Present & Outlook of Taiwan ICT Industry

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Transcript Present & Outlook of Taiwan ICT Industry

The 11th IEEE International Conference on
Embedded and Real-Time Computing Systems and Applications
Opening the era of personal services at
home and everywhere
Dr. Ching-Chi Hsu
Executive Vice President
Institute for Information Industry
August 19, 2005
©2005 Institute for Information Industry
Outline
 Introduction
 Digital Home Development
 Toward a Ubiquitous Network
Society
 Conclusions
Note: ICT=Information and Communication Technology
Innovation, Compassion, Effectiveness
-2-
©2005 Institute for Information Industry
Institute for Information Industry (III)
Role
The Major Promoter of Taiwan Information Society
Mission
 Facilitate the Development of Taiwan’s ICT Industry
 Promote the Deployment of ICT in Public & Private Sectors
Bachelor
Established in 1979
(24%)
1,500+
Is a Government Supported NGO
College
Master
(60%)
(10%)
Ph. D. Other
(4%)
Innovation, Compassion, Effectiveness
-3-
(2%)
©2005 Institute for Information Industry
Operation & Business Focus
1. Industry Promotion
2. R&D
Networks & Multimedia
Institute
Industry Support Division
Information Engineering
Institute
International
Cooperation
3. IT professionals
Cultivation
Digital Education
Institute
Innovation, Compassion, Effectiveness
Advanced e-Commerce
Institute
Market Intelligence Center
Sci. & Tech. Law Center
5. ICT
Infrastructur
e
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4. Application
Promotion
IT Promotion Division
©2005 Institute for Information Industry
Taiwanese ICT Industry 2001~2004
IT Hardware
Data
Communication
Mobile Handheld
Devices
IT Service
Total Value
2001
2002
2003
2004 (e )
04/03
YoY GR
68,413
19.6%
Unit: Millions
USD
42,750
48,435
57,105
3,044
3,224
3,348
4,624
38.1%
1,349
2,911
4,311
5,181
20.2%
3,924
51,067
4,204
58,774
4,360
69,025
4,800
83,018
10.1%
20.3%
Note: IT Hardware 2004:Taiwan 10,882(4th), China 60,589(2nd)
Data Communication includes NIC, Switch/Hub, WLAN, NIC/AP, SOHO
Router, DSL/Cable Modem
Mobile Handheld Devices Mobile Phone, Smart Phone, PDA
Source: MIC/III, December 2004
Innovation, Compassion, Effectiveness
-5-
©2005 Institute for Information Industry
Current Status of Taiwan’s ICT Industries
Semiconductor
ICT Hardware
ICT Software
LCD,PDP
Precision Machinery
Metal Peripherals
LCD,PDP
Semiconductor
LCD & Components
Fundamental Metals
Innovation, Compassion, Effectiveness
 World’s 4th largest IT hardware
maker
 We havemore than 10 products ranked
first in WW ICT product market share for
 Dominates ICT production in China
 4th largest industry revenue of
semiconductor in the world
-Unique disintegrated infrastructure
 2nd largest TFT-LCD maker
 A major procurement center for
global IT companies
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©2005 Institute for Information Industry
Trends of Global ICT Industry
Billion USD
User-Centric
Nomadic Computing
Intelligent Service
Provide Intelligent
Applications & Services
3,000
Internet
Context-Aware
Computing
Provide Personal & Detailed
Applications & Services
1,000
Mobile Computing
Provide Mobile Services
Personal Computing
300
Centralized Computing
100
1950
1980
Provide Personal & Office Applications
Traditional Enterprise ERP/MRP
Factory Automation etc. Applications
1995
2005
2015
Year
Source: III, 2004/5
Innovation, Compassion, Effectiveness
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©2005 Institute for Information Industry
IT paradigms
 Pervasive Computing 、Ubiquitous Computing、Ubiquitous Network、Ambient
Intelligence 、Calm computing、Zen Computing・・・・
Ubiquitous Computing
Ubiquitous Computing
Calm Computing
Pervasive Computing
Ambient
Intelligence
Zen Computing
Ubiquitous Network
Pervasive Computing
Pervasive Computing
Many words describe the various IT paradigms in the 21st Century,
but they’re all the same in that IT supports people in the real life.
