Transcript document

BOBBY B. LYLE
SCHOOL OF ENGINEERING
EMIS - SYSTEMS ENGINEERING PROGRAM
SMU
EMIS 7370 STAT 5340
Department of Engineering Management, Information and Systems
Probability and Statistics for Scientists and Engineers
Course Overview
Dr. Jerrell T. Stracener
1
Course Overview
•Blackboard Overview
•Objectives
•Contact Information
•Homework
•Exams
•Schedule
•Assignments
2
Blackboard Overview
3
Course Schedule
Tuesday
12:00 PM – 2:10 PM
Thursday
12:00 PM – 2:10 PM
Location: 203 Junkins
• First Class
• Mid-term Exam
•Last Class
• Final Exam
Tuesday, Jun 1
Thursday, Jul 1
Tuesday, Jul 27
TBD
Please visit http://www.smu.edu/catalogs/calendar.asp for the official calendar.
4
Course Textbook (Optional)
Probability and Statistics for Engineers and Scientists,
Ronald E. Walpole, 8th ed., McMillan, NY, 2006.
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Objectives
6
Provide Overview of Course
Topics
Organization
Structure
Operation
Grading
Schedule
Expectations
7
My Objectives
• To provide you with concepts, methods and
techniques that
- are relevant to engineering practice
- provide a balance between theory and
application
• To provide you some benefits of my many years
of industry experience
- example applications
- lessons learned
- career guidance
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Course Description
This course is an introduction to fundamentals
of probability, probability distributions and
statistical techniques used by engineers and
physical scientists. Topics include basic concepts
and rules of probability, random variables,
probability distributions, expectation and variance,
sampling and sampling distributions, statistical
analysis techniques, statistical inference –
estimation and tests of hypothesis, correlation
and regression, and analysis of variance.
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Course Objectives
To prepare students with diverse technical
backgrounds and objectives with fundamental
probabilistic & statistical concepts, methods, and
techniques for use in continuing graduate studies
and in engineering & technical management
through a balance of theory and application
involving engineering decision making, including
situations in which uncertainty and risk are
important. Emphasis is placed on problem
definition, solution, interpretation of results, and
presentation.
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Contact Information
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Instructor
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•
Professor
Office:
Phone:
Email:
Mail:
Jerrell Stracener, Ph.D., SAE Fellow & AIAA Associate Fellow
300 Caruth
214.768.1535
[email protected]
EMIS Department
PO Box 750123
Dallas, TX 75275-0123
• EMIS Dept: Tammy Sherwood
Phone: 214.768.1100
Fax: 214.768.1112
• Website:
http://lyle.smu.edu/~jerrells/courses/emis7370sum10
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Course Website
• Blackboard System: https://courses.smu.edu/webapps/login/
•Click Login
• Username:
SMU id number
• Password:
SMU email’s password
• Class website
• http://lyle.smu.edu/~jerrells/courses/emis7370sum10
• Click Login
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Function of Course Websites
• Blackboard is used for homework, project
submissions and all grade posting, including
midterm and final exams.
• Class website is used to post lecture material,
resource material and student network.
• If you have any questions for any of above,
please contact Dr. Stracener or his TA by
email.
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Office Hours
• By appointment only: Monday through Friday
- in my office
- by phone
email request for meeting to [email protected]
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Assistant
• Ray Sun: [email protected]
• Olivia Han: [email protected]
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Email
•Subject: EMIS 7370 – Key word(s)
•To: Select Appropriate Person and copy other two
–Jerrell
–Olivia
–Ray
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Homework
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Homework (Assignments)
• Homework problems (for credit) will be posted on
Blackboard system with the Due Date
• Homework problem solutions shall be independent
work
• Submit your solutions via blackboard utilizing
submission guidelines
• Review my solutions on Blackboard system
• Your grades will be posted on the blackboard
system within 1 week of receipt
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Homework Due Date
Turn in homework assignments at the
beginning of the class within one week after
problem is assigned.
Retain a copy of everything you submit
20
Homework Problem Grades
• Grades will be posted on the blackboard system.
• Individual assignments will receive a grade from 0
to 10 in 0.5 increments.
• Assignments will receive a 10 if and only if the
answer is correct and the method for obtaining the
answer is correct.
• If a student misinterprets a problem, but solves it
correctly according to his misinterpretation, the
assignment may receive a 10 if it covers the topics
required.
