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Attribution Theory
and
Theories of Belief Change
Attribution Theory
Deals with how people perceive the
causes of behavior
Concerned with Causal Inferences
Personal Causes vs. External Causes
– Ex. “I earned an A” vs.
“My teacher gave me an F”
Also concerned with How people make
these types of inferences
Kelley’s Attribution Model
“Covariation Model”
Kelley suggests 3 Factors we use when
making causal attributions:
– Distinctiveness – whether a person’s behavior is
different across situations
– Consistency – looking for trends in related
situations over time (light switch)
– Consensus – comparing the person to how others
are behaving
Our ability to infer causality correctly depends
on those three factors
– movie theater audience member
Kelley’s Attribution Model
Limitations in our ability to make correct
attributions come from:
– Motivational Biases, Discounting/Augmenting
Principles, and other Biases
3 Motivational Biases:
– Self-serving bias – we alter our perceptions to
protect our self-esteem/self-concept
• Accept responsibility for the good, assign blame for the
bad: You are in charge of renting a movie
– False consensus bias – we mistakenly believe that
others are like us
• “everyone does it”
– False uniqueness bias – we mistakenly perceive
ourselves as different
• Snob Appeal
Kelley’s Attribution Model
(cont’d)
Discounting and Augmenting Principles
– Considers perceived motivations of the
message source
– Perceived source intention is one of the
most important variables in persuasion
Discounting and Augmenting
Principles
Discounting Principle
– The more possible causes there are for a behavior,
the weaker the perceived viability of any single
cause
– For example: former President Bush saying we
should vote for his son
Augmenting Principle
– An unexpected position from a source perceived as
biased will strengthen the persuasive power of the
message
– Bush saying, “after serious consideration, I think
you should have voted for Gore”
Two other types of Bias
Knowledge Bias
– Deals with the source’s previous background and
how this impacts their perspective
– People’s expectations of the source’s position
(based on this bias) can be either confirmed or
disconfirmed by the source’s behavior
• If I went to Catholic high school, but advocated the public
education system
Audience Reporting Bias
– Expectations can be confirmed or disconfirmed
based on the nature of the audience that the
source is presenting the message to
• I speak to undergraduates about parking... Registrar?
– How would I confirm? Disconfirm?
Related Conclusions w/respect to ads:
– The believability of some product claims
increase by disclaiming: “a superiority on
some, but not all” product features while
admitting only average performance in
other features
• Suggestion of throwing in one “weak” feature of
a product to enhance overall credibility of the
ad
• Consumers tend to discount testimonials that
are completely positive
• WHY?
Self-Perception Theory
(Bem, 1972)
Sometimes people observe their own
behavior and then make inferences about
their attitudes
If people don’t possess a strong attitude, or
give an issue much thought, they may infer
that they approve of the behavior after
engaging in it
Internal and External attributions will also be
used to explain their own behavior
For a different approach to Attributions of Behavior…
Weiner’s Attribution Model
Also interested in the perceived causes
of actions and behaviors
Considers the following factors
(internal/external):
– Intention
– Controllability
– Stability
– Locus of Control
Theory of Reasoned Action
(TORA; Fishbein & Ajzen, 1981)
Why study attitudes?
– To gain insights into how we can change them
This Reasoned Action model is useful for
developing attitude change strategies
because it focuses directly upon attributes
that may be impacted by the source
The theory predicts behavior based on the
attitude toward the behavior, and the
pressure to behave in a certain way
TORA (cont’d)
Deals with behaviors that are voluntary
Predicts the likelihood of behavior by
gauging behavioral intention
Intention is the step between attitude
and behavior… intention determines the
behavior
TORA (cont’d)
Accordingly, Behavioral Intention is
influenced by two components:
– Attitude toward the behavior (Ab)
– Subjective Norm (SN)
TORA Model
TORA: Algebraically Stated
(all together now!)
B BI = w1Ab+w2SN
Behavior (B) is a function of () Behavioral
Intention (BI), which is measured by adding
Attitude toward the Behavior (Ab) to the
Subjective Norm (SN)
w1 and w2 are weights determining the
relative importance of each term
Attitude Component
Attitude is a function of one’s salient beliefs
about the behavior
Theory claims: Attitude toward buying the car
is a function of the strength by which one
holds a salient belief and the evaluation of
whether the consequence of that belief is
positive/negative, etc.
