Transcript Current Status & Future Prospects of the Telecommunications

The 8th ATIE Forum
Current Status & Future Prospects
of The Telecommunications
Industry & ICT Infrastructure
in Japan
Hiroshi Okazaki
Senior Vice President
Communications and Information network
Association of Japan
30 November 2002, Hong Kong
e-Japan Priority Policy Areas
 Ultra High-Speed Networks to be built, with the goal of
achieving within 5 years :
 High-Speed Networks accessible by 30 million households
 Ultra High-Speed Networks accessible by 10 million households
 Broadcasting to be digitised and converge with
telecommunications
 e-Commerce to be facilitated by legislation for new rules
 e-Government to be realised
 High-Quality Human Resources to be nurtured
To Become The World’s Most
Advanced IT Nation within 5 Years.
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Evolution of Networks
in Japan
Broadband Services
Mobile Services
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Broadband Services
 4.6 Million DSL Sub’s (as at Oct)
 1.8 Million CATV Sub’s (as at Sep)
 115 Thousand FTTH Sub’s (as at Sep)
 e-Japan Thrust
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Subscribers to Broadband
Internet Access Services
5000
Unit: 1,000 subscribers
4000
CATV
DSL
FTTH
3000
2000
1000
0
Sep 99
Sep 00
Sep 01
Sep 02
Source: Ministry of Public Management, Home Affairs, Posts and Telecommunications
4
Int’l Tariff Comparison for 24-Hr
Connected ADSL Services
（Yen/month）
1.5M
10000
8M
8M
768K
1.5M
512K
500K
768K
512K
1.5M
Upper Part: ISP access fee
Lower Part: Communications fee
8000
6000
7,176
4,850
6,993
5,979
5,050
4,984
4,613
4,477
4000
1,950
1,950
2,028
2,540
2,453
2000
2,900
3,100
3,081
2,956
2,073
0
Tokyo 1 Tokyo 2
NTT
Tokyo
NTT Yahoo BB
N.Y. 1
N.Y. 2
London
Paris
Dusseldorf Geneva
Seoul
Source: Ministry of Public Management, Home Affairs, Posts and Telecommunications
5
Mobile Services
 72 Million Cellular Phones (as at Sep)
 79% or 57 Million are Internet-accessible
 Function-richness
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Subscribers of Fixed
and Mobile Phones
80 M
70
The Mobile Phones exceeded
the Fixed Phones.
60
50
Fixed + ISDN
Fixed
PHS
Mobile
40
30
20
10
0
1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001
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No of Sub’s to IP Connection
Services via Cellular Phones
80M
70
Non-IP
60
50
40
IP
30
20
10
p02
2
Se
n0
Ju
ar
-0
2
M
-0
1
De
c
p01
Se
1
n0
Ju
ar
-0
1
M
-0
0
De
c
p00
Se
0
n0
Ju
M
ar
-0
0
0
Source: Ministry of Public Management, Home Affairs, Posts and Telecommunications
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Advanced Cellular Phone
Functions in Japan
Display Screen:
-Large (2.1 inch) and fully coloured (65,536 colours)
with high resolution
CPU:
Memory:
- High speed
- Large memory size and memory card
Image processing:
-Built-in camera with various image formats such as
JPEG, BMP, PNG, etc
-Increased number of sounds in harmony from various
built-in sound sources (PCM, etc.)
- Various built-in sound sources (PCM, etc.)
- Utilises SSL (Secure Sockets Layer)
- Utilises Java
- Over 400 hours
- Over 2 hours
- 70 – 100 grams (2.50 – 3.57 oz)
- 93 x 48 x 24 mm when folded
Audio processing:
Security:
Software:
Battery Life Standby:
Continuous Talktime:
Weight:
Size (Foldable):
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Camera-Equipped Mobile Phones
The First camera-equipped model
launched in Nov 2001, contributing
to revenue to Sharp and J-Phone.
 53.6% of J-Phone sub’s use
camera-type phones as at end of
October 2002.
 33.7% of Mobile Phones have
cameras built-in.
 Camera phones instead of digital
cameras
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Diagram-11
Current Status of FOMA and
Measures for Improvement
Current Status
Service areas Major Urban
Measures for
Improvement
2G for
Comparison
Handset
Areas only
90% of Population
by March 2003
100%
Price
US$250-400
US$150-280
US$50-200
Weight
150g
100-110g by this
year-end
70-110g
Battery
life
55 hours
125-150 hours
Over 400
hours
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Carriers’ Business
Strategies
3G Mobile Service
Migration to IP Technologies
 IPv6
Faster Broadband Access
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Commercialisation Plan
of 3G Services
2001
2002
2003
97%+
W-CDMA
NTT
DoCoMo
Major cities for
60% of Pop’n
Introductory
Tokyo Osaka,
service
Area
For 99%
of Pop’n
Nagoya
Summer
J-Phone
Postponed
Tokyo
Area
cdma2000
KDDI au
90%
2GHz
800MHz
Osaka,
Nagoya
CDMA2000 1X
100
%
CDMA2000 1X
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Mobile Carriers in Japan
2G Tech
NTT DoCoMo
PDC
W-CDMA
Ope Profit
Rev in
in H1 of
H1 of
FY02(US$) FY02) (US$
No of
Subs
(Sep
02)
Browser
KDDI
5,246M
42,162K
i-mode
34,883K
CDMA2000 1x
6,615M
107M
13,053K
EZ Web
11,150K
1,328M
(82M)
3,864K
PDC
TU-KA
Japan
Telecom
19,541M
cdmaOne
au
JPHONE
PDC
PDC
Phones
5,836M
107M
13,001K
J-Sky
11,079K
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Carriers’ Business
Strategies
3G Mobile Service
Migration to IP Technologies
 IPv6
Faster Broadband Access
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Features of IPv6
Virtually unlimited number of addresses
IPv4: Total 4.3B IPv6:3.4X1028
Security function is standard
Authentication in EC etc., secured traffic
Framework for QoS guarantee (flow label):
Stream data (voice, video)
Easy configuration by Plug&Play
IP enabled information appliance
Multicasting is standard
one-to-many, conversion of broadcasting and
communications
Interconnection with Mobile Network
Seamless interworking between fixed network and mobile
network via Mobile IP
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Vendors’ Trends
Migration to IP-related
business
 IPv6 technologies
Concentrated Investment in
Mobile Business
3G Mobile Service
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Vendors’ Alliance for
3G (W-CDMA)
Mar/99 : Joint venture for development & marketing of
infrastructure
Siemens
NEC
Aug 01: Joint development
of mobile terminals
Fujitsu
Matsushita
(Panasonic)
Evolium
Alcatel
Joint venture estab. in Jun 00 to develop infrastructure
Sony
Sony Ericsson Mobile
Ericsson
Joint Venture estab. In Oct 00 for mobile terminal business
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CIAJ’s Direction
CIAJ will work together:
 with not only vendors of network infrastructure equipment &
terminals, but also ISPs and other service providers and also
corporate network users,
 with our govt departments and agencies, and
 with your organisations
 to create new business models and proliferate advanced use of
ICT technologies and applications,
 to formulate policy proposals for presentation to our govt to
achieve appropriate business environment, and
 to contribute to the economic development in East Asia region
for our mutual benefits
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