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Homework Problem Grades (continued)
• A maximum of 9.0 can be obtained if the answer is
wrong, but method is correct
• If one part of the problem is marked down,
subsequent part that rely on this original part will
not be marked down because of this error, but may
be marked down for other reasons
• Assignments showing no method but only the
correct answer will not receive more than a 5.0
• The reason for any points lost will be indicated on
the comments of your assignments on Blackboard
system
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Homeworks - Submission Guidelines
• Please submit the homework via blackboard system. Your
id is your SMU id number. Your password is same as your
SMU account password.
• For a submission problem, contact assistants.
• MS Word, Excel and Power Point are the preferred file
type for attachments.
• Equation editor is worth your time to learn.
• Scanned images can easily be inserted into these
documents.
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Homeworks - Submission Guidelines, continued
• Avoid scanning your work and sending it as a large
image. This is an inefficient use of the internet.
Make images 72 dpi, and use color only if necessary
and do not use shading.
• Do not send zipped files, or other files which have
been compressed. It is easier to optimize the file.
• These files may be printed, so please do not make
the print area larger than 8.5” X 11”.
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Exams
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Exams - Instructions
• Exams will be in-class (proctored)
• Exams are cumulative
• Exams should not be taken until the material for the
previous lecture has been viewed
• Exams should not be taken until solutions have been
received for all homework submitted
• Open book and notes
• Calculator Required
 Turn cell phones off
• Clearly box your answers
• Independent work
• Staple, do not fold
• Write your name on each page
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Course Grade
Graduate
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•
•
Homework
Midterm Exam
Final Exam
Project
25%
25%
35%
15%
Undergraduate
40%
30%
30%
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Grade Break Down
Course Grade
Numerical
93-100
90-92
Letter
A
A-
GPA
4.0
3.7
86-89
83-85
80-82
76-79
B+
B
BC+
3.3
3.0
2.7
2.3
73-75
C
2.0
70-72
C-
1.7
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Operating Mode
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Operating Mode
• Lecture material will be posted on my website in
accordance with the Course Outline.
• Check “Announcements” in the Blackboard system
frequently to be aware of any announcements or
updates.
• I will use charts (hard copy) printed from the
website for basic lecture material, but may mark up
in class to illustrate concepts or to make a point.
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Operating Mode _ Continued
• Download & print charts prior to class for your use
during class (see Power Point/Printing help on my
website if needed)
• You should note any key points, etc, during lecture
on the charts you printed from the website.
• Homework Problems (for credit) will be posted on
Blackboard system under Assignments
31
Operating Mode (continued)
• My solutions to homework problems and midterm
exam will be provided via blackboard after receipt
of your assignment and after receiving your exam
solutions
Inform me of any errors, or suspected errors
immediately with “Urgent” in subject line of your
email
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Introduction and Expectations
• Who am I?
• Who are you?
• What do I expect?
• What do you expect?
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Course Expectations
• Your expectations
• Topics of special interest
• Relevance to current job
• Relevance to career goals and objectives
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Introductions - You
Name
Major
Employer
Job
Reason for taking course
Expectations
Visit the Student Directory
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Introductions - Me
Education
Experience
Teaching
Work
Professional Society
for more information, visit my website at:
http://lyle.smu.edu/emis/newsys/
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Maintain Contact!
• Let me hear from you!
- accomplishments
- application of course material
- needs
• Keep abreast of new developments
- updated course materials
- new/improved courses
- training courses and certificates
Systems Engineering Program website:
http://lyle.smu.edu/emis/sys/
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The 4+1 Master’s Degree Program
The 4+1 Program permits the SMU Engineering student to
study towards B.S. and M.S degrees simultaneously and
possibly with fewer courses than if taken separately. Up to
nine (9) SCH of graduate course work can be applied
towards the undergraduate degree requirements. In such
cases, students may fulfill both bachelors and masters
degree requirements in as few as 21 SCH beyond the B.S.
coursework.
For more info see:
http://lyle.smu.edu/emis/Programs/4___1_Master_s
_Degree_Program/4___1_master_s_degree_progra
m.html
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Roadmap to Multiple Masters Degrees with
Fewer Total Courses
SMU’s School of Engineering permits its graduate students
to take advantage of degree-requirement overlaps to
acquire a second Masters degree by taking as few as six
courses (18 semester credit hours). This is available for
prospective and current graduate students, as well as
alumni who have already received a MS from SMU.