n
AB = biei
i=1
Where i is each consequence, and n is the
total number of beliefs
Implications for persuasion and
Attitudes (4)
Change total number of beliefs to be
considered by the consumer (add new
information/stress different information)
Change the belief strength of receivers’ held
beliefs (add new information)
Change the evaluations by which receivers
rate the consequences of the beliefs
(emphasize the downside/upside of the
behavior)
Change the configuration of beliefs in order to
make certain beliefs more salient (buying a
PC)
Subjective Norm Component
Constitutes the individual’s beliefs that people
who are important to him/her, think he/she
should or should not perform the action in
reference
M
SN=(NB)
i(MC)I
i=1
NB = normative beliefs
MC = motivation to comply
M = number of referents (people)
Implications for persuasion and
the Subjective Norm (4)
Increase # of referent individuals, or salient
others who advise the consumer or provide
approval/disapproval of the behavior
Change the strength of the normative beliefs
Change the motivation to comply component
(why comply? Be independent…)
Change the configuration of supporters
(versus distractors) who impact on the
consumer’s decision (they are just jealous)
Example in Advertising
Source Characteristics
Source Credibility
Expertise (knowledge bias)
Trustworthiness (audience reporting
bias)
McCroskey: Authoritativeness and
character
Berlo, Lemert and Mertz: safety factor
(trustworthiness), qualification factor
(expertise), and dynamism
Expertise
Described as: “trained, experienced, skillful,
informed, authoritative, able, and intelligent”
The audience expects an expert to present
strong arguments—weak arguments can
completely remove any influence of perceived
expertise due to title, appearance, and
qualifications
The more change that is desired, the more
expertise should be emphasized
Expertise vs. Similarity Appeal
When should you opt for similarity?
– Select Comfort Mattress; BlockBusters;
Paint Store Story
Social comparison theory (natural social
comparisons exist given: age, gender,
occupation, etc.)
– Holding “correct” attitude as a function of
comparison group’s consensus
• Becomes “social proof”
Expertise vs. Similarity Appeal
(cont’d)
Similarity is more likely to be effective when:
– Intent of attitude/behavior is to Satisfy personal
need
– Similarity Is relevant to the topic
– Used to Increase liking for the speaker
– The right variables are examined (age, sex…)
– Source refers to attitudes (not beliefs… why does
this make sense?)
Trustworthiness
As the topic becomes more personal,
trust becomes more important
Speakers who speak against their own
interest (augmenting principle)
Overheard messages (discounting
principle)
Personal Characteristics
Composure: relaxed, comfortable and calm
Dynamism: powerful, active, energetic,
outgoing
Sociability: friendly, helpful, likeable
*Sometimes it is easiest to think about the
ability of these qualities to persuade by
imagining someone who is deficient in them
* Or use the book’s
Vincent the Waiter story (p. 135)
Physical Attractiveness
Society emphasizes beauty
Attractive individuals have more confidence,
are more optimistic, more fluent, and speak
faster
Studies show:
– Jury may be more lenient to attractive criminals
• But not when they used their beauty to commit the crime
– Good looking men in organizations are perceived
to have leadership skills, but this is not the case
for women
What about expertise vs.
physical attractiveness?
Celebrity Endorsements
Only 20% of celebrity appeals work?
– Is the risk worth it? LeBron and his $90mil?
– Companies want to know what circumstances will
make it work—therefore, you will want to know
Things to know:
– Effective when the receiver identifies with the
celebrity…
• who is Alf trying to identify with?
– Children are more likely to be influenced by the
“in” celebrities –
• Britney and Pepsi; Christina and Coke
– Match-Up Hypothesis: the public image of the
celebrity and the message about the product
• Joe Namath and Arthritis
Opinion Leaders
Two-step flow: media affect opinion
leaders who then affect individuals
Opinion Leaders
– Tend to be better informed, talk to more
people, may have more formal education,
are heavy media consumers
– Specific opinion leaders vary depending on
the topic
Theoretical Bases of Power
Informational Influence – very often leads to
belief/attitude/behavior change
– Present new information, or new arguments (like
with Affirmative Action discussion)
Referent Influence – Simply due to people
wanting to be associated with the source’s
referent group
– People can be influenced by the role model
• Explains successful celebrity endorsement
Expert Influence – Superior Power
– Ex. Computer skills, mastery of the English lang,
or excellent musicians are perceived to be experts
Theoretical Bases of Power
(cont’d)
Legitimate Influence
– When people have a “right” to impact your
behavior; as a boss, parent or teacher
• Key is the receiver’s belief that the source is legitimate
Reward and Coercive Influences
– If an agent/source can control the rewards and
punishments the target/receiver receives, they can
influence all of the above
Improving
Communicator Effectiveness
Have low-credibility? Got milk? Be introduced
after you speak/present your message
Learn to speak proficiently using appropriate
verbal and nonverbal communication modes
Find common ground with the audience
– Careful not to be obvious
Effectively use the media
– Written messages produce more thoughts about the
content (why?)
– Audio/Visual content produce more thoughts about
the speaker (why?)
– Therefore… good looking, likable, credible speakers
should do it live
Next Class…
Predicting Group and
Individual Responses!
MORE INDIVIDUAL DIFFERENCES