Transcript CIWM_8th_OctFINALGT

A Review of Waste Needs
Assessment for New Waste
Treatment Processes
CIWM Cymru Wales & NW Centres
Autumn Event 2010
Overview
• Background – Role & requirements of WNA
• Approach - Case study
• Greater Manchester Authorities
• Conclusions
Why do we need WNA?
& where does it fit?
Background England
• The Government introduced a new system of preparing
development plans under the Planning and Compulsory
Purchase Act 2004.
• Thus Waste Local Plans are to be replaced with a Local
Development Framework, which is to be produced by
any authority with responsibility for waste planning
(unitary, county councils, sub-regional partnerships
Greater Manchester).
• The framework is like a 'folder' containing a collection of
waste documents known as Local Development
Documents (there are 2 types: Development Plan
Documents and Supplementary Planning Documents).
Background
Usual documents within the Waste (& Minerals) development framework
include:
• Development Plan Documents covering spatial planning documents
which would form the development plan for the area. Usual that this
results in a Waste Core Strategy and a Waste Management
Development Plan Document.
• Supplementary Planning Documents (which are non statutory
documents) which can provide further details on policies and
proposals set out in a 'parent' Development Plan Document
• A Statement of Community Involvement explains how the authority
plans to involve the community in the preparation of the waste plan
• The Waste Development Scheme sets out the programme for the
preparation of the Waste planning documents
• The Annual Monitoring Report provides monitoring data on the
progress of the Waste Development Scheme and the performance of
policies within any adopted Development Plan Documents
• Proposal maps (to show the policies and proposals for waste plans in
authority on an Ordnance Survey base).
AND…………………
Background
AND
• An evidence base of studies, including a Waste
Needs Assessment and Sustainability
Appraisal which will support the policies and
proposals of waste plans
Background Wales
• Planning and Compulsory Purchase Act 2004
(Commencement No. 4 and Consequential, Transitional
and Savings Provisions) (Wales) Order 2005
• Unitary plans replaced by “Local Development Plans”
(same as England –Welsh Assembly for examination)
• Wales Waste Strategy, The Technical Advice Note
(Wales) 21 Waste (TAN 21)1 provides part of the
planning guidance and is intended to facilitate the
introduction of a comprehensive, integrated and
sustainable land use planning framework for waste
management in Wales.
Background Wales
• TAN 21 states that the principal objective of the Regional
Waste Plan for each of the three Welsh regions is to set
the framework for Unitary Authority Development Plans to
be prepared, and as such the Regional Waste Plan may
be material to decisions on individual planning
applications.
• Within the regional waste plan – “WNA” undertaken to
establish waste arisings and capacity
• Wrexham – North Wales Region – “Developing a regional
waste plan for the north Wales region, Strategic
assessment report, 2002 ≈ “WNA”
WNA
• A credible evidence base
is required to provide the
basis for the proposed
plans and policies.
• Robust & up to date to
withstand scrutiny as
evidence to support
LDF at an examination
• Support core strategic
policy development
WNA
• Needs to be able to support the development of
planning policies for waste within the LDF by;
• Up to date baseline data on current dynamics of waste
generation/management in authority area for ALL
waste streams
• Ability to estimate future waste arisings for each waste
stream based on set of agreed forecasting scenarios &
agreed targets for recovery/recycling/re-use of waste
over set plan period
• Assess existing waste management & disposal
capacity including landfill in the authority’s area &
estimate future waste management & capacity
requirements
Case Study on approach for WNA
Active Model Development
Model Development
Capacity Database
Model Development
Needs Assessment
Scenario selected
selected
Scenario
Waste treatment
Selection
Required
Capacity
Available
Capacity
Capacity Gap
Model - graphs
Case Study
Association Greater Manchester Authorities
• GMGU act for AGMA in waste planning strategy –
producing a JWDPD
for 10 LA’s (Bolton, Bury, Manchester, Oldham, Rochdale, ,
Stockport, Tameside, Trafford and Wigan)
Project aims
1. To produce a model able to simulate future
waste facility requirements under a range of
scenarios.
•
a clear process for updating baseline data quickly
and cheaply
2. To apply the best currently available baseline
data and growth forecasts to the model to
estimate future capacity gaps and facilities
•
include sensitivity analysis of results
Approach
Capacity gap =
Forecast arisings – existing & future planned
capacity
1. Assembling and Updating the Baseline Data
2. Forecast model development



Anchor in the real economy
Reflect uncertainties
Allow view of causes of the gap
Shape of the model
GMFM
Households
Employees
Basic forecast model
MSW, C&I tonnages etc to 2025
Survey data
C&I
CD&E
Tonnages by SIC,
SOC & destination
Waste by substance
Substance by
destination
MSW data
Sensitivities
Waste generated:
By employee
By household
Economic growth:
On CD&E waste
Tonnages
Waste streams
Destinations
Capacity
data
Scenarios
1. Baseline: baseline
•
Baseline GMFM and assumes 2006 C&I
management option “proportions” remain constant.
MSW targets achieved & PFI facility capacity 2010
2. Baseline: Maximum recycling and recovery
•
As 1 plus high level of C&I recycling and recovery
3. Baseline: Median recycling and recovery
•
As 1 plus median C&I recycling and recovery
4-6. As 1-3 but with GMFM Accelerated Growth
figures.
Landfill (non-haz) gap – scenarios 1, 2, and 3
750.0
500.0
250.0
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
-250.0
-500.0
-750.0
-1,000.0
-1,250.0
-1,500.0
Scenario 1
Scenario 2
Scenario 3
Recycling gap – scenarios 1, 2, and 3
1,000.0
900.0
800.0
700.0
600.0
500.0
400.0
300.0
200.0
100.0
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Scenario 1
Scenario 2
2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
Scenario 3
From capacity gap to facilities
Indication of number of additional facilities required by 2020
Scenario 1
Tonnes (000s)
1,270
75
120
108
1,619
surplus
432
240
160
108
735
228
613
120
160
108
735
228
Scenario 2
Tonnes (000s)
Scenario 3
Tonnes (000s)
Key to facility types
Landfill (non-hazardous)
Incineration with Energy Recovery
Composting
Landfill (hazardous)
Landfill (C+D)
Recycling (aggregates, C+D)
Facility need for Greater Manchester
Facility need for Greater Manchester
Facility Need for Greater Manchester
Updated (website)
Conclusions For WNA
• Robust evidence base & statutory requirement LDF
process
• Advocate “Live Model” – efficient/effective to undertake
updates easy as new data comes available on arisings or
new permissions granted for capacity
• Model advantage - Interactive – run many scenarios
• Graphs drawn directly – tables – evidence base report
and for presentation to members
• Report – easily updated from running model and
traceable data sets and interpretation
• Time & effort baseline data - Accuracy related to standard
of baseline data (NW & Wales have benefit of excellent
C&I primary data)
• Produce in partnership with stakeholders
“WNA” for Private Sector
• Modelling process equally appropriate to
determine need for any new waste
treatment/management process
• Support business case for a new facility
• Addressing planning issues when planning
application for new site –robust evidence base,
demonstrate need & help identify feedstock
requirements.
[email protected]
www.4resources.co.uk
Tel 01254 820507