Innovation, Compassion, Effectiveness
-8-
©2005 Institute for Information Industry
Ubiquitous Network and appliance revolutions
Source: “Toward Realization of the Ubiquitous Society”, NRI, April 2005
Innovation, Compassion, Effectiveness
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©2005 Institute for Information Industry
Outline
 Introduction
 Digital home Development
 Toward a Ubiquitous Network
Society
 Conclusions
Note: ICT=Information and Communication Technology
Innovation, Compassion, Effectiveness
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©2005 Institute for Information Industry
Needs and Functions of the Home
Medical
Safe Food
Traffic
Participation
Learning & occupation
Mass rapid
system
Relieved life
Culture
E-learning
Leisure
Obstacle
free
environmen
t
Green &
reuses
Hygiene
health care
Community
activities
Environment
Arts &
creativity
Digital
content
Life, Medical care, A/V, Business & work, Communications, Security, Education
Innovation, Compassion, Effectiveness
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©2005
Institute for Information Industry
Source:
TRI,2004/12
Digital Home Concept
Narrow sense
– Through creative digital products, via wire and wireless network, and
various contents and services, it can allow people work happily and live in
a healthy, konwledgeable, independent, safe life
Broad sense
– Extend digital home life to travel, office, and other places, let people share
the content and benefit it brings
Innovation, Compassion, Effectiveness
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©2005 Institute for Information Industry
Major Vendors Joint Digital Home Product
Development
Intel
– Digital Home is one of the 5 platforms of the company (Others include:
Mobility, Enterprise, Health, Channel)
– New product include Dual core CPU, WiMAX solution, CentrinoSonoma
– ”2006 Bridge Creek Concept Platform”;PC with TV, Game, VOIP,
Tele-conference, WLAN & UWB etc
Microsoft
– Windows OS form PC to phone and game machine
– Xbox 360 Game machine
– MSN 7.0 new edition (over 30 million users)
SONY
– Maintain WW leadership in consumer electronics and
content industry
Dell
– Sell LCD TVs to enter into consumer industry
Innovation, Compassion, Effectiveness
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©2005 Institute for Information Industry
Current Status
Cable
Home
content
broadcasting
Multimedia
Mobile service
Video Server
Security
WhiteAppliance
Home security
EC
ISP Server
Entertainment
Internet
Control
Information
Office
IT products
Charge, fee
Service
Platform
Security
Network
Communications
Maintenance
Health care
Medical
Care
Cmmunity
Innovation, Compassion, Effectiveness
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©2005 Institute for Information Industry
Future Change
家庭
Home
contents
Entertainment
broadcasting
Multimedia
Mobile service
Video Server
Security
White Appliance
Home security
EC
ISP Server
Internet
Service
Gateway
/Home
Gateway
Office
Charge, fee
Service
Platform
Security
IT products
Network
Communicatio
Health care
n
Medical
care
Community
Maintenance
Innovation, Compassion, Effectiveness
Control
Information
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©2005 Institute for Information Industry
Components of Digital Home
Different views from different industry sectors
 Chipset:to sharing multimedia information from PC to TV…via wireless
 Home Appliances:digital TV, plasma TV, LCD TV……
 IT hardware:IP/STB、Digital Media Adaptor……
 IT software:client software for pc users
 Digital content:animation, comic, soap drama,……
 E-commerce :TV shopping、multimedia corporate communication……
 Telco:MOD……
