Transcript - Future Agricultures Consortium

Future Agricultures and
climate change:
Outline of a new theme
Lars Otto Naess
Thomas Tanner
FAC Annual Review and
Planning Meeting
Brighton, UK
30 March 2010
Climate change and agriculture
• Increased risks from climate change on the
agricultural sector
• Changes in the agricultural sector may increase
vulnerability of already marginal systems
• New climate change policy developments at
international level (post-Copenhagen)
• New actors and changing power relations in areas of
climate change and agriculture
• Diverging views on what are the best options for
adaptation
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Adaptation options for agriculture
• Ranges from delivering ‘technical fixes’ in response
to defined changes to supporting ‘climate robust’
agriculture and resilient livelihood systems in
response to an uncertain future
• Agreement of need to address range of areas hides
large differences in assumptions about climate
change and agriculture, actors’ abilities, and the
scope and process for policy adjustment and change
• Different narratives are supported by different
actors, plays out at national and sub-national levels
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Theme research focus
• Core research foci:
1. How international policy developments on adaptation
play out at the national level, and their linkages to
agriculture sector goals
2. The use of climate science information and seasonal
forecasting in national and sub-national policy processes,
as an example of a widespread (yet contested)
adaptation support tool
• Linking with other FAC themes:
– Linking the core research closely to (ongoing work and
lessons from) other FAC thematic areas
– Development of cross-thematic, co-funded “issue papers”
to address particular issues
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Research questions
Main research question: How do international climate change policy
processes play out in national and sub-national agriculture sector contexts?
Sub-questions:
• Which international policy developments set the premises for agricultural
adaptation?
• What are national governments ‘room for manoeuvre’? What are the key
policy spaces?
• Which are the key narratives and actors underlying climate adaptation?
How do these relate to national development goals?
• To what extent does adaptation research influence national level policy
making?
• To what extent does local experience and practice inform policy at the
national level?
• What are the main actors and their interests in the production and use of
climate information, and what are their roles in policy formation?
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Planned activities 2010-2011
April-July 2010:
– Identify research partners in Kenya and Ethiopia
– Roundtables, literature review and scoping study to determine detailed focus
– Initial discussion of joint papers with other themes, publication of web story
– Project monitoring and evaluation
August-November 2010:
– In-country research (interviews, group discussions, documentary review)
– Finalisation of project summary and web story ahead of COP-16
– Finalisation and peer review of first draft of report
December 2010-April 2011
– Second round of interviews and documentary review
– Development of draft policy briefs
– Drafting of joint issue papers and policy briefs with other themes
April-September 2011
– Finalisation of Kenya and Ethiopia studies and policy briefs
– Presentation of results online and at international conferences
– Scoping for further countries, themes
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Key outputs
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Case studies in Ethiopia and Kenya
Country policy briefs
Journal articles
Presentations at workshops and conferences (COP16)
• Web stories various websites
• Issue papers and policy briefs on overlapping areas
with other FAC themes
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Outcomes and indicators
Outcomes:
• Increased realisation of the importance of policy process analysis
• An expanded group of policy experts engaging with climate change
issues
• Increased focus on local-national linkages in adaptation policy making
• Increased understanding of linkages between post-Copenhagen
investments and policy processes in the agricultural sector
Indicators of success:
• Improved integration between agriculture in climate change in policy
documents
• Increased openness about assumptions about climate change in
climate change and agriculture policy documents (new)
• Increased number of policy dialogues between key actors involved
with climate change and agriculture development
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Integration of gender and social
inclusion
• Gender-specific impacts of climate change
• Gender roles are changing within and among
households with implications for vulnerability of
agriculture to climate change
• Need gender-sensitive policies for adaptation,
considering women and men’s different knowledge
and household roles
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CAADP engagement strategies
• Does climate change challenge the feasibility of projected
growth in agricultural productivity contained in CAADP
objectives?
• To what extent may CAADP drive responses to climate change
in the agricultural sector?
• Linkages to CAADPs pillars
– Land & water management: effects of land policies on ability to adapt
– Market access: the role of markets for adaptation
– Food supply and hunger: policy change in line with farmers’
preferences?
– Agricultural research: improved research – farmer partnerships
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Thank you
[email protected]
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