For more info see:
http://lyle.smu.edu/emis/Programs/Fast_Second_EMI
S_Masters_Degre/fast_second_emis_masters_degre.
html
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Assignments
•Student Directory
•Student Profile
•HW 20
•Course Project
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Assignment - Student Directory
• Purpose
- to promote the sharing of ideas and
techniques for problem solving among students
- to promote technology and information
interchange
- to facilitate networking
• To be listed, provide your:
name
email address
organization name
geographic location
Submit via Blackboard within 1 week
41
Assignment - Student Profile
Provide the following info (for my use only),
in an easy to read bulleted format,
using phrases.
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Name
Photo – prefer current one
Employer
Brief job description
Mailing address
Phone and fax numbers
Career objectives (near term, and long term)
Major
Degrees: Types, institutions and dates
Submit via Blackboard within 1 week
42
EMIS 7370 & STAT 5340
Term Project
Submittal
Assigned
Due Date
June 1, 2010
Grade %
Project Plan
June 29, 2010
20
Presentation Charts
July 29, 2010
30
Final Report
July 29, 2010
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EMIS 7370 & STAT 5340
Term Project
• Scope Project may be broad in scope spanning a number of
topics, or it may be focused on one or selected topics.
• Motivation The project ideally will be undertaken in response
to a real need by you and/or your organization, or it could
be undertaken by a desire to obtain exposure in a new or
different job environment or to increase your expertise or
or for technology interchange.
• Goal Describe what you want to accomplish.
• Description Describe your approach including strategy,
objectives, needs, resource requirements, what you
intend to achieve, statement & scope of work, risks, etc...
EMIS 7370 & STAT 5340
Term Project
• Product Describe the product that you will produce & deliver
• Benefits To you and/or your organization
• Other Describe relationships of the project to your job,
identify any assistance obtained
• Master Schedule Tasks & milestones along with your planned
effort in hours
• Grading Criteria
– Description
5
– Definition of tasks
10
– Schedule
5
20
EMIS 7370 & STAT 5340
Term Project
• Presentation Outline (Suggested): 20 minutes
–Overview (Summary of Presentation)
–Pictures/Diagrams ( to increase understandability)
–Statement of Need and Problem
–Analysis/Study/Evaluation/Etc
–Results
–Summary and Conclusions (key points)
• Grading Criteria
–Understandability
–Follow-through
–Results
10
10
10
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EMIS 7370 & STAT 5340
Term Project
• Table of Contents
– Executive Summary
– Introduction- Need, Problem, Objective, Approach
– Ground Rules & Assumptions
– Analysis/Study/Evaluation/Etc
– Results
– Summary and Conclusions
– References
– Appendix A_ Project Plan
– Appendix B_ Project Presentation
•Grading Criteria
–Organization
–Correlation with Course Topical Coverage
–Technical Basis of Results
–Summary and Conclusions
10
10
20
10
50
EMIS 7370 & STAT 5340
Homework 20
Course Critical Evaluation within 24 hours after the final exam
For each of the following categories identify and describe
3 best features
3 worst features
one suggestion for improvement
- Overall Course
- Course Content - Topics and Organization
- Course Structure and Format
- Course Materials - Books, Handouts, References
- Tests and Grading
- Course Delivery - website, e-mail, network, etc...
- Professor
EMIS 7370 & STAT 5340
Homework 20
Course Evaluation
Overall numerical grade assigned for the course using
the following grading criteria
Grade =
93 - 100:
90 - 92:
86 - 89:
83 - 85:
80 - 82:
76 - 79:
73 - 75:
A
AB+
B
BC+
C
Selected Homework 20 - Excellent
Overall course
• 3 best features
– The overall course went deep into statistics and probability and I learned a
lot about things that relate to the real world
– It had a logical pattern throughout the semester. I liked having only
relevant material (notes) instead of using a book. I also am very grateful
this tests are open note.
– Prof. Stracener explained everything we would do in detail at the first
class period. He showed exactly what we would be learning and what to
expect.
• 3 worst features
– Sometimes class was boring and it was difficult to stay concentrated.
– The final exam was significantly more difficult than the midterm. It had
some questions that did not resemble anything we had gone over.
– I am taking this class for 4+1 and I wish the homework counted more as
of our grade as a graduate class.
• Improvement
– Make old exams or more practice questions available before tests.
Course Content - Topics and Organization
• 3 best features
– Everything was organized logically. Prof Stracener had that flow chart
slide to show us how it all fits together.
