2-Excel statistics

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Transcript 2-Excel statistics

Basic Statistics
with Microsoft Excel
Helen Dixon
Aim and Objectives
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Aim of today’s course
 To
illustrate how Excel can be used to carry
out some basic statistical analyses and tests
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Objectives
 To
show you how to use some of the
statistical worksheet functions available within
Excel
 To show you how to use some of the tools
available in the Analysis ToolPak
 To make you aware of the limitations of Excel
Why use Excel?
Software more accessible
 Previous familiarity with software
 Easy to format output
 Better charting facilities than some
statistical applications
 Access to other key Excel facilities
 Easy to use results with other applications
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Problems with Excel
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Errors due to rounding, missing data or extreme
values
Not suitable for very large data sets
Output labelled or arranged inappropriately
Need to repeat processes for different variables
or options
No record of analyses
Some algorithms are numerically unstable - little
or no information about algorithms employed
Analysis ToolPak results are not dynamic and
may vary with results generated by functions
Statistical Functions
Frequency Distributions
 Mean, Median and Mode
 Percentiles and Quartiles
 Deviation and Squared Deviation about
the Mean
 Variance and Standard Deviation
 Covariance and the Correlation Coefficient
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Frequency
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Use COUNTIF to count how many times
an item appears in a list
 =COUNTIF(range,
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criteria)
Use FREQUENCY to calculate how often
values occur within a range
 =FREQUENCY(data_array,
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bins_array)
Can also use Histogram tool in Analysis
Toolpak
Mean, Median, Mode
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Use AVERAGE or AVERAGEA to calculate
the arithmetic mean
 =AVERAGE(number1,
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Use MEDIAN to return the middle number
 =MEDIAN(number1,
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number2, etc.)
number2, etc)
Use MODE to return the most common
value
 =MODE(number1,
number2, etc)
Percentiles and Quartiles
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Use PERCENTILE to return the kth percentile of
a data set
 =PERCENTILE(array,
percentile)
 Percentile argument is a value between 0 and 1
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Use QUARTILE to return the given quartile of a
data set
 =QUARTILE(array,
quart)
 Quart
is 1, 2, 3 or 4
 IQR = Q3-Q1
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May return different values to statistical package
Variance and Standard Deviation
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Use VAR, VARA, VARP or VARPA to
calculate the variance for a range
 E.g.
=VAR(value1, value 2, etc.)
 Squared deviations about the mean/N or /n-1
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Use STDEV, STDEVA, STDEVP or
STDEVPA to calculate the standard
deviation for a range
 =E.g.
=STDEV(value1, value2, etc.)
 Positive square root of variance
Covariance and
the Correlation Coefficient
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Use COVAR to calculate the covariance
 =COVAR(array1,
array2)
 Average of products of deviations for each
data point pair
 Depends on units of measurement
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Use CORREL to return the correlation
coefficient
 =CORREL(array1,
array2)
 Returns value between -1 and +1
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Also available in Analysis ToolPak
Probability
Numerical measure of the likelihood that
an event will occur
 Some probabilities that can be calculated
using Excel:
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 Binomial
Probabilities
 Poisson Probabilities
 Hypergeometric Probabilities
 Normal Probabilities
 Exponential Probabilities
Binomial Probabilities
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Use BINOMDIST to compute binomial
distribution probabilities and cumulative
binomial probabilities
 =BINOMDIST(number_s,
trials, probability_s,
cumulative)
 Calculates the probability that a sequence of
independent trials with two possible outcomes
will have a given number of successes
 Cumulative is either TRUE or FALSE
Poisson Probabilities
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Use POISSON to compute Poisson
Probabilities
 =POISSON(x,
mean, cumulative)
 Shows the probability of x occurrences of an
event over a specified interval of time or
space
Hypergeometric Probabilities
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Use HYPGEOMDIST to compute
hypergeometric probabilities
 =HYPGEOMDIST(sample_s,
number_sample, population_s, number_pop)
 Computes the probability of x successes
(sample_s) in n trials (number_sample) when
the trials are dependent
 Similar to Binomial except trials are not
independent – probability of success changes
from trial to trial
 Does not compute cumulative probabilities
Normal Probabilities
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Use NORMSDIST or NORMDIST to
compute the cumulative probability
 =NORMSDIST(z)
 =NORMDIST(x,
mean, standard_dev,
cumulative)
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Use NORMSINV or NORMINV to compute
the z or x value given a cumulative
probability
 =NORMSINV(probability)
 =NORMINV(probability,
mean, standard_dev)
Exponential Probabilities
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Use EXPONDIST to compute exponential
probabilities
 =EXPONDIST(x,
lambda, cumulative)
 x is the random variable
 Lambda is 1/mean
 Useful in computing probabilities for the time it
takes to complete a task
Analysis ToolPak
Descriptive Statistics
 Correlation
 Linear Regression
 t-Tests
 z-Tests
 ANOVA
 Covariance
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Descriptive Statistics
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Mean, Median, Mode
Standard Error
Standard Deviation
Sample Variance
Kurtosis
Skewness
Confidence Level for
Mean
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Range
Minimum
Maximum
Sum
Count
kth Largest
kth Smallest
Correlation and Regression
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Correlation is a measure of the strength of linear
association between two variables
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Values between -1 and +1
Values close to -1 indicate strong negative relationship
Values close to +1 indicate strong positive relationship
Values close to 0 indicate weak relationship
Linear Regression is the process of finding a line of best
fit through a series of data points
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Can also use the SLOPE, INTERCEPT, CORREL and RSQ
functions
t-Tests and z-Tests
Used to test hypotheses by comparing
means
 If sample means are equal suggests both
samples came from same population
 t-Test – n <30
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 Equal
or unequal variances or paired test
 Check result using TTEST function
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z-Test – n>30
 Used
for means with known variances
ANOVA: Analysis of Variances
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Compares variances in two or more data sets
If difference is found it can be assumed that the
means of the data sets are different
Single Factor – use instead of t-Test for more
than 2 samples
Two Factor with Replication – useful when data
can be classified along 2 different dimensions
Two Factor without Replication – as above but
only one observation for each pair
PivotTables
Use for crosstabulations
 Data must be in tabular format: columns
with headings, no blank columns
 Easy to pivot data
 Easy to create PivotCharts
 Can summarise and analyse data without
affecting data source
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Final Tips
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Excel only suitable for basic analysis using small
data sets
Later versions of Excel more reliable than Excel
97
Check Analysis TookPak results with worksheet
functions
Check overall results by hand or with dedicated
statistical package