Transcript Slide 1

MARCH final review
Fornebu, Norway, 22 September 2011
Significantly lower the cost of converged
broadband service delivery by establishing
scalable multilink network architectures
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Final review
22 September 2011
Agenda
09:00-10:00
Presentation of summarised results,
Focus on second half of the project, i.e.,
Deliverables D3.3, D3.4, D3.5, D4.2/D5.1,
D5.2, and D7.6
10:00-10:45
Demonstrations
Deliverable D6.1
10:45-11:00
Coffee break
11:00-12:00
Questions and answers
12:00-13:00
Reviewer internal discussion
13:00-14:00
Lunch
Final review
22 September 2011
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Response to emails 20 September
Beyond SoA at start of MARCH
•
Scenarios business analyses, future broadband access market development,
and forecasted consumer spending
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Methods for scheduling of application IP packets on multiple links for real
time video applications using dynamic error correction, adaptive bit rate, and
adaptive scalable video coding
•
Radio resource management applicable for multilink
•
Investigating and proposing multilink network architecture solutions for
multipath gateway, multilink middleware, multilink connection manager,
enhanced Wi-Fi offload with multilink, and roaming and multi-actor assured
services
•
Developed and demonstrated multilink network technical solutions, multilinkaware content provider application, and using IPTV applications handling
multilink streams
Partner contributions
Largely as describe din the PD, with more details at the meeting
European dimension
Different skills needed. Mixed industry collaboration. Standardisation effort
New and enhanced products will be specified in more detail during the review
Final review
22 September 2011
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The economical scenarios analyses have evolved
through collaboration between all partners and all WPs
WP 2
WP 4
WP 5
Scenarios and actors
Technology components
Feasible architectures
Input from industry partners
CAPEX and OPEX
Willingness to pay
WP 6
WP 7
Cost elements
Proved deployability
Feedback from workshops
and presentations
Input from industry in different markets
Market and service specific CAPEX and
OPEX and willingness to pay
Quantitative analyses of four scenarios derived from
developed business models
Promoting multilink for continuous access to
Campus 3D educational learning environment
in Spain
Promoting multilink for security fleets
communication management
Promoting the combination of WiMAX and
satellite broadcast networks for bandwidth and
N-play to rural areas of Spain
Broadband services combining mobile 3G and
Wi-Fi
Final review
Deliverable D3.3
22 September 2011
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Example of a mediator providing broadband 3G and WiFI access
Business case assumptions
Provides gateway and terminal software only
Targets advanced private customers
Population of 5 000 000 and a mobile terminal
penetration of 90%.
20% of the terminals can support more than one
network interface in Year 0, with an increase of
5-20% the first years.
We attract 0.5% of the multilink terminals as
customers.
ARPU is 3€ with an annual decrease
The net present value (NPV) is estimated to be
1 026 084.
This business case shows a positive cash flow
already after 1 year.
Final review
Deliverable D3.3
22 September 2011
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Example of an operator providing broadband 3G and WiFI access
Business case assumptions
Customers with multilink terminals use
multilink transparently controlled by the
operator
Increased revenue due to more customers (25%)
Invests in gateway and terminal software
Population of 5 000 000 and a mobile
terminal penetration of 90%.
20% of the terminals can support more than
one network interface in Year 0, with an
increase of 5-20% the first years.
This business case shows a positive cash flow
already in year 1.
Final review
Deliverable D3.3
22 September 2011
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Fixed broadband Western European
residential market
Penetration forecasts
Busy hour traffic forecasts
Several high quality sources for traffic data
Own developed forecast methods
Deliverable D3.4
Final review
22 September 2011
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Mobile broadband consumer and
business market Western Europe
Penetration, large screen
Deliverable D3.4
Final review
22 September 2011
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Gbps
Mobile data busy hour traffic Western Europe
Deliverable D3.4
Final review
22 September 2011
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Market development summary
• Busy hour total traffic forecasts during the busy hour; key
information for planning and dimensioning of the networks
• Short-term and long-term traffic forecasts are crucial for
long term network planning
• Long-term traffic forecasts for both fixed and mobile
broadband data in the busy hour show an explosive growth.
o Mobile data traffic in 2015 increases 36 times the 2008 level and
16 times the 2009 level
o Fixed broadband traffic is estimated to be 19 times larger than the
mobile broadband in 2009, while the proportion is reduced to 6
times larger in 2015
• However, it is important to underline that there are
uncertainties in these forecasts
Deliverable D3.4
Final review
22 September 2011
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Growth in provisioning and consumption
of digital content on Internet
High digital share:
• Music: large CD decrease,
revenue catastrophe, hope:
subscription models
• Games: smooth transformation
to online, healthy online
business
Low digital share – so far:
• Film: DVD decrease, some
online streaming successes
• TV: linear still going strong,
online is catch-up
Challenge: Sustainable business model for digital content
In the long run: transformation to sustainable digital models
Final review
Deliverable 3.5
22 September 2011
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Challenge for content industry –
challenge for broadband networks
Broadband network: How to position in mediator role between
end-user and content provider?