 Cable TV:STB+MOD、VoIP…
 IP carrier:Triple play =PC+VoIP+IP/STB for TV
Innovation, Compassion, Effectiveness
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©2005 Institute for Information Industry
Progress of Digital Home Products
IA
2000~
Analog
1990~
IA industry
2000~
IT
independent
Narrow band
Island
Wire/Wireless
Single use
Digital Home
2006~
Car AVC
Server
Home Server
Digital home
2006~
ICT integration
Interactive
Fiber/broad band
Connected
Ubiquitous net
Mutiple service/AP
Media Server
GPS
Car CD
Wire
Analog modem
Innovation, Compassion, Effectiveness
PSP
PMP
3G/HSDPA
Camera Phone
5 in 1 biological sensing system
Portable DVD
GPS
Cellular phone
sphygmomanometer
Network TV
On-the-go Theater
Mobile
LCD TV
PC
Analog TV
Walkman
Digital TV
Entertainment
PC
Notebook
PC
PC TV
Car Audio
Display
TOBE
Health Care
Electronic
sphygmomanometer;
ADSL
Cable
2G/2.5G
802.11x
IPv4
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UWB,WiMAX,802.11x,Zigbee
FTTx
3G/3.5G
ubiquitous
PLC
IPv6
net
©2005 Institute for Information Industry
Framework for Digital Home Related
Products
Standard
DLNA (Digital Living Network Alliance)
ECHONET, OSGi, HAVi,
•Open design rule, to ensure the compatibility of different
vendors’ products
•Provide basic common functions
•Through compatibility test, drive the acceptance of the
market
Creative Technologies
•Semiconductor, Optoelectronics, circuit
design
•S/W, DB
•Materials
•Sensor, Position systems
•Communication, Networks
•Multimedia
•Bio, and environment
Service
Innovation, Compassion, Effectiveness
Source: TRI,2005/03
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Design & Manufacture
•Function design
•Outlook
•Interface
•Green manufacturing tech.
©2005 Institute for Information Industry
Triple Play Service
Telecom
voice
VoIP
Cable TV
video
IPTV
Internet
IP NETWORK
data
Internet + TV + Phone
Innovation, Compassion, Effectiveness
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©2005 Institute for Information Industry
Triple play of Seednet
Platform for digital convergence
• Cable TV
• Internet multimedia content
• IP communication
• Wireless (TBD)
• IC Card Reader (TBD)
• Other Device (TBD)
Content
Provider
Cable系統台
Cable TV
Seednet ADSL
2M/512K or 8M/640K
Seednet
Content Server
& Gatekeeper
Digital Family
Center
Content Provider
Digital content platform
Innovation, Compassion, Effectiveness
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家庭劇院
CCD
VOIP
©2005 Institute for Information Industry
Outline
 Introduction
 Digital Home Development
 Towards a Ubiquitous Networks
Society
 Conclusions
Note: ICT=Information and Communication Technology
Innovation, Compassion, Effectiveness
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©2005 Institute for Information Industry
UNS Provides Diversified Service Models
Ubiquitous Network
PC to PC
+
(III) O to O
(II) P to O
(I) P to P
Ubiquitous Network
+
Information Equipment to
Information Equipment
Ubiquitous Network
Person to
General Equipment
+
Ubiquitous Network
Object to Object
Reference:“Ubiquitous Society Vision”, GBDe, April 2005
Innovation, Compassion, Effectiveness
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©2005 Institute for Information Industry
UNS Provide Everywhere & Always Connected Services
Innovation, Compassion, Effectiveness
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©2005 Institute for Information Industry
Trends – Policies
Source:Minister for Public Management, Home Affairs, Posts and Telecommunications, Japan, 2004/06
Innovation, Compassion, Effectiveness
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©2005 Institute for Information Industry
Trends – Policies (cont.)