– All topics relate to some real life situation that we could be faced in at
different companies. This will help us in the working world.
– Organization was key throughout this class . The notes were organized,
and by the time the midterm and final came around, my notebook was
organized in the exact same manner.
• 3 worst features
– Some of the topics in the notes we never went over (F distribution) and
should have not been included in the notes.
– The last 2 classes were over topics we wouldn’t be tested on and I would
have rather them not be included.
– There is really no other worst feature of the topics and organization. It was
all very clearly stated in the first class and everything was followed
through very logically.
• Improvement
– Make the topics in the notes relevant to the test and remove those that aren’t.
Course Structure and Format
• 3 best features
– Course structure was listed to us very clearly on the first day of class and
this helped to know what to expect throughout the semester.
– I really enjoyed using the website because literally everything for the class
was on there. It was a huge help throughout the semester.
– Everything that was expected from the students was evident and followed
the structure Prof. Stracener had set.
• 3 worst features
– The second half of the semester some of the information was blurred
together. It wasn’t until studying for the final that I understood what
information went under which category. (Estimation and Hypothesis
Testing had a lot of subdivisions under them)
– There really were no other bad features to the structure and format. It was
a very structured course.
• Improvement
– Maybe before each class explain where we are in relation to other material. For
example, if we were learning about Hypothesis Test of 2 Means, remind the
students that this is part of Hypothesis Testing.
Course Materials - Books, Handouts,
References
• 3 best features
– I loved the online Notes, Refrences, and Handouts. The website was very
beneficial all semester and was easy to navigate.
– The book was never used, which I think helps with the learning process
because you learn exactly what the teacher thinks is important. I liked
having Prof. Stracener’s notes as a “book”.
– Notes all had similar layouts so it was easier to understand them. When
studying for the exams, I could pin point exactly when a new topic began.
• 3 worst features
– The book was rarely used, which I did not mind, but I wish I wouldn’t
have bought it. It was an expensive book that has been sitting on my shelf
all semester.
– There were no other bad features about the books and references!
• Improvement
– Make it obvious that the book is optional to buy, or do not have a book on the
booklist at all.
Tests and Grading
• 3 best features
– The tests were long and had few problems, but I think the grading on the
midterm was good. Partial credit is always given when it is deserved.
– Grading on homework is very fair as well. Partial credit is given when
possible.
• 3 worst features
– The Final exam had questions that did not resemble anything we had
learned.
– When we did have a test, there were no example problems to refer to
(other than our homework).
– The percentage amount of our tests are too high. I wish the final exam
didn’t count as much and the homework counted a little more.
• Improvement
– I do not know if this class does a curve, but I hope it is taken into
consideration because the final exam was very difficult.
– Make old test questions or more practice questions available before
exams.
– Make the tests count as less and the homework count as more for our final
grade (even for grad students).
Course Delivery - website, e-mail, network
• 3 best features
– Website was very useful and easy to navigate through. I loved it and it
helped me throughout the entire semester.
– My questions via email were always responded to very quickly.
– Great use of all resources on the website. It has everything needed for the
class. It acted like a book and more!
• 3 worst features
– When writing an email to the professor and 2 TAs, I never knew who to
address to or who would respond.
– Everything else was great! No other features I did not like!
• Improvement
– None!
Professor
• 3 best features
– Prof. Stracener was always very helpful and friendly. He was always
willing to answer my questions and happy to do so.
– He also was very understanding and truly cared about his students. He
reminded us often to talk to him if we were having trouble in the class or
would be unable to turn in the homework on time. When my group
decided to change our project topic mid-semester, Prof Stracener was very
supportive and even gave us ideas to make our project a success.
– He is very knowledgeable in the field of statistics and therefore highly
qualified to be teaching it. He has obviously had many jobs that involve
statistics and always had real life examples to share in class.
• 3 worst features
– Sometimes class was a little dull because everything had to be recorded
for the distance students.
• Improvement
– None! He was a great teacher.
Course Evaluation
• Overall numerical grade assigned for the course using
the following grading criteria
Grade =
95
90
86
83
80
76
73
-
100:
94:
89:
85:
82:
79:
75:
A
AB+
B
BC+
C
A-
Selected Homework 20 – Not Acceptable
• I think everything is excellent.
• Professor Stracener explained everything
clearly with enough examples.
• The homework is closed related with the
content in the class and we have opportunity
to have bonus credit to catch up.
• Everything is so good! Thanks!