Suggestion 1 – MEDIATOR ROLE:
Platform
Broadband network
Two-sided market – sender party pays
the broadband network:
End-user
Pros
Cons
•Sending party cares
more about other side
•End-user demand
variety
• Empirically few
examples of shifts
Content and
service provider
Final review
Deliverable 3.5
22 September 2011
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Challenge for content industry –
challenge for broadband networks
Suggestion 2 – MEDIATOR ROLE:
The hypothesis is: Part of the spending categories, which the
household now pay for, will in the future be partially
substituted by use of services in the mobile and fixed
broadband networks
Final review
Deliverable 3.5
22 September 2011
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Household spending for content and
telecommunication increase
We see the spending over time change between categories,
but for some of the countries there is also a significant
growth in total spending.
Example: Cultural services and entertainment , Norway
The table shows that all three categories for the Norwegian market have a
very significant growth both from 2000 – 2005 and from 2005 to 2009.
Probably there will be a similar in the period 2005 – 2009 in the
Western European market.
Final review
Deliverable 3.5
22 September 2011
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Substitution can happen, also in rural
areas
Lower content spending in rural areas
Communication spending almost on urban level
Communication
Entertainment
Final review
Deliverable 3.5
22 September 2011
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Summary and further work
Findings
Uncertainties
• Digital content and
provisioning increase
• Content spending increases
• Some signs of successful
digital transformation
• Belief in future sustainable
business models
• Forecasting models for
substitution
• Rural-urban comparisons
• Direction of revenue
streams
• Type of business models
• Broadband networks’
position as
mediator/aggragator
• Future spending/growth
digital content
• Substitution fraction
Final review
Deliverable D3.5
22 September 2011
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Investigated multilink techniques
• Content adaption
• Bandwidth aggregation
• Service constraints optimisation
• Forward error correction over multiple connections
• Reliability and robustness/Reliability and security
• Inter-system network load balancing with QoS awareness
• Radio Resource Management (RRM)
• Multiple antenna techniques
Deliverable D4.2/D5.1
Final review
22 September 2011
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Network layer main multilink
techniques
• Adaptive video coding
o Layered video on different links
o Frame types on different links
• Adaptive scheduling
o Consider latency, loss rate, link bandwidth
o Streaming and control traffic, priority handling
• Forward / Backward error checking and correction
o Considers different link loss rate
• Monitoring
o Passive and active end-to-end for each link
Deliverable D4.2/D5.1
Final review
22 September 2011
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Network layer techniques key benefits
• Increased throughput by sending independent information
on several concurrent streams
• Increased reliability, e.g., by sending duplicate information
on several concurrent streams
• Increased service continuity by dynamic and flexible access
to different radio access networks
• Increased network utilisation by sharing the network load
o Supported by simulations and analytical modelling
Deliverable D4.2/D5.1
Final review
22 September 2011
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Radio access network layer main
techniques and benefits
• Service capacity
o Selection an optimal link for each user
o Use multiple input multiple output (MIMO) technology
• Service reliability by using redundant links
o MIMO technology
• Increased quality of service (QoS)
o Load balancing including user QoS parameters
Deliverable D4.2/D5.1
Final review
22 September 2011
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Multilink network architecture
• Identified deployment possibilities of MARCH
ML techniques into holistic architectural
settings
 Considering ongoing standardisation
 Considering various multilink connectivity modes
 Proposing specific value propositions
 Investigating evolution paths
• More specifically, investigating and proposing solutions
 Multipath gateway
 Multilink middleware
 Multilink connection manager
 Enhanced Wi-Fi offload with multilink
 Roaming and multi-actor assured services
Final review
Deliverable D5.2
22 September 2011
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Multilink connectivity modes
Concurrent use of multiple links
MPG
(Multipath Gateway)
Service Flow
Splitting / Merging
Service flow split/merge
ML User Equipment
App
App
MPG
MLA
Multi TCP connections
App
App
App
MLA
App
App
Deliverable D5.2
HLø
2009-10-27
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Multilink connectivity modes
Concurrent use of multiple links
IP flow mobility (3GPP Rel. 10)
App
3GPP access
App
PDN-GW
(MLG)
App
App
App
MLA
Non-3GPP access
3GPP
MNO
Core
App
App
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Seamless WLAN offload
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IP flow mobility between 3GPP and WLAN (DSMIPv6)
•
Interactions with the Policy Control and ANDSF
frameworks
Deliverable D5.2
HLø
2009-10-27
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Multipath Gateway Architecture
IP – in – IP tunnels
ML User Equipment
Multipath GW
Application
ML Adaptor
Virtual Socket API
(MLA)
MPG Function
MARCH Middleware
OS Socket API
with link specific nw
address
OS IP stack
Mapping the e2e IP
stream onto
the IP tunnels
Link/Phy
NIC
NIC
Content Server
Application
OS IP stack
Link/Phy
NIC
Deliverable D5.2
Architecture –
Enhanced Wi-Fi offload with multilink
HSS/SPR
User Equipment
AppSrv
eANDSF
Policy Client
Application
Application
Application
IMS Client
Multilink Middleware
IMS Core
MLPDP
(ePCRF)
Conn Mgr
OS IPStack
Link/Phy
3GPP
NIAL
Wi-Fi
PEF
MPCF
PDN-GW
(MLGF)
MPG
MPG
Holistic evolution of the user terminal is key!