u-Korea/IT839 Strategy
Source:“IT839 strategy”, MIC, www.mic.go.kr
Innovation, Compassion, Effectiveness
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©2005 Institute for Information Industry
National Policy Comparison
Japan
Korea
 Goal
 Goal
– Become a leader in global
telecommunication and ICT
infrastructure
– Become a global leader in ICT industry
and applications
 Key Concept
– A big U concept-Ubiquitous – focusing on
infrastructure for service everywhere,
including wired and wireless services
– Three small Us:focusing on service
impact
• Universal:to make users feel warm
• User oriented:to think from users’
perspective
• Unique: to display positive and
energetic attitude
 Key Concept
– ICT 839 project
– Strong collaboration between
government and ICT industrial
companies
– Develop an application trial area in
Soul, named“Ubiquitous Dream Hall”
to facilitate new application service
trials
 Major policy directions
 Major policy directions
– Focus
• Ubiquitous network infrastructure
• In-depth ICT applications
• Secure infrastructure
– Cross domain applications
Innovation, Compassion, Effectiveness
– 3 network infrastructure policies
– 8 services
– 9 ICT enabling technologies
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©2005 Institute for Information Industry
UNS Brings High Impact to Economy
 Significant economic benefit
– Japan:
as a result of u-Japan, it would potentially bring 84.3 trillion Japanese
Yen in ubiquitous network market, and another 120.5 trillion market
in related peripheral market, in 2010
– Korea:
• Service market : 2.6 trillion KOW in 2004, 10 trillion KOW in
2007
• Whole IT industry : 240 trillion KOW in 2004, 380 trillion KOW
in 2007
• IT employees: 1.28 million in 2004, 1.50 million in 2007
Innovation, Compassion, Effectiveness
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©2005 Institute for Information Industry
From e-Taiwan to u-Taiwan
Innovation, Compassion, Effectiveness
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©2005 Institute for Information Industry
Our Major Directions
 Infrastructure for a converged
broadband network
• Taiwan plans to construct a broadband
network society with over 90%
population usage before 2010
 Development of ubiquitous network
services and applications
-
From Vertical to Horizontal
Example: development of universal, useroriented, and unique handset system
Innovative hardware &
software technologies
Vertical to Horizontal
Innovation, Compassion, Effectiveness
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©2005 Institute for Information Industry
A Reference Model for Developing Innovative
Products & Services
Ubiquitous Applications
Knowledge Intensive Services
Healthcare service, distribution service, mobile commerce service,
Intelligent transportation services, etc.
Digital TV
Set top box, Headend equipment
Access control
Home Appliance
Wireless Networking
Home care gateway,
Home security appliance,
Home media server, etc 、
Security router / gateway,
WiMax / WLAN switch, etc.
Sensor Systems
Location based server,
Environment monitoring
Gateway, etc.
Embedded Software
Domestic Chip /Module Vendors
Sensor Chip / Module
Innovation, Compassion, Effectiveness
Networking Chip/ Module
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2D/3D Graphic Chip
©2005 Institute for Information Industry
Challenges for Ubiquitous Society
 Networks
– Integration over heterogeneous networks
– Seamless handover of services
 Contents
– Personalized, interactive
– Delivery/Collaborative/Sharing/Display
Everyday Life
In the Public Space
 Devices/Platforms
– Sense/Capture/Deployment/Maintenance
– Privacy/Security
 Services: Collaboration/Negotiation
– Inter-enterprise collaboration
• E.g. Global Logistics
– Dynamic multi-party, multi-issue
negotiation
• E.g. Crisis Management
Innovation, Compassion, Effectiveness
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©2005 Institute for Information Industry
Conclusions
 Digital home development is the main ICT trend. Through
home networking, integrated services can provide better digital
digital life.
 Some countries have national policy for UNS. They expect the
policy can bring high impact on economy provide safe and
better livelihood.
