Transcript Observable

Негауссовские распределения
спиральности солнечных
магнитных полей в цикле
активности
Kuzanyan Kirill; Sokoloff Dmitry
(IZMIRAN, RAS & Moscow State University)
Gao Yu; Xu Haiqing; Zhang Hongqi;
(NAOC Beijing/Huairou, China)
Takashi Sakurai
(NAOJ Mitaka, Tokyo, Japan)
Simple Dynamo Wave model
Magnetic field
generation
(Parker Dynamo)
(Parker 1955)
(A,B): Poloidal/Toroidal field
components
Correlation of Helicities
observations
Observable !
20 years systematic monitoring of the
solar vector magnetic fields in active
regions taken at Huairou Solar
observing station, China (1987-2006)
More observations
from Mitaka (Japan)
and also Mees,
MSFC (USA) etc.,
but only Huairou
data systematically
cover 20 years
period.
AR NOAA6619 on 1991-5-11 @ 03:26UT (Huairou)
Photosphetic vector magnetogram
Electric current helicity over filtergram
Helicity is naturally very noisy
• (e.g.)The average value of current
helicity
HC = −8.7 · 10−3 G2m−1
• the standard deviation
8 · 10−2 G2m−1 (factor 9).
changing dramatically on a short range of
spatial and temporal scales, related to the
size of individual active regions as well as
their life time
“Mean-field” scales
• Smaller than entire astrophysical body (the
Sun)
107-109 cm << L << 1011 cm
1-10 days << T << 104 days
• Larger than fluctuation level (granulae)
Observations and
Data Reduction
• 983 active regions; 6630 vector
magnetograms observed at Huairou Solar
Observing Station;
• Time average: 2 year bins (1988-2005);
• Latitudinal average: 7o bins;
So, each bin contains 30+ magnetograms =>
=> independent statistics in each bin: averages
with confidence intervals (Student t
distribution)
We assume the data subsamples equivalent to
ensembles of turbulent pulsations, so we gather
mean quantities in the sense of dynamo theory
Helicity overlaid with butterfly diagram
How close are data points to
Gaussian distribution?
• Gaussian Distribution Function:
F ( x) 
1
2 
x
e
( x   )2

2 2
dx

• Let N denote the total number of
magnetograms in a sample bin (e.g., 2 years);
Let n be the number of magnetograms in the
same bin for which the current helicity is
smaller than X. Then the probability of that
the current helicity is smaller than X is
P=n/N.
Normal Probability Paper method
• Assume ξ is a Gaussian quantity with
the same mean value μ and std.σ as
for the observable current helicity
distribution. Then the probability that
(ξ- μ)/σis smaller than y equals to P;
• If x is a Gaussian quantity then the plot
y(x) vs. x is a straight line.
Probability Plots (some cases)
For some cases data distributions are well Gaussian but for some other
rather far from Gaussian. However, we choose the data points within
0.2<P<0.8 as close to Gaussian distribution! The ratio of numbers of
Gaussian to non-Gaussian points is typically about 60% to 40%.
Probability Plots (continued)
More cases for Southern hemisphere.
Multi-modal Gaussian distribution
Example of multimodal Gaussian
distribution:
two Gaussians
(1) Weak values
close to zero
(2) Strong values
agreed with global
properties
(Southern
hemisphere 1993)
Helicity butterfly diagram for
Gaussian vs. non-Gaussian points
Gaussian
data
NonGaussian
data
Non-Gaussian part
of data disobey the
hemispheric
helicity “rule” at
the same latitudes
and during the
same time phases
as for the Gaussian.
But their values are
often greater than
for non-Gaussian.
This manifests
helicity at various
ranges of scales.
Why non-Gaussian?
1991-05-07---1991-05-12 AR 6615 2001-08-26---2001-09-01 AR 9591 15 C flare,
2 M Flare and 1 X Flare only on 2001-08-26
(Jeongwoo Lee et al. 1998)
(see Active Region Monitor).
Non-Gaussian points seem to be closely related to some
powerful eruptive events in the solar cycle.
AR 9591
see
as an example
Links of non-Gaussian active
regions with eruptive events
The active
regions with
most
imbalanced
helicity are
likely to
produce
flares.
Result and Discussion
Even though the non-Gaussian data points
are shown to be related to some extraordinary powerful events in the solar cycle,
the evolutionary trend of their averages is
well similar to those for Gaussian ones. The
evolutionary trends of the both Gaussian and
non-Gaussian data may imply that helicity for
both groups of data is generated by the same
mechanism of the solar (mean-field) dynamo
though maybe at different time-spatial scales.
Спасибо!
Thank You!