Transcript Pavlos Kanaroglou presentation

A Sustainable Strategy for
Developing Hamilton as a
Gateway
Presented to the Hamilton Chamber of Commerce
Dr. Pavlos Kanaroglou
McMaster University
April 27, 2009
Brief Overview of MITL and Gateway Investigation
MITL formed in October 2007 at the request of local, public
and private stakeholders
 Unique forum for the collaboration of industry, government
and academia
 Gateway Research came about at the request of the MITL
advisory board
 The Hamilton Gateway project has been carried out by a
team of highly-qualified researchers

Outline of Presentation
What is a Gateway? What benefits to expect?
 Lessons from other Gateways
 Analysis of Gateway Development Impacts

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Regional Level Analysis to determine economic impacts
Local Level Analysis to determine environmental, quality of life
impacts from this economic growth
Recommendations
Gateway as Economic Enabler

The most typical conception of a gateway

Focus on seamless intermodal movement of goods

Efficient links between important nodes in an urban area

Emphasis on making urban area attractive to firms and a
highly developed transportation and logistics sector
Gateway as Key to Holistic Urban Development

We favour this broader interpretation of a gateway

Retains the characteristics of the economic enabler

Additional emphasis on other aspects of sustainability:
 Compact urban form and avoidance of sprawl
 Strong transit linkages between employment and
residential lands
Hamilton’s Considerable Assets


Infrastructure
 Comparative advantage in simultaneous access to major four modes
 A 24 hour international passenger and cargo airport with nearby land
for development
 Busy port with existing and prospective intermodal capability
 Several existing industrial parks
 Solid freeway and rail links
 Ample brownfields for redevelopment
People
 World class teaching and research institutions
 A large and well-educated labour force
Hamilton’s Considerable Assets

Geographic Location

Excellent simultaneous road access to two major border points at
Niagara and Windsor

Good access to Toronto (the largest metropolitan economic
engine) via rail or road

24 hour ground access to a significant proportion of the North
American population
Key Benefits of Holistic Gateway Development

Economic
 Job creation, desirable place to locate a firm
 Evolution into transportation and logistics centre

Facilitator of enhanced industrial innovation
Environmental
 Cleaner air and associated health benefits
 Cleaner modes of transporting goods and people
Social
 Less time commuting (less stress), more high paying jobs
 A more vital and environmentally healthy city core

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E.g. port and airport
Critical Message

The ECONOMIC, ENVIRONMENTAL and SOCIAL benefits
are ALL achievable

One set of benefits is not achieved to the exclusion of other
benefits

Hamilton should be aiming to “have its cake and eat it too”
Lessons from Other Gateways
Several Gateway Cities Studied Worldwide
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Major Seaports
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Rotterdam
Dubai
Hong Kong
Inland Ports
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Kansas City
Berlin-Brandenburg
Port of Huntsville, Alabama
Columbus, Ohio
Winnipeg
And others
The Best Gateways in the World:
Place a lot of emphasis on being uncongested
 Effective at building consensus, partnerships and alliances

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public and private
other jurisdictions
Very good at self-promotion and presenting a compelling
value proposition

(e.g. favourable tax incentives, free trade zones, intermodality)
Have developed effective transport-focused organizations
 Have embraced containerization

Containerization Capability Very Important

Almost 75% of world trade is carried in containers:
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Development of Global supply chains consistent with even more
containerization in future
Even traditional bulk goods (e.g. coffee) are more and more
shipped by container
Key issue for Inland Ports:

Filling the container for the trip back to sea port
Creating a Transport-Focused
Gateway Organization
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Maximally utilize existing transportation assets and help in
developing new ones
Strong promotional and marketing component
Ideally supported by a diverse board of directors to prevent
conflicts of interest and prevent/resolve disputes
Develop co-operative relationships with other gateways
Attracting new businesses (especially those with logistics
elements)
Current examples are Kansas City SmartPort and Winnipeg
CentrePort (the latter is fairly new)
Analysis of Gateway Development Impacts
The Sequence of the Analysis
Job scenarios tested:
 Oriented toward transportation, warehousing and associated
services
 Focused on airport vicinity(~55%), port vicinity (~20%) and other
relevant areas (~25%)
 New jobs induce local, regional and national multiplier impacts which
we trace via an economic impact model
 New Dwelling Scenarios are considered
 Urban Sprawl versus Compact Development
 Effects of LRT are studied jointly with compact development
 Local environmental implications of the scenarios are quantified

15 Canadian Economic Regions Modelled
3 of them in Ontario
Components of the Hamilton Economic Region
18
Job Scenarios are Developed at
the CMA Tract level (75% Airport and Port)
Assumed Gateway Employment
Growth by Scenario up to 2031
Scenario
Name
10K
15K
20K
25K
30K
35K
Direct Gateway
Employment
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
30,000
35,000
Indirect/Induced
Employment
7,000
10,500
14,000
17,500
21,000
24,500
The indirect/induced growth associated with direct gateway employment
is based on estimates from the Southern Ontario Gateway Council
Hamilton Gateway Induced
Spillover GDP Growth by Region (2031)
$$ for Hamilton Economic Region: $ 4.8B
$$ Nationally is: $10.2B
50.00
46.85
45.00
40.00
35.00
%
30.00
25.00
20.00
16.36
15.86
15.00
10.40
10.00
4.12
5.00
0.24
-
0.09
0.70
0.51
1.34
0.88
2.55
0.01
0.07
0.01
In Comparing Sprawl to Compact+LRT
Scenarios (2031):
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Auto commuting levels under Compact-LRT:
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Vehicle Kilometres Travelled (VKT) reduced by12.5 percent
Vehicle Minutes Travelled (VMT) reduced by 38 percent
Under Compact-LRT Emission levels reduced by:
HC (35%)
 CO (23%)
 NOx (16%)
 Particulate Matter (12%)

NOx Emissions by Scenario (in Kg)
23
Modal Split of Work Trips
(Gateway Compact Scenario)
24
Modal Split of Work Trips
(Gateway-Compact + LRT Scenario)
25
Recommendations
Hamilton should strive to be compact with future core-oriented
residential development
 LRT and other public transit should be keenly pursued
 AEGD should be a priority but avoid residential in vicinity
 Enhanced Containerization and short-sea shipping at port
 Formation of Transport-focused Gateway Organization
 Sense of Urgency Required
 Governments are Spending
 Other potential gateways are not standing still
 Emphasis on nurturing and growing human capital
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