Transcript Future Telecommunication of Japan

Future Telecommunication
of Japan
Yoshiyuki Sukemune
Naoshi Sato
Communications and Information network
Association of Japan
November, 2007
Contents
1. Broadband Services
2. Mobile Communication
Services
3. Next Generation Networks
2
Contents
1. Broadband Services
3
Fixed BB Service: Sub’s in Japan
(Million sub’s)
16.0
ADSL
CATV
FTTH
14.0
12.0
12.8
13.7
14.3
14.5
14.4
11.2
10.0
8.8
9.2
8.0
9.7
5.5
4.0
4.0
2.3
2.6
2.0
0.7
0.0
(Yr/Mth) 03/9
Diffusion
rate per
household
13.8
7.2
6.0
Total
14.0
1.1
04/3
2.8
3.0
2.9
3.1
3.3
3.5
3.6
3.7
05/9
06/3
06/9
07/3
07/06
2.0
04/9
05/3
12.2
14.9
17.6
19.6
21.4
23.3
25.1
26.4
27.2
25.9%
31.7%
37.4%
41.6%
45.5%
47.1%
50.7%
53.3%
54.9%
Source: MIC (Ministry of Internal Affairs & Communications)
4
Fixed BB Services: Fee & Speed
Monthly Charge
(US$)
DSL
FTTH
CATV
Approx.
23 to 28
32 to 47
28 to 37
Max. Speed (Mbps)
previous
8-12
100
8-10
current
Down 12-50
Up 2-5
Up & Down 100
Down 30-160
Up 2-10
Exch Rate: 1US$ / 120JPY
Source: MIC
5
Contents
2. Mobile Communication
Services
6
Growth of Mobile Com. Sub’s
Million Sub’s
69.9
60.0
85
%)
50.0
40.0
G(
72
30.0
3
20.0
10.0
Number of mobile phone subscribers
81.3
%)
70.0
1999
Start of mobile
internet access
service
84.3
With built-in camera
80.0
96.7
Internet accessible (
90.0
2001
Start of 3G
service
%)
2000
First mobile
phones with
cameras
87
100.0
Aug. HSDPA
Oct. MNP
0.0
1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006
Source: TCA
(FY)
7
Business Model of Mobile Internet Service
Now
Hereafter
Information
charge
Official site: Fixed rate
Unofficial site:
Free / Direct payment to ICP All-in-one fixed rate
PC site: Pay-per-use
Communication
charge
Pay-per-use
Pay-per-use
Contents
provider
Information charges
Mobile
Carrier
Users
Packet communications
charges
8
Diverse Applications
Communication
Tool
Int’l roaming
 151 countries
Mail
 Up to 2MB data
attachable
 Plenty of pictogram
preinstalled
Push to Talk
 Up to 20 people
Entertainment
Gear
Music
 1.5M Tunes with flat
monthly charge
Games
 Up to 1MB program
Digital TV Broadcast
“One Seg.”
 Free
 Available in urb
Life Kit
Info services
 Weather,
stock quotes,
restaurants, events
e-wallet –
m-commerce
 Ticket & Seat
reservations
 Trading stocks
 Functions as trainpasses, tickets, keys
 Credit card functions
Security
 Authentication
9
Contents
3. Next Generation Networks
10
Transition of Telecom Networks
Current networks
Next generation networks
IP network
PSTN
Routers
PCs
NGN
Full IP-based
SIP
IMS
Mobile phone
IP網
network
Switching
systems
Subscriber
phones
(IP phones)
Broadband
Cell
phones
TVs
PCs
Subscriber
phones
(IP phones)
Cell
phones
11
NTT’s Roadmap for NGN
FY
NGN
Implementation
Core
network
2006
2007
STEP1
Field trials
FTTH users:
30 mil.
(Mar., 2011)
STEP2
STEP3
Building relay
network
relay nodes
optical wave length
transmission devices
Service
Control
Functions
Service
Launch
2008-
Building
subscriber
networks
Seamless access
with mobile
networks
edge nodes
Service control functions
by IMS (ITU standard
conformance)
Field trial service
(areas, users limited)
Full-scale
NGN
• Broadband Internet access
• IP phone
• IP-Multicast services
• 2-way video (data)
communication
• Ethernet services, etc.
12
Challenges for NGNs - 1
Convergence of Telecom & Broadcasting
RF (Wireless)
Broadcasters
Cable
CATV
operators
NGN
Telecom
carriers
Termination of analog TV in 2011
Different Laws for Telecom and Broadcasting
Copyright Limitation on Network Transmission for TV Program
Coordination among Stakeholders’ Interests
13
Challenges for NGNs - 2
Competition Rules for IP-based Telecom Industry
•Network Neutrality - - Changes in Business Model
Current Model
(Vertical Type)
IP-based
(Horizontal Type)
CATV
Telecom
Broadcasting
Contents
ICPs
Platform
ISPs
Networks
(NGN)
Telecom
Carriers
•Universal Service --- Expansion of Communication Media
Voice Communications   IP Phone, Mobile Phone, BB?
•FMC --- Inside Conflict among Telecom Carriers
14
Challenges for NGNs - 3
Access fees
NTT vs Other Telecom Carriers
Explosive growth of P2P traffic by
high speed, low fixed rates
15
Evolution toward Ultra Hi-productive
Society
NEW INDUSTRIAL
STRUCTURE
Creation of Unconventional Business
ICT Industry Renovation
New Generation Network
16