Transcript Presentation - GEO Coastal Zone Community of Practice

CariCOOS:
a regional coastal observing
system for the Northeastern
Caribbean
J. Morell, J. Corredor, J. Capella
R. Watlington, J. Gonzalez, M. Canals,
C. Anselmi, A. Mercado, and L. Aponte
IOOS MISSION:
IMPROVE SAFETY – ENHANCE ECONOMY-PROTECT OUR ENVIRONMENT
CaRA domain is the United States Caribbean EEZ
densely populated (4 million)
tourism-marine recreation
2 “States” PR & VI
artisanal fisheries
maritime activity
N.A.
major shipping lanes
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Caribbean
busy cruise ship ports
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hurricanes & tsunamis
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ocean energy potential
offshore wind,OTEC
steep, rugged bathymetry
multiple international
boundaries
fragile marine ecosystems
Caribbean Regional Association for Ocean Observing
• Organizational structure :
– Memorandum Of Agreement
(signed on Dec 4, 2007)
Membership:
– 88 signatories
• Affiliations:
– Academics 18%
– Government agencies 12%
– Private Sector 40%
– Federal Agencies 9%
– Self Signatories 21%
ASSURES A STAKEHOLDER-DRIVEN CariCOOS
High-Priority Observational and Forecast Needs
results from need assessments across all SH sectors
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Coastal winds
Coastal waves
Coastal currents
Coastal inundation
Water quality (pathogens, visibility, sediments & pollutant plumes)
Bathymetry (navigation, inundation and wave models)
Temperature & salinity (climate change, riverine input)
Benthic habitats
Data and modeling products users
Coastal Weather (Wind / Waves)
Local NWS Weather Forecasting Office WRF and SWAN model setup, optimization/validation
Recreational and Tourism Industry (*)
2010 XXI Central American and Caribbean Games
Rip Curl Search Pro 2010
Support for safe maritime operations and decision making (Coast Guard, maritime interests)
Coastal Inundation/Sea Level
State Emergency Management Agencies at PR and USVI for shelter/storage site selection
Marine Transportation System Recovery (USCG)
Planning Offices (zoning regulations)
PR-DRNA Coastal Zone
Coastal Currents
State and Federal Search and Rescue
Fisheries and fishery management
Planning / Response to Pollutant dispersion
Recreational & Tourism sector
Water Quality
Watershed management- Natural Resources Conservation Services, DRNA, EQB
Park Service (beach monitoring)
Research Scientists
Recreational & tourism sector
• CariCOOS Conceptual Design
Operate an optimum number of observing assets coupled to a strong modeling
components:
GOMOOS type and Datawell wave buoys:
Atlantic, off San Juan: semi diurnal tidal forcing, exposed to Atlantic
winter swells. San Juan is the busiest port in the NEC region
Caribbean, off Ponce: diurnal tidal forcing, Major transshipment port being
implemented in Ponce
Mona Passage – Caribbean-Atlantic interconnection
South of Virgin and Anegada Passages
Cruise ship approach to Charlotte Amalie,
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Coastal weather:
Observations: High quality coastal
observation sites increased from 5 to 17 in
the region, 2 buoys plus 12 mesonet
stations by WeatheFlow Inc.
Forecasting: Implementation of WRF @ 4
km resolution in collaboration with NWS
San Juan
Mesonet (WeatherFlow Inc.) ,
Distribution recommended by NWS San Juan reflecting the heterogeneity of
wind distribution in insular tropical environments.
Coastal waves:
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unprecedented coastal
wave data at CariCOOS Buoys:
(Triaxys sensors)
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forecasts using SWAN (Simulating WAve Nearshore)
• boundary conditions provided by NOAA WW 3
• 500 meter resolution
50 meter resolution
• GFS wind forcing
• outcome of validation experiments as criteria for adding observing
assets
Coastal circulation:
•In situ current profiles at CariCOOS buoys A & B
•CODAR surface currents for the Mona Passage (CSR-Rutgers, C. Fuller,
A&M)
ADCIRC Forecasts for coastal zone
Lagrangian & Eulerian validation of
ADCIRC and CODAR products:
Coastal Inundation by Storm Surge
•Initial efforts loosely coupling ADCIRC and SWAN (structured)
•Implementation and validation of PADCSWAN
•Cat 1,2 and 5 available (5 approach bearings, 10nm between tracks)
San Felipe (aka Okeechobee) Cat 5
Hurricane 1928. 1836 deaths in Florida
312 in Puerto Rico.
