10 years
Troubled/Vulnerable
We want to know where we are
on this scale, and our trajectory
current status
Threatened
Critical/Endangered
Improvement takes time, $$, a good
strategy, and patience
Conservation Target
Wildlife and Habitat
Impacts
Direct
Threats
Indirect
Outcomes
Interventions
Outputs
Costs of measuring change
Time to see an impact
Level of confidence
Cost, timeframe, and confidence
What Do We Want to Track?
An effective measures program should provide a good
estimate of :
How much the biological targets have
changed from their baseline levels and
range of variation;
The change in intensity and direction of
direct threats;
The change in status and direction of
enabling conditions;
What Do We Want to Track?
Whether planned conservation implementation
is actually happening on the ground;
Whether management interventions are
working (causal relationships between
actions and achievement of targets)
Harmonized monitoring
frameworks have been
proposed:
Congo Basin Measures
(logframe version)
Congo Basin Measures (from
a conceptual model)
Minimum Measures Requirements at the Congo basin
Scale
Habitats &
Processes
1. Degree of Protection for Priority Areas
a. % total & % top priorities
b.representation by landscape, remote habitat & ecoregion
2. Habitat Integrity
a. total area
b. area within priority land/seascapes
c. remote habitats where applicable
d. linkages, corridors, connectivity index
e. flows & barriers to rivers and intact watersheds
Focal Species
3. 1-5 Focal Species (taxa)
Direct
Threats
4. 1-3 Major Threats to Habitat & Processes
5. 1-2 Major Threat to Focal Species
Enabling
Conditions
6. Legislative Tools
7. Financing for Conservation
8. Protected Area Management Effectiveness
9. Conservation Strategy
a. pop. size
b. range trajectory
Minimum Measures Requirements for Priority Landscapes
Habitats &
Processes
1. Degree of Protection for Priority Areas –
2.
a. % total & priority areas, b. representation of remote
habitats & habitat types
Habitat Integrity – a. total area & trajectory of natural
habitat, b. %, area, # remote habitats, d. degree of linkagecorridors, e. flows & barriers to rivers, f. intact watersheds
Focal Species
3. 2 Focal Species (taxa) – a. population size,
b. distribution trajectory
Direct
Threats
4. 2 Major Threats to Habitat & Processes
5. 1 Major Threats to Focal Species
Enabling
Conditions
6. Legislative Tools status for conservation
7. Financing for Conservation for protected areas
8. Protected Area Management Effectiveness
category
9. Conservation Strategy
Follows the same general categories as basin scale, but needs to be tailored to the
particular natural history, ecology, and conservation situation
Proposed Minimum Measures for the
Congo Basin: biological targets
• Natural Forest Cover;
• Remote or Low-Access Forests
• Hunted Forests;
• Forested Watersheds and River Connectivity;
• Focal Species (elephants, apes, forest antelope guild,
okapi, manatees, whales, key fish, plants);
Proposed Minimum Measures for the Congo
Basin: threats and enabling conditions
• Direct Threats: unsustainable hunting,
dams, poaching, mining, invasive
species…..;
• Enabling Conditions: sustainable
financing for protected areas, effective
protected area management (limited
security issues, transboundary agreements
& monitoring systems functional), human
capacity.
These monitoring frameworks
have not yet been widely
discussed, agreed,
implemented, or
institutionalized.
These must be the next steps.
How do we get there?
Requirements
•Quantitative basin-wide assessment of what has
been done so far, what exists and what is lacking
•Budgeted monitoring action plan agreed and
coordinated among CARPE partners;
•Appropriate funding for monitoring;
•Dedicated, technical coordination team (training
and field coordination, GIS, design and statistical
analysis)
Coordination of SOF
measures?
OBSERVATOIRE
SOF BIODIVERSITY CORE TEAM
MIKE
CARPE FOCAL POINT
CONGO
CBFP REGIONAL APPROACHES
CARPE FOCAL POINT
DRC
OTHER REGIONAL PROGRAMMES
Monitoring coordinator
Landscape 1
Field team
Socio-economics
Monitoring coordinator
Landscape 2
Field team
ecological
monitoring
Monitoring coordinator
Landscape 3
Field team
Conservation
Field team
Environmental
Education and
outreach
Lines indicate principal communication routes