Transcript Future Work/Technology 2050 in the Conscious

Future Work/Technology 2050 in the
Conscious-Technology Age
Astana Economic Forum 2015
Jerome C. Glenn, CEO
The Millennium Project
Technologies affecting the Future of Work
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Synthetic Biology
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Artificial Intelligence
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Robotic agriculture,
manufacturing, services
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Computational Science
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Nanotechnology
Tele-Everything & TeleEverybody, the Semantic Web •
Quantum computing
3-D Printing biology as well as
materials and 4-D Printing
Drones
Augmented Reality, TelePresence
Increasing individual and
collective intelligence
Conscious-Technology
Civilization potentials
Emerging Technologies Table
If \ Then
Nanotechnology
Synthetic
Biology
Artificial
Intelligence
Robotics
3-D Printing
Augmented
Reality
Nanotechnology
Synthetic
Biology
Artificial
Intelligence
Robotics
3-D Printing
Augmented
Reality
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Inevitability of New Economics
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Concentration of wealth is increasing
Income gaps are widening
Employment-less economic growth seems the new normal
Return on investment in capital and technology is usually
better than labor
• Will future technologies create or replace more jobs?
• 50% unemployment is a business-as-usual forecast without
new economic approaches
• If so, will some form of guaranteed income be necessary?
Will we teach people to find markets worldwide
for self-employment ?
• By 2050 everyone
is connected to
the future
Internet and
everyone is
surrounded by a
• 9.6 billion person
market
One-Person
Businesses
Find markets
around the
world for what
you are
interested in
doing
not non-existing
jobs
What could this look
like in 2050?
You are invited to a current study on these issues:
https://themp.org/rtd/future_worktechnology_2050/
Some Elements of Next Economic System
Capitalist/socialist/communist systems are early industrial age economic systems
Millennium Project study on 35 elements that might help shape the next economic
system, some examples
Non-ownership, as distinct from private ownership or collective/state ownership (e.g.
current open source software)
Simultaneous knowing – time lags changed or eliminated in information
dissemination with much greater transparency.
Alternatives to continuously creating artificial demand and growth
One-Person Business - Self-employment via the Internet—individuals seek markets
for their abilities rather than jobs
Collective intelligence: global commons for the knowledge economy
Collective Intelligence Systems:
Each Can Change the Other
Global Futures Intelligence System
https://themp.org
Our eye glasses,
microscopes,
telescopes have
affected our
consciousness for
years –
How might future
technologies affect
our consciousness?
Conscious-Technology
Humans becoming
cyborgs
When the distinction between
these two trends becomes
blurred, we will have reached the
2015
1985
2030
2000
Post-Information Age
Built environment
becoming intelligent
Simplification/Generalization of History
and an Alternative Future
Age /
Element
Product
Power
Wealth
Place
War
Time
Agricultural
Extraction
Food/Res
Religion
Land
Earth/Res
Location
Cyclical
Industrial
Machine
Nation-State Capital
Factory
Resources
Linear
Information
Info/serv
Corporation
Access
Office
Perception
Flexible
ConsciousTechnology
Linkage
Individual
Being
Motion
Identity
Invented
Will we create our own Avatars to be our Cyber-selves?
Could this find
your future
each day?
Your own cyber
clone?
What is the first thinking? And what
does the second think about that?
For further information
Jerome C. Glenn
The Millennium Project
4421 Garrison Street, NW,
Washington, D.C. 20016 USA
+1-202-686-5179 phone/fax
[email protected]
www.StateoftheFuture.org
www.themp.org (Global Futures Intelligence System)