Major water quality issues in the region
•beach closures, eutrophication and sedimentation
• frequently related to river and creeks discharge
reef status:
Warne, A.G., Webb, R.M.T., and Larsen, M.C., 2005, Water, Sediment, and Nutrient Discharge Characteristics of Rivers in Puerto Rico,
and their Potential Influence on Coral Reefs: U.S. Geological Survey Scientific Investigations Report 2005-5206, 58 p.
Development of WQ products based on remotely sensed optical properties for
identifying watershed management deficiencies. In collaboration with:
Outreach and Education
Data product dissemination and assessment :
http://caricoos.org
EDUCATION PLAN
•Informal education through web tutorials,
•Inclusion into 7th- 8th grade curricula in collaboration
with Editorial Norma and PR Dept. of Education
Outreach and
Education
Committee
Where do we go from here?
INSHORE
Implementation of observing/modeling tools and products for close to
shore processes driving:
•runoff plume dispersal and
•rip currents
•beach erosion
•port security and recuperation (NYHOPS)
•spatial planning - MPA designation/validation
OFFSHORE
Observing Caribbean structure, processes and variability and its
response to climate (incorporating serial glider observations @CaTS??)
REGIONAL
Share expertise and practical experience with neighbors
Inshore waves at 30m resolution:
nowcast - CarICOOS buoy data
forecasts - regional SWAN
Port of Las Americas, Ponce
2 m. Hs (significant wave height)
8s period, 7 m/s wind speed (June 2010)
4.5 m. Hs (significant wave height)
10s period, 9 m/s wind speed (Apr-08)
San Juan Harbor
Marine Recreation
(a)
(a) Instantaneous surface elevation (m) at
Jobos beach, one of the most dangerous
beaches in PR. (b) Wave-induced currents from
BOUSS2D depict, for the first time, the current
patterns responsible for numerous drownings.
• rip currents and nearshore
•beach water quality
•diver visibility
Coastal erosion:
Hurricane Earle, Rincón, PR
US Corp of Engineers
Erosion from Hurricane Earle at Rincón,
50 year projection for CaTS SST
SSTprojected = climatological T + 0.0233 *50
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50 year projection (+1.17 C)
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coral bleaching threshold
(Hoegh-Guldberg O (1999)
Marine and Freshwater
Research 50: 839-866.)
CaTS - SST
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"deep convection"
(hurricane) threshold
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(Graham and Barnett,
(1987 ) Science 238: 657659)
CaTS climatology
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Julian day
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KEY ELEMENTS AND PARTNERS IN CARICOOS IMPLEMENTATION
o Intern Program (sustained development of regional expertise)
o Visiting expert program (technology transfer)
o Strategic Alliances and Leveraged resources
Essential Liaisons
NWS,
PR Sea Grant Program
USGS, USCG, DNRE
Buoy program – University of Maine
Modeling:
ADCIRC Circulation – PennState
ADCIRC/inundation – PR DNRE, Renaissance Institute & UNC
ROMS/HYCOM – RSMAS
SWAN (UniNorte)
UPRM Alliance for Coastal Modeling
Surface currents
CODAR program: DHS-funded “National Center for Secure and Resilient
Maritime Commerce and Coastal Environments” (CSR), Rutgers COOL Lab
Water Quality
Partnerships with remote sensing specialists:
NOAA CoastWatch, European Space Agency, USF
NOAA Atlantic Test Bed for CO2 monitoring
Coastal Weather
ICON/CREWS-NOAA
PR Seismic Network
Coastal weather mesonet – WeatherFlow
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Questions?