NIAL – Network Interface Abstraction Layer
NI – Network Interface (Card)
MLPDP – ML Policy Decision Point
PEF – Policy Enforcement Function
HSS – Home Subscriber Server
SPR – Subscriber Profile Repository
Deliverable D5.2
21 September 2011
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MNO partnering with HotSpot
Network Operator
Inter-actor operation, potentially based on
GSMA OneAPI
Competing MNO
domain
PCRF
eANDSF
MLPDP
(ePCRF)
PEF
CG
PEF
AP
AP
AP(M)
AG
CS
MPGF
MLUE
MLA
AppSrv
PEF
AP
AP
AP(F)
CG (F)
Partner HotSpot domain
Deliverable D5.2
Internet
Roaming with multilink and Wi-Fi based local
breakout
(1)
Service/
Session
Handler
(2)
CS
Visited
eANDSF
Service/
Session
Handler
Visited MNO
(Access)
MLUE
(7)
(5)
MLPDP
(ePCRF)
LRM
AP
AP
AP(M)
(4)
Visited
MNO
(Core)
Service/
Session
Handler
(3)
(6)
PEF
CG(M)
Online
Content
Provider
(Home area)
HSS
Home
MNO
(Core)
MLCF
MPGF
MLA
LRM
Roaming
multilink user
AP(F)
Hotspot
Partner domain
/ Premises
Transit (Hub)
Internet NSP
Point of
Interconnect supporting
Assured service quality traffic termination
Cf. EU project ETICS
Deliverable D5.2
Final review
22 September 2011
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MARCH - Technical Exploitation beyond SoA
• Development of the scalable and modular multilink
architecture
• Telvent - First multilink-aware content provider
• IPTV application to display multilink streams by Gravity
• Transparent multilink solution and mediator service are under
development by Simula
• Multi access network solutions to be developed into future
product lines by Lividi
• Video conference solution that exploits multiple networks
simultaneously by Lividi
• New product: RMM server by RuggedCom
• Multilink techniques such as dynamic FEC, bandwidth
aggregation, adaptive bit rate control and AVC codec by LiveU
Deliverable D7.6
Final review
22 September 2011
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MARCH Economical Exploitation
• New N-play business models
• Business evaluations for different cases
• New market strategies and partner strategies
• IPTV live event application
• Developed products hopefully will generate significant
impact on live broadcast market
• Standardisation of the developed results
o Contributions to 3GPP, IPSphere and TMForum on multilink
combination of mobile and wireless local area network
Deliverable D7.6
Final review
22 September 2011
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MARCH Dissemination
• MARCH publications
o Papers in journals: 8
o Papers in conference proceedings: 17
o Presentations at workshops and conferences: 10
• MARCH events and demonstrations
o MARCH workshop in Norway - Fornebu, Norway, 27th of October,
2009
o First MARCH international workshop - Ramat-Gan, Tel Aviv, Israel,
3rd of MARCH, 2010.
o MARCH live demonstration at
Svalbard, Norway - MARCH
multilink technology used to
provide live video coverage
from an excavation site of
Predator X at Svalbard,
3 - 17 August 2010
Final review
Deliverable D7.6
22 September 2011
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MARCH Dissemination
• MARCH events and demonstrations
o Celtic-Plus Event 2011 - The MARCH consortium demonstrated the
project's results on the Celtic-Plus Event 2011. Live coverage of
this CELTIC Event was powered by LiveU - member of the MARCH
Consortium - using the multilink technology
o Workshop on Broadband mobile access over heterogeneous
networks for improved capacity, coverage, and quality of
experiences
• Universities disseminated the results through their
education activity
o PhD theses, MsC/BsC theses, etc.
• Website of the project was launched where all the public
material is accessible
Deliverable D7.6
Final review
22 September 2011
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