Transcript 0830 - 20161101 M3 Slides (FINAL)

UNCLASSIFIED
“MAINTAINING OVERMATCH:
THE FUTURE OF COMBAT VEHICLE
ARSTAF
Day at the
MODERNIZATION”
Pre-Command Course
LTG
H.R. McMaster
Army
G-8
AUSA Hot O.
TopicBarclay
SymposiumIII
LTG James
1 November 2016
03 December 2013
Some Say the Army Should NOT Upgrade or
Develop New Combat Vehicles
“Existing Platforms are Sufficient for Future
Armed Conflict”
“Future Conflicts will not Require Combat Vehicles
due to Long-Range Strike Capabilities”
“Combat Vehicles have a Limited Role in Urban
Combat and Restrictive Terrain”
“New Combat Vehicles are too Expensive and take
too long to Design and Produce”
Victory Starts Here!
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Peer Competitors have Modernized
“The convergence of dramatic improvements in the fields of robotics,
artificial intelligence, materials, additive manufacturing, and nanoenergetics
is dramatically changing the character of conflict in all domains.”
– T.X. Hammes, “Cheap Technology Will Challenge U.S. Tactical Dominance,”
March 2016
Victory Starts Here!
3
Enemy Countermeasures Challenge Long-Range
Strike Capabilities
“U.S. dominance on land, sea, and air incentivized adversaries to fight in other
ways…just as we seek to fight from a position of advantage so too will our
enemies by employing asymmetric, hybrid, and unconventional approaches.”
– The Ellis Group “21st Century Maneuver Warfare: Absorbing the Lessons,”
November 2016
Victory Starts Here!
4
The Army Operates in Restrictive Terrain to
Achieve Strategic Outcomes
Hurtgen Forest 1944
Iraq 2007
“The successes of Israeli armor and mechanized forces in 2002
demonstrated that the protection, firepower, and psychological effect of
armor in a city remained a great advantage.”
– Louis DiMarco “Concrete Hell: Urban Warfare from Stalingrad to Iraq,” 2012
Victory Starts Here!
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Increasing Risk
“Continued failure to fund modernization will leave the United States with an
Army unsuited to handle the future geostrategic environment.”
– Rhys McCormick, “The Army Modernization Challenge: A Historical Perspective,”
March 2016
Victory Starts Here!
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Combat Vehicles are Essential Today and in the
Future
 Contested Domains
 Increased Battlefield Lethality
 Complex Terrain
 Degraded Operations
“Main battle tanks remain decisive in modern combat if equipped to defeat
anti-tank guided missiles and infantry handheld anti-tank rockets.”
– Phillip Karber and Joshua Thibeault, “Russia’s New Generation
Warfare,” May 2016
Victory Starts Here!
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UNCLASSIFIED
“MAINTAINING OVERMATCH:
THE FUTURE OF COMBAT VEHICLE
ARSTAF
Day at the
MODERNIZATION”
Pre-Command Course
LTG
H.R. McMaster
Army
G-8
LTG James
O. Barclay III
AUSA Hot Topic Symposium
1 November 2016
03 December
2013
U.S. Main Battle Tank Development
Victory Starts Here!
9
Russian Main Battle Tank Development
Victory Starts Here!
10
Means: Required for Tomorrow
Formations possess the appropriate combination of mobility, protection and lethality to win and
achieve overmatch against likely threat, under anticipated mission variables
IBCT
SBCT
Mobility
Lethality
Need a light solution that
moves squad faster than
threat
Need depth and security
operations to provide
formation protection
Need mobile, protected,
precise firepower
Mobility
Protection
Lethality
Need ability to defeat
man-portable rockets
and missiles.
Need precise firepower to
kill infantry, ATGMs and
vehicles at range
Protection
Lethality
Need upgrade to gain
mobility lost to
underbelly protection
ABCT
Protection
Mobility
Need complete
formation mobility.
Need Sufficient
Need autonomy and
protection against threat advanced solutions to
spectrum for all vehicles. provide new capability
Priorities
 Tactical Mobility (near)
 Light recon and security
capability (mid)
 Mobile protected firepower
(mid/far)
 Protection and power
upgrades (near)
 Lethality upgrades missile,
cannon (mid)
 Mobile protected firepower
(mid/far)
 Replace obsolete vehicles
(near)
 Future Fighting Vehicle(mid)
 Future tank / autonomous
capabilities (far) NGCV
Residual Risk
Bold = Priority Effort
Victory Starts Here!
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Multi-Domain Battle:
Achieving Cross-Domain Synergy
Maneuver to
positions of relative
advantage and
project power
across all domains
to ensure freedom
of action.
USMC
UAS
Integrate joint,
interorganizational,
and multinational
capabilities to
create windows of
domain superiority
and preserve Joint
Force freedom of
maneuver.
EMS
Recon
Victory Starts Here!
SOF
Electronic
Warfare
SOF
SOF
Guerrilla
SOF
Exploit temporary
domain superiority
by synchronizing
cross-domain fire
and maneuver to
achieve physical,
temporal,
positional, and
psychological
advantages.
CAS/AI
SOF
“In an era of air and maritime warfare
that seems increasingly likely to be
dominated by long-range sensors and
precision strikes, ground forces [provide
the Joint Force] key attributes of
resilience, persistence, and
sustainability.”
- Beyond Coast Artillery: Cross-Domain Denial and the Army,
Center for Strategic and Budgetary Assessments
As of 23 SEP 2016
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