Business Statistics: A Decision

Download Report

Transcript Business Statistics: A Decision

Business Statistics:
A Decision-Making Approach
8th Edition
Chapter 1
The Where, Why, and How of
Data Collection
Copyright ©2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall
1-1
Chapter Goals
After completing this chapter, you should be
able to:



Describe key data collection methods
Know key definitions:
Population vs. Sample
Primary vs. Secondary data types
Qualitative vs. Qualitative data
Time Series vs. Cross-Sectional data
Explain the difference between descriptive and
inferential procedures

Describe different sampling methods

Construct and interpret graphs
Copyright ©2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall
1-2
Procedures of Statistics

Descriptive procedures


Collecting, presenting, and describing data
Inferential procedures

Drawing conclusions and/or making decisions
concerning a population based only on
sample data
Goal: Convert data into meaningful information!
Copyright ©2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall
1-3
Descriptive Procedures

Collect data

e.g., Survey, Observation,
Experiments

Present data


e.g., Charts and graphs
Describe data
x

 e.g., Sample mean =
i
n
Copyright ©2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall
1-4
Inferential Procedures

Making statements about a population by
examining sample results
Sample statistics
(known)
Population parameters
Inference
unknown, but can
be estimated from
sample evidence
Sample
Copyright ©2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall
Population
1-5
Techniques for Inferential Procedures
Drawing conclusions and/or making decisions
concerning a population based on sample results.

Estimation


e.g., Estimate the population mean
weight using the sample mean
weight
Hypothesis Testing

e.g., Use sample evidence to test
the claim that the population mean
weight is 120 pounds
Copyright ©2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall
1-6
Procedures for Collecting Data
(MKTG 300 course and Video Clip #14: Samples and Surveys)
Data Collection Procedures
Experiments
Telephone
surveys
Copyright ©2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall
Written
questionnaires
Direct observation and
personal interview
1-7
Population vs. Sample
Population
a b
Sample
cd
b
ef gh i jk l m n
o p q rs t u v w
x y
z
Copyright ©2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall
c
gi
o
n
r
u
y
1-8
Populations and Samples


A population is the entire collection of things under
consideration and referred to as the frame

The sampling unit is each object or individual in the frame

A parameter is a summary measure computed to describe a
characteristic of the population
A sample is a subset of the population selected for
analysis

A statistic is a summary measure computed to describe a
characteristic of the sample drawn from the population
Copyright ©2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall
1-9
Why Sample?

Less time consuming than a census

Less costly to administer than a census

It is possible to obtain statistical results of a
sufficiently high precision based on samples
Strive for representative samples to reflect the population
of interest accurately!
Copyright ©2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall
1-10
Sampling Techniques
Sampling Techniques
Nonstatistical Sampling
Convenience
Statistical Sampling
Simple
Random
Systematic
Judgment
Stratified
Copyright ©2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall
Cluster
1-11
Nonstatistical Sampling

Convenience


Collected in the most convenient manner for the
researcher
Judgment

Based on judgments about who in the population
would be most likely to provide the needed
information
Copyright ©2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall
1-12
Statistical Sampling

Items of the sample are chosen based on
known or calculable probabilities
Statistical Sampling
(Probability Sampling)
Simple Random
Stratified
Copyright ©2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall
Systematic
Cluster
1-13
Simple Random Sampling

Every possible sample of a given size has an
equal chance of being selected

Selection may be with replacement or without
replacement

The sample can be obtained using a table of
random numbers or computer random number
generator
Copyright ©2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall
1-14
Stratified Random Sampling
(Please Watch Video Clip #14: Samples and Surveys)

Divide population into subgroups (called strata) according
to some common characteristic

e.g., gender, income level

Select a simple random sample from each subgroup

Combine samples from subgroups into one
Population
Divided
into 4
strata
Sample
Copyright ©2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall
1-15
Systematic Random Sampling

Decide on sample size: n

Divide ordered (e.g., alphabetical) frame of N
individuals into groups of k individuals: k=N/n

Randomly select one individual from the 1st
group

Select every kth individual thereafter
N = 64
n=8
First Group
k=8
Copyright ©2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall
1-16
Cluster Sampling


Divide population into several “clusters,” each
representative of the population (e.g., county)
Select a simple random sample of clusters

All items in the selected clusters can be used, or items can be
chosen from a cluster using another probability sampling
technique
Population
divided into
16 clusters.
Copyright ©2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall
Randomly selected
clusters for sample
1-17
Data Types
(Please see the Video Clip Introduction to Variables)
Data
Qualitative
(Categorical)
Quantitative
(Numerical)
Examples:



Marital Status
Political Party
Eye Color
(Defined categories)
Discrete
Examples:


Copyright ©2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall
Number of Children
Defects per hour
(Counted items)
Continuous
Examples:


Weight
Voltage
(Measured
characteristics)
1-18
Data Types

Time Series Data


Ordered data values observed over time
Cross Sectional Data

Data values observed at a single point in time
Copyright ©2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall
1-19
Data Types
Sales (in $1000’s)
2003
2004
2005
2006
Atlanta
435
460
475
490
Boston
320
345
375
395
Cleveland
405
390
410
395
Denver
260
270
285
280
Time
Series
Data
Cross Sectional
Data
Copyright ©2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall
1-20
Data Measurement Levels
(Please see the Video Clip: Scales of Measurement)
Measurements
e.g., temperature
Rankings
Ordered Categories
e.g., age range 25-34
Categorical Codes
e.g., ID Numbers, gender
Ratio/Interval Data
Ordinal Data
Nominal Data
Copyright ©2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall
Highest Level
Complete Analysis
Higher Level
Mid-level Analysis
Lowest Level
Basic Analysis
1-21
Steps to Categorizing Data
1. Identify each factor in the data set
2. Determine if the data are time-series or
cross-sectional
3. Determine which factors are quantitative and
which are qualitative
4. Determine the level of data measurement

e.g., nominal, ordinal
Copyright ©2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall
1-22
Chapter Summary

Reviewed key data collection methods

Introduced key definitions:
Population vs. Sample
Primary vs. Secondary data types
Qualitative vs. Quantitative data
Time Series vs. Cross-Sectional data

Examined descriptive vs. inferential procedures

Described different sampling techniques

Reviewed data types and measurement levels
Copyright ©2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall
1-23
All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, stored in a retrieval
system, or transmitted, in any form or by any means, electronic, mechanical, photocopying,
recording, or otherwise, without the prior written permission of the publisher.
Printed in the United States of America.
Copyright ©2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall
1-24