 Main directions and challenges
Innovation, Compassion, Effectiveness
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©2005 Institute for Information Industry
~Thank You~
Innovation, Compassion, Effectiveness
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©2005 Institute for Information Industry
New Products
Innovation, Compassion, Effectiveness
- 34 -
©2005 Institute for Information Industry
Portable(1)
Microsoft Direct Watch
Mobile phone with built in digital TV
•Watch by Microsoft OS
Innovation, Compassion, Effectiveness
iPod & JBL speaker
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E-book,Phone album
E-paper
DVR with 0.85”HDD
inside
©2005 Institute for Information Industry
Portable(2)
Portable Media Player
Portable DVD
Innovation, Compassion, Effectiveness
Windows Mobile “portable media center”
Samsung
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Sanyo
©2005 Institute for Information Industry
MP3
Media
Capacity
Battery
Hours
Price $
Functions
Vendors
Flash
Micro Hard Drive
Hard Drive
MP3 CD Player
Flash Memory
1" micro drive
1.8" hard drive
CD
128~1G
4G~8G
10G~60G
700Mb
AAA
Lithium
Lithium
AAx2
8~10 hours
10~20 hours
10~20 hours
10~14 hours
50~300
200~300
250~600
60~150
Music
Music, Game Music, Album, Game
Music
Apple,Creative
Apple,Creative
Apple,Creative
Sony,Panasonic,
Samsung,iRiver… Samsung,iRiver… Samsung,iRiver…
AIWA…
Innovation, Compassion, Effectiveness
- 37 -
©2005 Institute for Information Industry
Displays(3)
•Wifi Wireless Home Entertainment System
•PC multimedia-music, movies, photos on home TV and stereo
•Access to internet entertainment-online music, movie trailers, photo
collections, games
•Upgrade via the internet
•Wireless touch-screen remote control all A/V devices
•Easy to read 3.5” color LCD display
•TV with HDD
•TV with DVD
Innovation, Compassion, Effectiveness
•WiFi connectivity with control of media playback from PC to TV or
audio set
•Auto update of personalized TV listings from the internet
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©2005 Institute for Information Industry
Home care products & others
Electronic sphygmomanometer
5 in 1 biological sensing
system
•Based on Home Plug 1.0
Technology
•Receivers communicate audio
and phone data throughout a
home over existing electrical
wiring
•Automated external defibrillator
•2005 Cebit show (Philips)
Innovation, Compassion, Effectiveness
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©2005 Institute for Information Industry
Digital Family Center—
A home entertainment computer
Innovation, Compassion, Effectiveness
- 40 -
©2005 Institute for Information Industry
Multi –services platform
Innovation, Compassion, Effectiveness
- 41 -
©2005 Institute for Information Industry
Video phone services:
•ccd camera
•Regular phone
•On-net free call
•Of-net to mobile, long
distance,IDD
•Regular dialing sequence
Innovation, Compassion, Effectiveness
- 42 -
©2005 Institute for Information Industry
•On-line ‘Blockbuster’
•Multi-channels with various
kinds of selection
•New cinema added weekly
•With pause,f/w,b/w
capability。
Innovation, Compassion, Effectiveness
- 43 -
©2005 Institute for Information Industry
•Mail box with TV
•Text and image only
•Short message from mobile
or web
•View messages with remote
control
Innovation, Compassion, Effectiveness
- 44 -
©2005 Institute for Information Industry
• F.I.O.(Formats In One)
drive: DVD、VCD、MPG、AVI、
MP3、Divx、Xvid
•With SPDIF 5.1 audio I/O
Innovation, Compassion, Effectiveness
- 45 -
©2005 Institute for Information Industry
•Global radio center
•Connect to web radio
worldwide with URL
•Over 100+ music channel
religion music, rock,country,
classical, …
Innovation, Compassion, Effectiveness
- 46 -
©2005 Institute for Information Industry
•Stock quote via stock code
•Full information for stock
market investor
•Easy management using
remote controller
Innovation, Compassion, Effectiveness
- 47 -
©2005 Institute for Information Industry
•Weather information
•News
•Traffic information
•Aggregated from public
information sources
Innovation, Compassion, Effectiveness
- 48 -
©2005 Institute for Information Industry
Made by Taiwan
Worldwide Leading Product Sectors
Worldwide Market
Share
SOHO Router
88.4%
WLAN
84.0%
Motherboard
78.9%
NIC
77.8%
xDSL
73.0%
Analog Router
71.8%
Notebook PC
69.8%
LCD Monitor
68.2%
Cable Modem
60.2%
CDT Monitor
54.8%
ODD
41.5%
DSC
34.3%
Server
32.3%
Innovation,
Compassion,
Effectiveness
Source: MIC/III,
OCT 2004
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WW No. 1
WW No. 2
©2005 Institute for Information Industry