Transcript CS206 --- Electronic Commerce

More Stream-Mining
Counting How Many Elements
Computing “Moments”
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Counting Distinct Elements
Problem: a data stream consists of
elements chosen from a set of size n.
Maintain a count of the number of
distinct elements seen so far.
Obvious approach: maintain the set of
elements seen.
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Applications
How many different words are found
among the Web pages being crawled at
a site?
 Unusually low or high numbers could
indicate artificial pages (spam?).
How many different Web pages does
each customer request in a week?
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Using Small Storage
Real Problem: what if we do not have
space to store the complete set?
Estimate the count in an unbiased way.
Accept that the count may be in error,
but limit the probability that the error is
large.
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Flajolet-Martin* Approach
Pick a hash function h that maps each of
the n elements to log2n bits, uniformly.
 Important that the hash function be (almost)
a random permutation of the elements.
For each stream element a, let r (a ) be
the number of trailing 0’s in h (a ).
Record R = the maximum r (a ) seen.
Estimate = 2R.
* Really based on a variant due to AMS (Alon, Matias, and Szegedy)
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Why It Works
The probability that a given h (a ) ends in
at least r 0’s is 2-r.
If there are m different elements, the
probability that R ≥ r is 1 – (1 - 2-r )m.
Prob. all h(a)’s
end in fewer than
r 0’s.
Prob. a given h(a)
ends in fewer than
r 0’s.
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Why It Works --- (2)
-r
Since 2-r is small, (1-2-r)m ≈ e -m2 .
If 2r >> m, 1 – (1 - 2-r )m ≈ 1 – (1 - m2-r)
First 2 terms of the
≈ m /2r ≈ 0.
Taylor expansion of e
-r
r
r
m
-m2
If 2 << m, 1 – (1 - 2 ) ≈ 1 – e
≈
1.
Thus, 2R will almost always be around m.
x
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Why It Doesn’t Work
E(2R ) is actually infinite.
 Probability halves when R -> R +1, but
value doubles.
Workaround involves using many hash
functions and getting many samples.
How are samples combined?
 Average? What if one very large value?
 Median? All values are a power of 2.
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Solution
Partition your samples into small
groups.
Take the average of groups.
Then take the median of the averages.
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Moments (New Topic)
Suppose a stream has elements chosen
from a set of n values.
Let mi be the number of times value i
occurs.
The k th moment is the sum of (mi )k
over all i.
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Special Cases
0th moment = number of different
elements in the stream.
 The problem just considered.
1st moment = sum of the numbers of
elements = length of the stream.
 Easy to compute.
2nd moment = surprise number = a
measure of how uneven the distribution is.
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Example: Surprise Number
Stream of length 100; 11 values
appear.
Unsurprising: 10, 9, 9, 9, 9, 9, 9, 9, 9,
9, 9. Surprise # = 910.
Surprising: 90, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1 ,1, 1,
1. Surprise # = 8,110.
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AMS Method
Works for all moments; gives an
unbiased estimate.
We’ll just concentrate on 2nd moment.
Based on calculation of many random
variables X.
 Each requires a count in main memory, so
number is limited.
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One Random Variable
Assume stream has length n.
Pick a random time to start, so that any
time is equally likely.
Let the chosen time have element a in
the stream.
X = n * ((twice the number of a ’s in the
stream starting at the chosen time) – 1).
 Note: just store the count.
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Expected Value of X
2nd moment is Σa (ma )2.
E(X ) = (1/n )(Σall times t n * (twice the
number of times the stream element at
time t appears from that time on) – 1).
= Σa (1/n)(n )(1+3+5+…+2ma-1) .
= Σa (ma )2.
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Combining Samples
Compute as many variables X as can fit in
available memory.
Average them in groups.
Take median of averages.
Proper balance of group sizes and number
of groups assures not only correct
expected value, but expected error goes
to 0 as number of samples gets large.
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Problem: Streams Never End
We assumed there was a number n,
the number of positions in the stream.
But real streams go on forever, so n is
a variable --- the number of inputs seen
so far.
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Fixups
1. The variables X have n as a factor --keep n separately; just hold the count
in X.
2. Suppose we can only store k counts.
We must throw some X ’s out as time
goes on.
 Objective: each starting time t is
selected with probability k / n.
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Solution to (2)
Choose the first k times for k
variables.
When the n th element arrives (n > k ),
choose it with probability k / n.
If you choose it, throw one of the
previously stored variables out, with
equal probability.
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